Mirassol vs Flamengo

Serie AMatchweek 23
Ref: R. KleinEstádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, São Paulo · 14,534 cap
Fipster Pick
Away Winlow

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Mirassol and Flamengo face off in what promises to be a closely contested match in the 2026 regular season. Both teams have had their moments this campaign, but Flamengo's stronger league position and goal difference suggest they hold the upper hand.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
12
Flamengo Win
LOW
Confidence
Mirassol 28%Draw 29%Flamengo 43%

The context

Mirassol currently sit 15th with 23 points from 21 games, while Flamengo are comfortably placed 2nd with 39 points from 20 matches. Flamengo's goal difference of +19 dwarfs Mirassol's -6, highlighting the visitors' more potent attack and tighter defence this season.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Flamengo's potent attack led by Pedro

Pedro's 12 goals this season and strong recent form give Flamengo a clear attacking edge

Statistical Edgemedium

Mirassol's defensive players contribute offensively

Igor Formiga and Reinaldo provide goals and assists from defense, unusual for their positions

Form Momentumhigh

Flamengo's consistent scoring streak

Flamengo has scored in last 5 away games, showing strong offensive momentum

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for either team

Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from missing players

Analysis

Flamengo's attack, spearheaded by Pedro who has netted 12 goals this season, is a key factor in their favour. Pedro's recent form, scoring three times in the last five games, makes him a constant threat. Mirassol's Igor Formiga, a defender with an impressive four goals, and Reinaldo, their top assister, provide some offensive spark from the back, but Flamengo's overall quality and consistency, including Samuel Lino's seven assists, should prove decisive.

Prediction

Despite a relatively low confidence level due to the competitive nature of the fixture, the prediction leans towards a narrow 2-1 away win for Flamengo. The visitors' superior points per game and goal difference underpin this call, with the match expected to be tight but ultimately favouring Flamengo's attacking edge.

Key facts

  1. 1.Mirassol are 15th with 23 points from 21 games (W6 D5 L10).
  2. 2.Flamengo are 2nd with 39 points from 20 games (W11 D6 L3).
  3. 3.Flamengo have a +19 goal difference; Mirassol have -6.
  4. 4.Flamengo average 1.95 points per game; Mirassol average 1.10.
  5. 5.Pedro leads Flamengo with 12 goals in 20 appearances.
  6. 6.Igor Formiga is Mirassol's top scorer with 4 goals from defence.
  7. 7.Samuel Lino has provided 7 assists for Flamengo this season.
  8. 8.Reinaldo is Mirassol's top assister with 3 assists.

The verdict

Expect a spirited contest with Mirassol putting up a fight, but Flamengo's firepower and league form should see them through. A 2-1 scoreline reflects the likely close nature of the game, with Flamengo just about doing enough to claim the points.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeMirassol

Igor Formiga

Igor Formiga

Defender

Mirassol

Total Goals
4
League avg: 0.65
17 played
16 starts
1426 mins
~84 mins/game
Negueba

Negueba

Attacker

Mirassol

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.65
9 played
9 starts
818 mins
~91 mins/game

AwayFlamengo

Pedro

Pedro

Attacker

Flamengo

Total Goals
12
League avg: 0.65
20 played
19 starts
1603 mins
~80 mins/game