Mirassol vs Botafogo
Mirassol secures solid win over Botafogo
Eduardo's brace powers Mirassol to a confident 2-0 victory.
Mirassol claimed a 2-0 victory against Botafogo in Serie A, with Eduardo netting both goals, including a crucial strike just before half-time. The home side controlled the match, turning Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win into reality, albeit with a slightly different scoreline than forecast.
Outcome probability
Mirassol and Botafogo face off in what promises to be an entertaining encounter, with both sides eager to climb the league table. Mirassol, sitting just below Botafogo, will be looking to overturn their recent head-to-head misfortunes and secure a vital win.
Match factors
Mirassol's Igor Formiga excels in both defense and attack
Igor Formiga's high assist rate and defensive stats give Mirassol a tactical edge on the flanks
Arthur Cabral leads Botafogo's scoring with 7 goals
Cabral's goal tally and minutes played highlight his importance as Botafogo's main scoring threat
Mirassol missing key attacker Negueba due to injury
Negueba's absence reduces Mirassol's attacking options, potentially limiting goal threat
Mirassol's Eduardo shows consistent scoring form
Eduardo has scored 2 goals in last 5 games, boosting Mirassol's attacking confidence
Botafogo's Alex Telles provides creative set-piece threat
Telles' assist record and set-piece role enhance Botafogo's chance creation
The context
This match is part of the regular season's 28th round, with Mirassol ranked 15th and Botafogo 14th in the league. Despite Botafogo's slightly better goal difference and points tally, Mirassol have the motivation to improve their standing and end a run of three meetings without a win against Botafogo.
Key insights
Igor Formiga
Mirassol
Igor Formiga's high assist rate and defensive contributions give Mirassol a tactical edge on the flanks.
Serie A 26/274 assists in 24 apps, 0.17 avg per game
- A
Arthur Cabral
Botafogo
Arthur Cabral is Botafogo's main scoring threat with 7 goals this season and strong recent form.
Serie A 26/277 goals this season
Eduardo
Mirassol
Eduardo's consistent scoring form, with 2 goals in the last 5 games, boosts Mirassol's attacking confidence.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 19 apps, 0.21 avg per game
Alex Telles
Botafogo
Alex Telles provides creative set-piece threat with 4 assists, enhancing Botafogo's chance creation.
Serie A 26/274 assists in 23 apps, 0.17 avg per game
Analysis
Historically, these teams have produced high-scoring games, averaging 3.7 goals per match. Botafogo have the edge in previous meetings with one win and two draws, but Mirassol's recent form at home and key players like Eduardo, who has netted four goals this season, could tip the scales. Botafogo's attacking threat is led by Arthur Cabral, who has seven goals, but Mirassol's defensive resilience and creative outlets, including Igor Formiga's assists, provide a tactical advantage.
Key facts
- 1.Mirassol have not won in 3 meetings against Botafogo (1 Botafogo win, 2 draws).
- 2.Head-to-head matches between these teams average 3.7 goals, indicating open play.
- 3.Mirassol are 15th in the league with 29 points from 27 games (7 wins, 8 draws, 12 losses).
- 4.Botafogo sit 14th with 32 points from 26 games (8 wins, 8 draws, 10 losses).
- 5.Botafogo have a significantly better goal difference (+8) than Mirassol this season.
- 6.Eduardo has scored 4 goals in 19 appearances this season, including 2 in the last 5 games.
- 7.Arthur Cabral leads Botafogo with 7 goals this season, highlighting their main attacking threat.
Prediction
We predict Mirassol to take an early lead and maintain control, heading into halftime 1-0. Their attacking trio, including Eduardo and Bruno Santos, are expected to find the net, culminating in a 3-1 fulltime scoreline. The match should see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Mirassol
Away — Botafogo
No standout top scorers flagged for Botafogo
The verdict
Mirassol's hunger for a first win against Botafogo in this fixture, combined with their home form and key player contributions, makes them the likely winners. Botafogo will provide a stern test, but Mirassol's attacking edge and tactical setup should see them through to a satisfying victory.
Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 06:04 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Eduardo
Assist: Igor Formiga
Huguinho
Yellow Card
Eduardo
Danilo
Montoro
Huguinho
Cabral
Eduardo
Edson
Denilson
Medina
Santos
Igor Formiga
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | +32 | 60 |
| 11 |  Sao Paulo | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | +1 | 36 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |  Vasco DA Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
Match Statistics
Mirassol
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3Willian MachadoD
- 6ReinaldoD
- 10ChicoM
- 22WalterG
- 25Neto MouraM
- 27DenilsonM
- 30Bruno SantosF
- 32Igor FormigaD
- 33EduardoM
- 34João VictorD
- 95EdsonM
Substitutes
- 2Lucas OliveiraD
- 5JapaM
- 7ShaylonM
- 9André LuísF
- 17FernandinhoF
- 19Gustavo SilvaM
- 20Daniel BorgesD
- 44GabrielD
- 80WallissonM
- 90ThomazellaG
- 96Carlos EduardoF
Botafogo
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2VitinhoD
- 5N. FerraresiD
- 6C. MedinaM
- 8Danilo SantosM
- 10Álvaro MontoroM
- 12Gabriel BatistaG
- 13Alex TellesD
- 19Arthur CabralF
- 33L. MonzónD
- 75HuguinhoM
- 90DaniloF
Substitutes
- 3Arthur ChavesD
- 7Júnior SantosF
- 9Tiquinho SoaresF
- 17WarlesonG
- 21MarçalD
- 22H. ZiyechM
- 25AllanM
- 34G. JustinoD
- 42Kadu SantosD
- 59Kauan ToledoM
- 77L. VillalbaF
- 88EdenílsonM
Mirassol
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo | M | 67 | 9.1 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Willian Machado | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Walter | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Neto Moura | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chico | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 76 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Shaylon | M | 23 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Wallisson | M | 14 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Edson | M | 76 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Bruno Santos | F | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Japa | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Silva | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| André Luís | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernandinho | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomazella | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Botafogo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Batista | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Monzón | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Telles | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 46 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 3/4 |
| H. Ziyech | M | 44 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| N. Ferraresi | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Villalba | F | 29 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Vitinho | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Danilo Santos | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/3 |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 61 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Huguinho | M | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Medina | M | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3/3 |
| Danilo | F | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Júnior Santos | F | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Kauan Toledo | M | 13 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Edenílson | M | 44 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiquinho Soares | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marçal | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Warleson | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur Chaves | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Justino | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kadu Santos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Mirassol vs Botafogo?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Mirassol to win against Botafogo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Mirassol vs Botafogo?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Mirassol 3–1 Botafogo.
- What were the win probabilities for Mirassol vs Botafogo?
- Fipster's model gave Mirassol a 95% chance of winning, Botafogo a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.