Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC
Thrilling draw as Minnesota fight back
Orlando City’s early lead undone by a late equaliser from T. Spicer.
Orlando City SC looked set for victory with goals from D. Dike and A. Griezmann, but Minnesota United FC staged a spirited comeback with a quickfire hat-trick from Marcus Caldeira, A. Markanich, and K. Yeboah. The drama peaked when T. Spicer snatched a stoppage-time equaliser for Orlando City, sealing a 3-3 draw. This result defied Fipster’s medium-confidence prediction of an away win, proving the match was far too close to call.
Outcome probability
Minnesota United FC and Orlando City SC face off in what promises to be a tightly contested MLS regular season match. Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability recently, setting the stage for an engaging battle on the pitch.
Match factors
Minnesota's attacking duo in form
Yeboah and Markanich show strong scoring form, likely to challenge Orlando's defense effectively.
Orlando's top scorer Ojeda key to away win
Ojeda's 11 goals in 15 games make him the main threat to Minnesota's defense.
Pereyra's creativity boosts Minnesota attack
With 6 assists, Pereyra is the main creative outlet, enhancing scoring chances.
Triantis doubtful, midfield control uncertain
Triantis' doubtful status may weaken Minnesota's midfield stability if he misses out.
Both teams scoring consistently in recent matches
Minnesota and Orlando have positive scoring streaks, supporting a competitive match with goals.
The context
Minnesota United FC currently sit 12th in the league with 25 points from 20 games, while Orlando City SC are just a few places above in 9th with 24 points from 21 matches. This mid-table tussle sees both sides eager to climb the standings as the season progresses.
Key insights
K. Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
Leads team scoring with 8 goals, including strong away form with 3 goals in last 10 away games, making him a key attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/278 goals in 18 appearances, 0.44 goals/game
M. Ojeda
Orlando City SC
Top scorer with 11 goals in 15 games, an exceptional scoring rate and main threat for Orlando's predicted away win.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 15 appearances, 0.73 goals/game
J. Pereyra
Minnesota United FC
Creative force with 6 assists, key playmaker enhancing Minnesota's scoring chances.
Major League Soccer 26/276 assists in 19 appearances, 0.32 assists/game
- N
N. Triantis
Minnesota United FC
Doubtful due to lower-body injury, his absence could weaken Minnesota's midfield control.
Analysis
Orlando City SC's attacking threat is spearheaded by M. Ojeda, who boasts an impressive 11 goals in 15 appearances, making him a key figure in their push for victory. Minnesota's hopes rest on K. Yeboah and A. Markanich, who have contributed significantly to their goal tally this season. The absence of N. Triantis due to a doubtful status could impact Minnesota's midfield control, potentially giving Orlando an edge. Both teams have been scoring consistently, suggesting a match with goals and competitive play.
Key facts
- 1.Minnesota United FC are 12th with 25 points from 20 games (6 wins, 7 draws, 7 losses).
- 2.Orlando City SC are 9th with 24 points from 21 games.
- 3.Orlando City SC's M. Ojeda has scored 11 goals in 15 appearances this season.
- 4.Minnesota's K. Yeboah leads his team with 8 goals in 18 appearances.
- 5.J. Pereyra leads Minnesota with 6 assists, boosting their attacking chances.
- 6.Orlando's defensive player Adrián Marín contributes with 3 assists and solid defensive stats.
- 7.N. Triantis is doubtful for Minnesota, potentially weakening their midfield.
- 8.Away wins have the highest combined probability at over 51%, favouring Orlando.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Orlando City SC with a 2-1 scoreline. Their superior attacking form and the presence of a prolific scorer in Ojeda tip the scales in their favour. Minnesota United FC will likely put up a strong fight, but Orlando's ability to convert chances should see them through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Minnesota United FC
Away — Orlando City SC
The verdict
Expect a lively encounter with both teams eager to claim valuable points. Orlando City SC's attacking prowess and Minnesota's resilience promise an entertaining match, ultimately ending in a narrow away victory.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Dike
Markanich
Yellow Card
Callender
Griezmann
Yellow Card
Dike
Gerbet
Griezmann
Assist: Ellis
Boxall
Yellow Card
Caldeira
Assist: Yeboah
Caldeira
Trapp
Ellis
Markanich
Assist: Pereyra
Yeboah
Taifi
Atuesta
Yeboah
Pereyra
Pasalic
Yellow Card
Spicer
Assist: Griezmann
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | +30 | 46 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 29 |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 |  Austin | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -12 | 29 |
Match Statistics
Minnesota United FC
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 3K. DuncanM
- 9K. YeboahF
- 12D. CallenderG
- 13A. MarkanichM
- 15M. BoxallD
- 20W. TrappM
- 22Marcus CaldeiraF
- 23M. DugganD
- 26J. PereyraF
- 28J. DíazD
- 30O. GeneM
Substitutes
- 1A. SmirG
- 2D. PadelfordD
- 5N. RomeroD
- 8T. ChancalayF
- 16A. JacksonM
- 18M. GonzalezF
- 25N. TriantisD
- 29M.DiengF
- 67C. HarveyM
Orlando City SC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 6R. JanssonD
- 7A. GriezmannF
- 9D. DikeF
- 19Z. TaifiD
- 20E. AtuestaM
- 22Justin EllisM
- 24G. DorseyD
- 35Joran GerbetM
- 71M. CrépeauG
- 77I. AnguloM
Substitutes
- 5Luis OtávioM
- 10M. OjedaM
- 11TiagoF
- 12Javier OteroG
- 14T. SpicerF
- 16W. CartagenaM
- 23Harvey SarajianF
- 57IagoD
- 87Marco PasalicF
Minnesota United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joaquín Pereyra | F | 92 | 8.2 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1/1 |
| Kelvin Yeboah | F | 85 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0/2 |
| Anthony Markanich | M | 95 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Kyle Duncan | M | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Owen Gene | M | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Wil Trapp | M | 72 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Drake Callender | G | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Díaz | D | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Marcus Caldeira | F | 72 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Morris Duggan | D | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Michael Boxall(C) | D | 95 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mamadou Dieng | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Devin Padelford | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aziel Jackson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Romero | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Harvey | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio González | F | 23 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Tomás Chancalay | F | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Alec Smir | G | 50 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nectarios Triantis | D | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Orlando City SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Griezmann | F | 95 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Daryl Dike | F | 59 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Maxime Crépeau | G | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Angulo | M | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Justin Ellis | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Joran Gerbet | M | 59 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Griffin Dorsey | D | 95 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Brekalo | D | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduard Atuesta | M | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Robin Jansson(C) | D | 95 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Taifi | D | 81 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Iago Silva | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wilder Cartagena | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Otero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Souza | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyrese Spicer | F | 22 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Otávio | M | 36 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Harvey Sarajian | F | 36 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martín Ojeda | M | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Pašalić | F | 14 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |