Marseille vs Rennes
Match recap
Marseille beat Rennes 3–1 in their Ligue 1 fixture. Højbjerg, Gouiri, and Aubameyang scored for Marseille; Lepaul replied for Rennes. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 3.01 for Marseille versus 2.56 for Rennes. Marseille sit 5th in the Ligue 1 table while Rennes are 6th.
Analysis
As the Ligue 1 season nears its climax, Marseille host Rennes in what promises to be a tightly contested affair. Both sides are close in the standings, making every point crucial.
Marseille sit just behind Rennes in the league table, with a slightly better goal difference. Historically, Marseille have the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, winning half of their last 20 meetings.
Marseille's attacking duo, Mason Greenwood and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, have been in fine form, especially Greenwood who boasts 10 goals in his last 10 games with a 79% shot conversion rate. Midfield maestro Pierre-Emile Højbjerg's passing and assist stats give Marseille a tactical edge. Rennes, meanwhile, have been consistent scorers away from home but their defence has shown vulnerabilities.
Prediction
Expect a competitive first half ending 1-1, with both teams finding the net. However, Marseille's home advantage and clinical finishing should see them edge a 2-1 victory by fulltime, with around three cards likely to keep things spicy.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Marseille's potent home attack
Marseille scores consistently at home (2.38 goals avg), leveraging Greenwood and Aubameyang's form.
Greenwood's scoring efficiency
Greenwood's 10 goals in last 10 matches and 79% shot conversion rate give Marseille a clear scoring edge.
Rennes' scoring streak
Rennes has scored in last 5 away games, indicating offensive momentum despite defensive vulnerabilities.
Højbjerg's midfield control
Højbjerg's high passing and assist stats provide Marseille control and chance creation advantage.
No major injuries reported
Both teams have no significant injuries, allowing full-strength lineups and tactical consistency.
Key Takeaways
With no major injuries and key players in form, this match should deliver the drama Ligue 1 fans crave. Marseille's slight edge in quality and home comfort makes them favourites to claim all three points.
- Marseille have won 10 of the last 20 meetings against Rennes.
- Average goals per match in this fixture is 2.4, favouring Marseille's attack.
- Rennes currently sit 5th with 59 points, Marseille 6th with 56 points.
- Marseille boast a superior goal difference (+16) compared to Rennes (+11).
- Mason Greenwood has scored 10 goals in his last 10 games with a 79% shot conversion.
- Pierre-Emile Højbjerg leads Marseille's midfield with 5 assists and high passing volume.
- Rennes have scored in their last 5 away matches, showing good offensive form.
- The predicted total number of cards in the match is 3.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Marseille
Away — Rennes
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Højbjerg
Assist: Greenwood
Gouiri
Szymański
Højbjerg
Yellow Card
Aubameyang
Assist: Højbjerg
Mousa Tamari
Igor Paixão
Gouiri
Yellow Card
Blas
Camara
Yellow Card
Højbjerg
Nnadi
Lepaul
Assist: Nordin
Weah
Pavard
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 | 76 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 60 |
| 5 |  Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 | 59 |
| 6 |  Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +9 | 59 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +6 | 54 |
Match Statistics
Marseille
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Gerónimo RulliG
- 5Leonardo Julián Balerdi RosaD
- 6Tochukwu NnadiM
- 9Amine Ferid GouiriM
- 10Mason Will John GreenwoodM
- 14Igor PaixãoM
- 17Pierre-Emerick Emiliano Franço AubameyangF
- 22Timothy Tarpeh WeahD
- 23Pierre-Emile Kordt HøjbjergM
- 32Facundo Axel MedinaD
- 33EmersonD
Substitutes
- 11Ethan Chidiebere NwaneriM
- 12Jeffrey de LangeG
- 18Arthur Denis VermeerenM
- 26Bilal NadirM
- 27Quinten Ryan Crispito TimberM
- 28Benjamin Jacques Marcel PavardD
- 71Nouhoum KamissokoM
- 72Hilan Hamzaoui SlimaniD
- 78Ange LagoF
Rennes
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 9Esteban LepaulF
- 10Ludovic Régis Arsène BlasM
- 11Mousa TamariM
- 17Sebastian SzymańskiM
- 18Mahamadou Aboubakar NagidaD
- 21Valentin RongierM
- 24Anthony RouaultD
- 26Quentin MerlinD
- 45Mahdi CamaraM
- 48Abdelhamid Aït BoudlalD
- 50Mathys SilistrieG
Substitutes
- 3Lilian BrassierD
- 6Djaoui CisséM
- 7Breel Donald EmboloF
- 36Alidu SeiduD
- 60Kilian BelazzougG
- 65Nordan MukieleF
- 69Henrick Do MarcolinoF
- 70Arnaud Dominique NordinF
- 77Mohamed Yassir ZabiriF
Marseille
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Emile Højbjerg(C) | M | 82 | 9.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Mason Greenwood | M | 90 | 8.6 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6/8 |
| Amine Gouiri | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Leonardo Balerdi | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Facundo Medina | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Emerson | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | 0/1 |
| Gerónimo Rulli | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Paixão | M | 72 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | F | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 6 | 6 | — | 1/1 |
| Tim Weah | D | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Tochukwu Nnadi | M | 83 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Bilal Nadir | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hilan Hamzaoui Slimani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ange Lago | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Nwaneri | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeffrey De Lange | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nouhoum Kamissoko | M | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Pavard | D | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Quinten Timber | M | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur Vermeeren | M | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rennes
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentin Rongier(C) | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Esteban Lepaul | F | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Mathys Silistrie | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mahdi Camara | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Quentin Merlin | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| Mousa Tamari | M | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3/5 |
| Sebastian Szymański | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Anthony Rouault | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ludovic Blas | M | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4/6 |
| Mahamadou Nagida | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kilian Belazzoug | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yassir Zabiri | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henrick Do Marcolino | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Djaoui Cissé | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alidu Seidu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lilian Brassier | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arnaud Nordin | F | 23 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| Nordan Mukiele | F | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Breel Embolo | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 1/3 |