Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC
Match recap
Los Angeles FC beat Minnesota United FC 1–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Martínez scored for Los Angeles FC. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.88 for Minnesota United FC versus 0.80 for Los Angeles FC. Minnesota United FC sit 13th in the Major League Soccer table while Los Angeles FC are 6th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 Minnesota United FC win
Actual
0–1
Outcome probability
Minnesota United FC and Los Angeles FC face off in a regular season clash where the home side's attacking prowess and recent form suggest a strong chance of victory.
Match factors
Minnesota's attacking trio in strong form
Yeboah leads with 15 goals and Markanich adds 8, providing potent attacking options at home
LAFC's creative edge with Son Heung-Min
Son's 10 assists and 6 goals make him a key playmaker and scoring threat for LAFC
Minnesota's home scoring streak
Minnesota has scored in last 5 home games, supporting predicted 3 goals at home
Minnesota missing key attacker Pereyra
Pereyra is out with muscle injury, removing a creative and scoring option from Minnesota
LAFC's defensive solidity recently
LAFC concedes fewer goals on average (1.07) and has higher clean sheet rate than Minnesota
The context
Minnesota United FC currently sit 14th in the league with 30 points from 28 games, while Los Angeles FC hold 6th place with 42 points from 29 matches. Historically, LAFC have had the upper hand in their 15 meetings, but recent form and home advantage could tilt the scales.
Key insights
Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
Top scorer in the league with 15 goals, showing strong home scoring form with 3 goals in last 3 home games, making him a key threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2715 goals in 27 appearances, 0.56 goals/game
Anthony Markanich
Minnesota United FC
Midfielder with 8 goals this season, consistently starting and scoring recently, adding valuable support to the attack.
Major League Soccer 26/278 goals in 28 appearances, 0.29 goals/game
Dénis Bouanga
Los Angeles FC
LAFC's top scorer with 15 goals and 5 assists, a constant attacking threat who can change the game.
Major League Soccer 26/2715 goals and 5 assists in 27 appearances
Son Heung-Min
Los Angeles FC
Key playmaker with 10 assists and 6 goals, providing creativity and scoring ability for LAFC.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 assists and 6 goals in 26 appearances
Analysis
Minnesota's attacking trio, led by Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah with 15 goals this season, is in excellent form, especially at home where they've scored in their last five games. Anthony Markanich adds further firepower with 8 goals. Despite missing key attacker Pereyra due to a muscle injury, Minnesota's offensive threat remains potent. LAFC rely heavily on Dénis Bouanga and Son Heung-Min, the latter providing 10 assists this season, but Minnesota's defensive resilience and home momentum are likely to stifle their efforts.
Key facts
- 1.Minnesota United FC are 14th in the league with 30 points from 28 games.
- 2.Los Angeles FC are 6th with 42 points from 29 games.
- 3.Minnesota have scored in their last 5 home games, showing strong attacking form.
- 4.Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah is Minnesota's top scorer with 15 goals this season.
- 5.Dénis Bouanga leads LAFC with 15 goals and 5 assists this season.
- 6.Son Heung-Min has provided 10 assists for LAFC, the highest in the team.
- 7.Minnesota is missing key attacker Pereyra due to a muscle injury.
- 8.In 15 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota have won 3, LAFC 7, with 5 draws.
Prediction
We predict Minnesota United FC to take an early lead, reflected in a 1-0 halftime score, and extend their advantage to a 3-1 fulltime victory. The match is expected to be competitive but ultimately controlled by Minnesota, with a moderate number of cards likely to be shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Minnesota United FC
Away — Los Angeles FC
The verdict
Minnesota United FC's strong home form and attacking depth should see them through to a confident 3-1 win over Los Angeles FC, who will find it tough to break down their hosts' defence and firepower.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:56 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Martínez
Assist: Tillman
Long
Tillman
Yellow Card
Yeboah
Yellow Card
Eustáquio
Martínez
M.Dieng
Rodríguez
Hlongwane
Triantis
Trapp
Ordaz
Hollingshead
Yellow Card
Smolyakov
Palencia
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
Match Statistics
Minnesota United FC
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 2D. PadelfordD
- 9K. YeboahF
- 10J. RodríguezF
- 12D. CallenderG
- 13A. MarkanichM
- 20W. TrappM
- 21B. HlongwaneM
- 23M. DugganD
- 25N. TriantisM
- 28J. DíazD
- 29M.DiengF
Substitutes
- 1A. SmirG
- 3K. DuncanD
- 5N. RomeroD
- 8T. ChancalayF
- 18M. GonzalezF
- 26J. PereyraM
- 27D. TaylorD
- 30O. GeneM
- 33K. ChandlerD
Los Angeles FC
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1H. LlorisG
- 4E. SeguraD
- 11T. TillmanM
- 24R. HollingsheadM
- 27N. OrdazF
- 29A. SmolyakovM
- 30D. MartínezF
- 33A. LongD
- 46S. EustáquioM
- 91N. TafariD
- 99D. BouangaF
Substitutes
- 5R. PorteousD
- 14Sergi PalenciaD
- 17J. EbobisseF
- 18J. ShaffelburgF
- 19T. BoydF
- 21R. RaposoM
- 22Jude TerryM
- 31Cabral CarterG
- 66M. ChoinièreM
Minnesota United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Rodriguez | F | 63 | 7.9 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2/2 |
| Jefferson Díaz | D | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Drake Callender | G | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Markanich | M | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Wil Trapp(C) | M | 78 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Nectarios Triantis | M | 78 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Devin Padelford | D | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Morris Duggan | D | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | M | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Kelvin Yeboah | F | 95 | 5.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/7 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| D.J. Taylor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alec Smir | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Romero | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran Chandler | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Pereyra | M | 32 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Kyle Duncan | D | 33 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Owen Gene | M | 17 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Tomás Chancalay | F | 32 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Mauricio González | F | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Los Angeles FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nkosi Tafari | D | 95 | 8.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Timothy Tillman | M | 95 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/5 |
| David Martínez Morales | F | 60 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Hugo Lloris | G | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Aaron Long(C) | D | 45 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eddie Segura | D | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Denis Bouanga | F | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4/7 |
| Ryan Hollingshead | M | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Stephen Eustaquio | M | 59 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Nathan Ordaz | F | 84 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Artem Smoliakov | M | 92 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Sergi Palencia | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cabral Carter | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Raposo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Shaffelburg | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Boyd | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Porteous | D | 50 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathieu Choinière | M | 36 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jude Terry | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Ebobisse | F | 35 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Minnesota United FC to win against Los Angeles FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Minnesota United FC 3–1 Los Angeles FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster's model gave Minnesota United FC a 88% chance of winning, Los Angeles FC a 6% chance, and a 6% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 88% confidence — a high-confidence call.