Middlesbrough vs Charlton
Middlesbrough cruise to comfortable win
Berhalter and Lankshear seal a commanding 3-0 victory over Charlton
Middlesbrough asserted their dominance with an early strike from S. Berhalter and a first-half double from W. Lankshear, who added a second goal after the break to complete the 3-0 rout. Charlton were left chasing shadows as the home side controlled the game from start to finish. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the actual scoreline was a bit more modest than the anticipated 4-1.
Outcome probability
Middlesbrough face Charlton in the 13th round of the regular season, with the home side looking to extend their impressive run. Charlton, struggling in the lower half of the table, will find it tough to contain Middlesbrough's attacking threat.
Match factors
Lankshear's prolific scoring form
William Lankshear's 9 goals in 11 games and recent 5 goals in last 5 matches give Middlesbrough a clear attacking edge
Cozier-Duberry's creative influence
Amario Cozier-Duberry's 4 assists in last 5 games and strong passing accuracy boost Middlesbrough's chance creation
Middlesbrough's scoring streak
Middlesbrough has scored in last 5 home games, supporting the predicted 4 goals in this fixture
Charlton's key absences weaken attack
Charlton has 4 confirmed outs including key midfielders and defenders, reducing their defensive solidity and attacking threat
Morris' midfield defensive dominance
Aidan Morris averages 3.6 tackles per game, above league average, helping Middlesbrough control midfield and limit Charlton's chances
The context
Middlesbrough currently lead the league with 25 points from 12 games, boasting a superior goal difference of +15. Charlton sit 16th with 14 points from 11 games, reflecting their inconsistent form. Head-to-head, Middlesbrough have the upper hand, winning 8 of their last 12 encounters against Charlton.
Key insights
William Lankshear
Middlesbrough
William Lankshear's 9 goals in 11 games and recent 5 goals in last 5 matches give Middlesbrough a clear attacking edge
Championship 26/279 goals in 11 appearances, 0.82 goals/game
Amario Cozier-Duberry
Middlesbrough
Amario Cozier-Duberry's 4 assists in last 5 games and strong passing accuracy boost Middlesbrough's chance creation
Championship 26/274 assists in last 5 games, 0.8 assists/game
- A
Aidan Morris
Middlesbrough
Aidan Morris averages 3.6 tackles per game, above league average, helping Middlesbrough control midfield and limit Charlton's chances
Championship 26/273.6 tackles per game
Analysis
Middlesbrough's attacking prowess is spearheaded by William Lankshear, who has netted 9 goals in 11 appearances, including 5 in his last 5 games. Midfielder Amario Cozier-Duberry adds creativity with 4 assists in his last 5 outings, linking well with Lankshear. Defensively, Aidan Morris provides solidity in midfield with an impressive tackle rate, helping to stifle Charlton's advances. Charlton's squad is weakened by key absences, further tipping the scales in Middlesbrough's favour.
Key facts
- 1.Middlesbrough lead the league with 25 points from 12 games.
- 2.Charlton are 16th with 14 points from 11 games.
- 3.Middlesbrough have a +15 goal difference, significantly better than Charlton.
- 4.Middlesbrough have won 8 of the last 12 head-to-head matches against Charlton.
- 5.William Lankshear has scored 9 goals in 11 games this season.
- 6.Amario Cozier-Duberry has provided 4 assists in his last 5 games.
- 7.Predicted halftime score is 2-0 in favour of Middlesbrough.
- 8.Total cards predicted to be around 4, indicating moderate discipline.
Prediction
Expect Middlesbrough to take control early, leading 2-0 at halftime before cruising to a 4-1 victory. The match should feature moderate discipline, with around four cards shown. Charlton's defensive frailties and Middlesbrough's clinical finishing make this a comfortable home win.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Middlesbrough
Away — Charlton
No standout top scorers flagged for Charlton
The verdict
Middlesbrough's form, combined with their attacking firepower and Charlton's struggles, points to a dominant performance. Fans can anticipate a lively game with plenty of goals and a clear winner by the final whistle.
Prediction generated 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bindon
Yellow Card
Berhalter
Assist: Cozier-Duberry
McGree
Yellow Card
Lankshear
Assist: Berhalter
Ramsay
Phillips
Yellow Card
Neto Borges
McGree
Rankin-Costello
Leaburn
Cozier-Duberry
Conway
Bindon
Skipp
Lankshear
Lankshear
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 |
Match Statistics
Middlesbrough
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1R. VítekG
- 2C. BrittainD
- 4A. PhillipsD
- 6S. BerhalterM
- 7W. LankshearF
- 8R. McGreeM
- 9T. ConwayM
- 10A. MorrisM
- 11A. Cozier-DuberryM
- 29A. MalandaD
- 30Neto BorgesD
Substitutes
- 3S. ByramD
- 12L. AylingD
- 13D. StrelecF
- 14M. Peart-HarrisM
- 16J. SarmientoF
- 17M. ArfstenD
- 19Leo CastledineM
- 22K. JosephF
- 31S. BrynnG
Charlton
5-3-2Starting XI
- 2K. RamsayD
- 5L. JonesD
- 8H. KnibbsM
- 11M. LeaburnF
- 12Billy Dawson KoumetioD
- 13A. OkonkwoG
- 17A. BellD
- 23C. KelmanM
- 26J. Rankin-CostelloF
- 34O. SkippM
- 44Tyler BindonD
Substitutes
- 6C. CoventryM
- 7T. CampbellF
- 9K. Ahearne-GrantF
- 14S. CareyM
- 15N. ChalobahM
- 18I. MesíkD
- 19M. AlliF
- 20D. McNamaraD
- 25W. MannionG
Middlesbrough
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Berhalter | M | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1/1 |
| W. Lankshear | F | 83 | 8.9 | 2 | — | 5 | 3 | — | 0/1 |
| C. Brittain | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| A. Cozier-Duberry | M | 78 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 4 | 1/2 |
| A. Phillips | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Malanda | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Byram | D | 26 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Arfsten | D | 12 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neto Borges | D | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| T. Conway | M | 78 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Peart-Harris | M | 26 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Sarmiento | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Morris | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Strelec | F | 7 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Vítek | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. McGree | M | 64 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. Brynn | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Joseph | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Castledine | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ayling | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Charlton
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Campbell | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| L. Jones | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Leaburn | F | 66 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| K. Ahearne-Grant | F | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| O. Skipp | M | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Alli | F | 9 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. McNamara | D | 44 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Kelman | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/1 |
| K. Ramsay | D | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Chalobah | M | 9 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Rankin-Costello | F | 66 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Billy Dawson Koumetio | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Okonkwo | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bell | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Tyler Bindon | D | 81 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| H. Knibbs | M | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/3 |
| I. Mesík | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Mannion | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Coventry | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Carey | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Middlesbrough to win against Charlton.
- What score did Fipster predict for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Middlesbrough 4–1 Charlton.
- What were the win probabilities for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
- Fipster's model gave Middlesbrough a 95% chance of winning, Charlton a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.