Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United edge Minnesota in tight clash
A late strike from T. Muyumba seals a narrow win for the visitors.
Atlanta United FC secured a 2-1 victory over Minnesota United FC in a closely contested Major League Soccer match. T. Jacob opened the scoring before A. Markanich levelled for Minnesota, but T. Muyumba's goal after the break proved decisive. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Minnesota win, highlighting the unpredictability of the game.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-0 Minnesota United FC win
Actual
1–2
Outcome probability
Match factors
Home Win Dominance
Home win outcomes sum to 63.4% probability, clearly leading over draws and away wins.
Modal Scoreline
1-0 is the most probable home win scoreline at 17.8%.
Halftime Consistency
Halftime 1-0 is modal and consistent with fulltime 1-0 scoreline.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Minnesota United FC
Away — Atlanta United FC
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Alonso
Yellow Card
Boxall
Yellow Card
Pereyra
Yellow Card
Jacob
Gill
Yellow Card
Sanchez
Yellow Card
Markanich
Sanchez
Picault
Caldeira
Hlongwane
Chancalay
Yellow Card
Muyumba
Assist: Miranchuk
Miranchuk
Trapp
Chancalay
Gill
Muyumba
Gene
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | +27 | 40 |
| 9 |  Portland Timbers | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +1 | 28 |
| 10 |  Minnesota United FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 11 |  San Diego | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | +5 | 27 |
Match Statistics
Minnesota United FC
3-4-3Starting XI
- 8T. ChancalayF
- 12D. CallenderG
- 13A. MarkanichM
- 15M. BoxallD
- 20W. TrappM
- 21B. HlongwaneM
- 22Marcus CaldeiraF
- 23M. DugganD
- 26J. PereyraF
- 28J. DíazD
- 30O. GeneM
Substitutes
- 1A. SmirG
- 2D. PadelfordD
- 3K. DuncanD
- 9K. YeboahF
- 16A. JacksonM
- 18M. GonzalezF
- 24J. GresselM
- 29M.DiengF
- 67C. HarveyM
Atlanta United FC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1L. HoyosG
- 3E. BáezD
- 5S. GregersenD
- 6J. AlonsoD
- 8T. MuyumbaM
- 10M. AlmirónM
- 16Adrian GillM
- 22F. PicaultF
- 48C. SanchezM
- 55T. JacobD
- 59A. MiranchukF
Substitutes
- 2R. HernándezD
- 4E. MihajD
- 7S. AlzateM
- 19Sergio SantosF
- 20L. BrennanM
- 27P. DíazD
- 30C. TogashiF
- 42Jayden HibbertG
- 47Matthew EdwardsD
Minnesota United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Markanich | M | 83 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | — | — |
| Joaquín Pereyra | F | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Wil Trapp | M | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Drake Callender | G | 83 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcus Caldeira | F | 68 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Owen Gene | M | 83 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Michael Boxall(C) | D | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Díaz | D | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | M | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Morris Duggan | D | 83 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Tomás Chancalay | F | 80 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Julian Gressel | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio González | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Devin Padelford | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alec Smir | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kelvin Yeboah | F | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Harvey | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Duncan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 15 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Aziel Jackson | M | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
Atlanta United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomás Jacob | D | 83 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Tristan Muyumba | M | 83 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Lucas Hoyos | G | 83 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stian Gregersen | D | 83 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Junior Alonso | D | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Miguel Almirón(C) | F | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Adrian Gill | M | 83 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Elías Báez | D | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Cooper Sanchez | M | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fafà Picault | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aleksey Miranchuk | F | 79 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ronald Hernández | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Díaz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enea Mihaj | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cayman Togashi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Santos | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthew Edwards | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Hibbert | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Steven Alzate | M | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke Brennan | M | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |