Millwall vs Hull City
Match recap
Hull City beat Millwall 2–0 in their Championship fixture. Belloumi and Gelhardt scored for Hull City. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.87 for Millwall versus 2.12 for Hull City. Millwall sit 3rd in the Championship table while Hull City are 6th.
Analysis
The semi-final showdown between Millwall and Hull City promises to be a closely fought affair. Both teams have demonstrated resilience and attacking flair this season, setting the stage for a competitive encounter at The Den.
Millwall, playing at home, boast a superior goal difference and a strong midfield led by Femi Azeez and Camiel Neghli, who have been instrumental in creating chances. Hull City, meanwhile, have shown consistent scoring form on the road, with Oliver McBurnie spearheading their attack.
Millwall's J. Coburn has been in fine goal-scoring form recently, making him a key player to watch. Hull City's offensive edge is highlighted by their higher expected goals in this fixture and the presence of reliable scorers like McBurnie and Kyle Joseph. Defensively, both sides are well-organised, suggesting a balanced contest.
Prediction
Given the attacking strengths and defensive solidity on both sides, a 1-1 draw appears the most likely outcome. The match is expected to be competitive with a moderate number of cards, reflecting the high stakes and intensity of a semi-final.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Millwall's attacking midfield strength
Millwall's midfielders Azeez and Neghli show strong recent form and creativity, likely to unlock Hull's defense.
Coburn's goal-scoring form
Coburn leads Millwall's scoring with multiple goals recently, increasing likelihood of scoring in this match.
Hull's away scoring consistency
Hull has scored in all last 5 away matches, showing strong attacking momentum on the road.
Recent Millwall vs Hull encounters
Recent fixtures show balanced scoring with key players from both sides contributing goals and assists.
No significant injuries reported
Both teams have full squads available, so no major impact from missing players expected.
Key Takeaways
Fans can anticipate a thrilling semi-final where neither side gives an inch. With key players in form and no significant injuries, this encounter should deliver drama and quality, culminating in a well-earned draw.
- Millwall have a better goal difference (+15) than Hull City (+4) this season.
- Hull City have won 8 of 20 meetings against Millwall, who have won 5, with 7 draws.
- Hull City have higher expected goals (2.12) than Millwall (0.87) in this fixture.
- Millwall's J. Coburn has scored 7 goals this season, including multiple recent goals.
- Hull City's Oliver McBurnie is their leading striker with consistent goal scoring.
- Both teams have full squads available with no significant injuries reported.
- The modal total cards predicted for the match is 4, indicating a moderately physical game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Millwall
Away — Hull City
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Egan
Yellow Card
Joseph
Hughes
Yellow Card
Ballo
Norton Sturge
De Norre
Belloumi
Assist: Crooks
Belloumi
Yellow Card
Millar
Gelhardt
Assist: Belloumi
Giles
Slater
McBurnie
Coburn
Mazou-Sacko
Azeez
Yellow Card
Gelhardt
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | +52 | 95 |
| 2 |  Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | +33 | 84 |
| 3 |  Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | +15 | 83 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 | 80 |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +25 | 80 |
| 6 |  Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | +4 | 73 |
| 7 |  Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | +4 | 71 |
Match Statistics
Millwall
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3Zak Norton SturgeD
- 4T. CramaD
- 5J. CooperD
- 7T. BalloM
- 10C. NeghliM
- 11O. AzeezM
- 13A. PattersonG
- 18R. LeonardD
- 19J. CoburnF
- 24C. De NorreM
- 49D. Mazou-SackoM
Substitutes
- 2D. McNamaraD
- 8B. MitchellM
- 9M. IvanovićF
- 14A. DoughtyM
- 15M. CrocombeG
- 17M. LangstaffF
- 22T. WatsonF
- 25L. CundleM
- 67B. BannanM
Hull City
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1I. PandurG
- 2L. CoyleM
- 3R. GilesM
- 4C. HughesD
- 6S. AjayiD
- 7L. MillarF
- 9O. McBurnieF
- 15J. EganD
- 22K. JosephF
- 25M. CrooksM
- 27R. SlaterM
Substitutes
- 5J. LundstramM
- 10M. BelloumiF
- 12D. PhillipsG
- 13Y. HirakawaF
- 21J. GelhardtF
- 23A. FamewoD
- 26K. DowellM
- 36L. KoumasF
- 37P. McNairD
Millwall
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Crama | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Anthony Patterson | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Camiel Neghli | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Femi Azeez | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Thierno Ballo | M | 57 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Zak Sturge | D | 63 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Derek Mazou-Sacko | M | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Casper De Norre | M | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jake Cooper(C) | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Leonard | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Josh Coburn | F | 85 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Danny McNamara | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Billy Mitchell | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Watson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Crocombe | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mihailo Ivanović | F | 33 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alfie Doughty | M | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Luke Cundle | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Barry Bannan | M | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Macaulay Langstaff | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Hull City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regan Slater | M | 84 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2/2 |
| Kyle Joseph | F | 44 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John Egan | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — |
| Ivor Pandur | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Crooks | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Semi Ajayi | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liam Millar | F | 78 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Charlie Hughes | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Lewie Coyle(C) | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Giles | M | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Oli McBurnie | F | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 2/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yu Hirakawa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Akin Famewo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dillon Phillips | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran Dowell | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Belloumi | F | 46 | 8.6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2/3 |
| Joe Gelhardt | F | 12 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| John Lundstram | M | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paddy McNair | D | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Koumas | F | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |