Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United rally past San Jose
A spirited comeback sees Minnesota overturn a first-half deficit to claim victory.
San Jose Earthquakes took the lead just before half-time through P. Judd, but Minnesota United FC responded strongly after the break. T. Chancalay levelled the scores early in the second half, and an own goal by A. Gunn swung the momentum further in Minnesota's favour. N. Triantis sealed the win deep into stoppage time, completing a 3-1 turnaround. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved a touch optimistic.
Outcome probability
Minnesota United FC and San Jose Earthquakes face off in what promises to be a high-scoring MLS regular season fixture. With Minnesota's recent home form and attacking prowess, they look poised to take control early and put on a goal fest.
Match factors
Minnesota's attacking trio in strong form
Yeboah, Markanich, and Caldeira show strong recent scoring and assist form, likely to exploit San Jose's defense.
Joaquín Pereyra's creative dominance
Pereyra leads with 11 assists this season, well above league average, driving Minnesota's attack.
Minnesota's strong home scoring streak
Minnesota has scored in all last 5 home games, supporting predicted 4 goals in this match.
Wil Trapp's absence weakens Minnesota midfield
Trapp is confirmed out with concussion, removing a key assist provider and midfield stabilizer.
Preston Judd's scoring threat for San Jose
Judd is San Jose's top scorer with 16 goals, posing a significant threat despite predicted loss.
The context
San Jose Earthquakes currently sit 3rd in the league with a superior goal difference compared to Minnesota United FC, who are 13th. Despite San Jose's higher standing, Minnesota have a strong head-to-head record, winning half of their 20 encounters, and the matches between these sides typically produce plenty of goals, averaging 3.7 per game.
Key insights
Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
Top scorer with 16 goals and strong home form, scoring 5 in last 5 home games, making him a key threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2716 goals in 29 apps, 0.55 goals/game
Joaquín Pereyra
Minnesota United FC
Leading assist provider with 11 assists, consistently creating chances and driving Minnesota's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 assists in 28 apps, 0.39 assists/game
Anthony Markanich
Minnesota United FC
Midfielder with 9 goals this season, showing good recent scoring form at home, adding depth to attack.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 29 apps, 0.31 goals/game
- W
Wil Trapp
Minnesota United FC
His absence due to concussion removes a key assist provider and midfield stabilizer, potentially weakening Minnesota's midfield.
Major League Soccer 26/272 assists in 30 apps
- P
Preston Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
Top scorer for San Jose with 16 goals, posing a significant threat despite predicted loss.
Major League Soccer 26/2716 goals in 29 apps
Analysis
Minnesota's attacking trio of Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah, Anthony Markanich, and Marcus Caldeira have been in fine form at home, combining for numerous goals and assists this season. Joaquín Pereyra's creative influence, leading the league with 11 assists, further bolsters their offensive threat. San Jose's Preston Judd remains a key scoring threat with 16 goals, but Minnesota's home scoring streak and attacking depth give them the edge. The absence of Wil Trapp due to concussion may weaken Minnesota's midfield stability, but their offensive firepower should compensate.
Key facts
- 1.Minnesota United FC have won 10 of 20 head-to-head matches against San Jose Earthquakes.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.7 total goals, indicating a high-scoring fixture.
- 3.San Jose Earthquakes rank 3rd in the league with 52 points from 33 games.
- 4.Minnesota United FC are 13th with 38 points from 32 games.
- 5.Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah is Minnesota's top scorer with 16 goals this season.
- 6.Joaquín Pereyra leads Minnesota with 11 assists, the highest in the league.
- 7.Preston Judd is San Jose's top scorer with 16 goals this season.
- 8.Wil Trapp is out with a concussion, impacting Minnesota's midfield stability.
Prediction
Expect Minnesota United FC to take an early lead, reflected in a predicted 2-0 halftime score, before extending their advantage to a 4-1 fulltime victory. The match is likely to feature four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled encounter. Minnesota's home advantage and attacking form make them the clear favourites to secure all three points.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Minnesota United FC
Away — San Jose Earthquakes
No standout top scorers flagged for San Jose Earthquakes
The verdict
This fixture should provide plenty of entertainment with goals and attacking flair. Minnesota United FC's strong home form and creative players are set to outshine San Jose Earthquakes, delivering a convincing 4-1 win. Fans can look forward to a lively contest with plenty of action from start to finish.
Prediction generated 2 Nov 2026, 03:42 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Judd
Assist: Tsakiris
Vieira
Yellow Card
Gene
Yellow Card
Chancalay
Assist: Pereyra
Duggan
Yellow Card
Gonzalez
Ricketts
Yellow Card
Judd
Yellow Card
Kikanovic
Vieira
Löwen
Gene
Yeboah
Gunn (OG)
Ricketts
Chancalay
Yellow Card
Bouda
Triantis
Assist: Duggan
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | +9 | 55 |
| 3 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | +8 | 52 |
| 4 |  St. Louis City | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | +10 | 51 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 42 |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | -4 | 41 |
| 13 |  San Diego | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | -5 | 38 |
Match Statistics
Minnesota United FC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 8T. ChancalayM
- 9K. YeboahF
- 12D. CallenderG
- 13A. MarkanichD
- 18M. GonzalezM
- 23M. DugganD
- 25N. TriantisM
- 26J. PereyraF
- 28J. DíazD
- 30O. GeneM
- 52Cherrion ValeriusD
Substitutes
- 1A. SmirG
- 3K. DuncanD
- 6P. StroudM
- 11M. MaloneF
- 15M. BoxallD
- 16A. JacksonM
- 21B. HlongwaneF
- 22Marcus CaldeiraF
- 67C. HarveyM
San Jose Earthquakes
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. GunnG
- 2J. RickettsD
- 5D. MunieD
- 7O. BoudaM
- 10N. TsakirisM
- 11T. WernerM
- 14R. VieiraM
- 18R. RobertsD
- 19P. JuddF
- 23E. LöwenM
- 28B. KikanovicD
Substitutes
- 3P. MarieD
- 4D. RomneyD
- 6I. HarkesM
- 9L. JovanovićF
- 17Jack JasinskiD
- 20N. FernandezM
- 34Beau LerouxM
- 36E. EdwardsG
- 87Vítor CostaD
Minnesota United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Triantis | M | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| J. Pereyra | F | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0/1 |
| T. Chancalay | M | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Duggan | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Cherrion Valerius | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Marcus Caldeira | F | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Díaz | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Harvey | M | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Callender | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Yeboah | F | 79 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Gonzalez | M | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Jackson | M | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Markanich | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| O. Gene | M | 79 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Hlongwane | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Malone | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Duncan | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Boxall | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Smir | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Stroud | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
San Jose Earthquakes
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Judd | F | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| N. Tsakiris | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4/5 |
| R. Roberts | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Werner | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/5 |
| D. Munie | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jack Jasinski | D | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Vítor Costa | D | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| E. Löwen | M | 71 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Ricketts | D | 82 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Beau Leroux | M | 19 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Harkes | M | 20 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Kikanovic | D | 70 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Vieira | M | 70 | 5.8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| A. Gunn | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Bouda | M | 91 | 5.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| P. Marie | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Romney | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Jovanović | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fernandez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Edwards | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Minnesota United FC to win against San Jose Earthquakes.
- What score did Fipster predict for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Minnesota United FC 4–1 San Jose Earthquakes.
- What were the win probabilities for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Fipster's model gave Minnesota United FC a 95% chance of winning, San Jose Earthquakes a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.