Minnesota United FC vs Seattle Sounders
Match recap
Minnesota United FC and Seattle Sounders drew 0–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.97 for Minnesota United FC versus 0.64 for Seattle Sounders. Minnesota United FC sit 13th in the Major League Soccer table while Seattle Sounders are 7th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-3 Seattle Sounders win
Actual
0–0
Outcome probability
Minnesota United FC and Seattle Sounders face off in what promises to be an entertaining encounter. Both teams have shown glimpses of attacking prowess, but Seattle's recent away form and creative spark could prove decisive.
Match factors
Minnesota's top scorer Yeboah leads attack
Kelvin Yeboah's 15 goals this season and strong recent form make him the key scoring threat for Minnesota.
Seattle's Rusnák excels as creative playmaker
Albert Rusnák leads Seattle with 11 assists, showing strong recent form and set-piece influence.
Minnesota missing key assister Pereyra
Joaquín Pereyra, top assister with 10 assists, is confirmed out due to muscle injury, reducing creativity.
Seattle's attacking form supports predicted win
Seattle has scored in last 5 away games, showing consistent offensive momentum.
The context
This match is part of the regular season's fifth round, with Seattle Sounders currently sitting 7th in the league table, comfortably ahead of Minnesota United FC in 14th. Historically, Seattle have dominated their head-to-head meetings, winning 12 of 20 encounters, which adds an intriguing backdrop to this fixture.
Key insights
Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
Top scorer with 15 goals this season and strong recent form, making him Minnesota's key attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2715 goals in 27 apps, 0.56 goals/game
Albert Rusnák
Seattle Sounders
Leading assister with 11 assists and strong recent form, crucial for Seattle's creative play and set-piece delivery.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 assists in 26 apps, 0.42 assists/game
- J
Joaquín Pereyra
Minnesota United FC
Top assister with 10 assists but out with a muscle injury, reducing Minnesota's attacking creativity.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 assists in current season
Analysis
Seattle Sounders boast a strong attacking record, with Albert Rusnák leading the charge as the team's top assister, contributing 11 assists this season. Their ability to score consistently on the road, having found the net in their last five away games, underlines their offensive threat. Meanwhile, Minnesota rely heavily on Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah, their top scorer with 15 goals, who has been in fine form recently. However, Minnesota's creativity is hampered by the absence of Joaquín Pereyra, their top assister, who is out with a muscle injury. This could limit their chances against a Seattle side that has shown resilience and tactical sharpness.
Key facts
- 1.Seattle Sounders have won 12 of 20 meetings against Minnesota United FC.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.7 goals, with Seattle scoring 35 to Minnesota's 19.
- 3.Seattle Sounders rank 7th with 41 points; Minnesota United FC are 14th with 30 points.
- 4.Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah is Minnesota's top scorer with 15 goals this season.
- 5.Albert Rusnák leads Seattle with 11 assists this season.
- 6.Joaquín Pereyra is out with a muscle injury, reducing Minnesota's creativity.
- 7.Seattle has scored in their last 5 away games, showing strong offensive form.
Prediction
The prediction favours an away win for Seattle Sounders with a 3-2 scoreline. The match is expected to be high-scoring and closely contested, but Seattle's superior form, creative midfield play, and historical edge suggest they will come out on top.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Minnesota United FC
Away — Seattle Sounders
The verdict
Expect a lively encounter with goals at both ends. Seattle Sounders' attacking momentum and Minnesota's reliance on Yeboah set the stage for a thrilling 3-2 victory for the visitors.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 19:24 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Roldan
Petković
Yellow Card
Lopez
Yellow Card
Díaz
Yellow Card
Petković
De Rosario
Minoungou
Ragen
Yellow Card
Duncan
Romero
Chancalay
Yeboah
Triantis
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
Match Statistics
Minnesota United FC
5-4-1Starting XI
- 3K. DuncanD
- 5N. RomeroD
- 8T. ChancalayM
- 9K. YeboahF
- 12D. CallenderG
- 13A. MarkanichD
- 20W. TrappM
- 23M. DugganD
- 25N. TriantisM
- 26J. PereyraM
- 28J. DíazD
Substitutes
- 1A. SmirG
- 2D. PadelfordD
- 10J. RodríguezM
- 21B. HlongwaneF
- 24J. GresselM
- 27D. TaylorD
- 29M.DiengF
- 30O. GeneM
- 67C. HarveyM
Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5N. ToloD
- 7C. RoldanM
- 11A. RusnákM
- 14P. RothrockM
- 16A. RoldanD
- 26A. ThomasG
- 35A. LopezD
- 44N. PetkovićM
- 85K. Kossa-RienziD
- 93G. MinoungouM
- 95O. De RosarioF
Substitutes
- 9J. FerreiraF
- 13J. MorrisF
- 17P. ArriolaF
- 24S. FreiG
- 25J. RagenD
- 33C. BakerD
- 37S. BrunellM
- 45P. KingstonM
Minnesota United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Duncan | D | 72 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Nicolás Romero | D | 77 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Drake Callender | G | 95 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Wil Trapp(C) | M | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Anthony Markanich | D | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Joaquín Pereyra | M | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Tomás Chancalay | M | 77 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Morris Duggan | D | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nectarios Triantis | M | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jefferson Díaz | D | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Kelvin Yeboah | F | 77 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/5 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Carlos Harvey | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alec Smir | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Owen Gene | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Gressel | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D.J. Taylor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Rodríguez | M | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Devin Padelford | D | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
Seattle Sounders
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nouhou Tolo | D | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Roldán | D | 22 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Andrew Thomas | G | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Roldán(C) | M | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | D | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Antino Lopez | D | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Petković | M | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Albert Rusnák | M | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Paul Rothrock | M | 95 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2/4 |
| Osaze De Rosario | F | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Georgi Minoungou | M | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3/7 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Stefan Frei | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Baker | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peter Kingston | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Arriola | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jackson Ragen | D | 73 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Snyder Brunell | M | 31 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Ferreira | F | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jordan Morris | F | 30 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Minnesota United FC vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Seattle Sounders to win against Minnesota United FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Minnesota United FC vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Minnesota United FC 2–3 Seattle Sounders.
- What were the win probabilities for Minnesota United FC vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster's model gave Minnesota United FC a 6% chance of winning, Seattle Sounders a 88% chance, and a 6% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 88% confidence — a high-confidence call.