Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos snatch narrow win at Marseille
S. Hezze's first-half strike secures a slender away victory in a tight Europa League clash.
Olympiakos Piraeus edged out Marseille 1-0 thanks to S. Hezze's decisive goal just before half-time. Despite Marseille's efforts, they couldn't find an equaliser, leaving the home side to rue missed chances. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Marseille win, proving the visitors' resilience on the road.
Outcome probability
Marseille, also known as Les Olympiens, face off against Olympiakos Piraeus in a Group Stage fixture that promises a competitive battle. Both teams enter this match with full squads available, setting the stage for an intriguing contest.
Match factors
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both Marseille and Olympiakos have no confirmed absences, ensuring full squad availability.
Limited player data restricts individual impact predictions
Absence of top scorers and assisters data for both teams limits ability to identify key contributors.
Uncertain form due to lack of recent fixture data
No recent home or away fixtures data for Marseille and Olympiakos hinders form-based predictions.
The context
This Group Stage match sees Marseille and Olympiakos Piraeus looking to gain early momentum in the competition. Neither side has recent fixture data to gauge current form, making this encounter a bit of a blank canvas. Both teams have no confirmed injuries, so expect full-strength lineups aiming to impress.
Key facts
- 1.Marseille and Olympiakos have no confirmed injuries, ensuring full squads.
- 2.Home win is the most probable outcome with a 44% aggregate probability.
- 3.2-1 is the most likely exact scoreline among home wins.
- 4.Halftime score is uncertain, with 0-0 or 1-0 both plausible.
- 5.Four total cards predicted, indicating moderate disciplinary action.
- 6.No recent fixture data available for either team to assess form.
- 7.Limited player data restricts individual impact predictions.
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a home win for Marseille with a 2-1 scoreline, reflecting the highest aggregate probability among possible outcomes. The halftime score remains uncertain, with a 0-0 or 1-0 scenario both plausible. The expected total of four cards suggests a moderately physical game. Limited player data restricts detailed individual impact analysis, but full squad availability means both teams can field their best.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Marseille
Away — Olympiakos Piraeus
Prediction
Marseille are forecasted to clinch a 2-1 victory over Olympiakos Piraeus. While the confidence in this call is low due to limited data and early competition stage, the home side's slight edge in probabilities makes them the favourites to take all three points.
The verdict
In summary, expect a closely fought Group Stage match with Marseille narrowly overcoming Olympiakos Piraeus. The game should offer a decent mix of attacking play and competitive spirit, with a few cards likely to spice things up.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Abdallah
Yellow Card
Hezze
Assist: Chiquinho
Retsos
Yellow Card
Onyemaechi
Yellow Card
Nnadi
Maupay
Emerson
Puerta
Yaremchuk
Jota Silva
Onyemaechi
Gomes
Meité
Yellow Card
Abdallah
Chiquinho
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |  Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 |  NEC Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Marseille
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6T. NnadiM
- 7A. GomesM
- 8H. AbdelliM
- 11N. MaupayF
- 12J. de LangeG
- 14Igor PaixãoM
- 18B. MeitéD
- 21N. AguerdD
- 22T. WeahD
- 33EmersonD
- 48K. AbdallahM
Substitutes
- 4C. Egan-RileyD
- 9A. GouiriF
- 19G. KondogbiaM
- 25U. GarciaD
- 29F. MoumbagnaF
- 40J. Van NeckG
- 43T. MmadiF
- 46E. MbondoD
- 74K. BezahafD
- 77A. HaritM
- 92T. VermotG
Olympiakos Piraeus
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1S. OrtegaG
- 2M. SaliakasD
- 5L. PirolaD
- 10Gelson MartinsM
- 11R. YaremchukF
- 15G. PuertaM
- 20Jota SilvaM
- 22ChiquinhoM
- 32S. HezzeM
- 45P. RetsosD
- 70S. OnyemaechiD
Substitutes
- 4Z. SmajlovićD
- 6David CarmoD
- 7K. FortounisM
- 8Gustavo SáM
- 19R. FreulerM
- 27M. PedersenD
- 34A. GonzálezF
- 71N. TiknizyanD
- 77C. FilisM
- 91D. StournarasG
Marseille
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Paixão | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0/2 |
| J. de Lange | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gomes | M | 75 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| N. Aguerd | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| T. Weah | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| H. Abdelli | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| T. Nnadi | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| B. Meité | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| U. Garcia | D | 28 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Emerson | D | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gouiri | F | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Abdallah | M | 80 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/4 |
| N. Maupay | F | 62 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Harit | M | 28 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| F. Moumbagna | F | 15 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Kondogbia | M | 10 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Vermot | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Egan-Riley | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Van Neck | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Mbondo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Mmadi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Bezahaf | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Olympiakos Piraeus
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hezze | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| S. Ortega | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Pirola | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chiquinho | M | 82 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Freuler | M | 23 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Retsos | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| M. Saliakas | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. Tiknizyan | D | 17 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Sá | M | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Fortounis | M | 18 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Onyemaechi | D | 73 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gelson Martins | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/3 |
| Jota Silva | M | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/3 |
| G. Puerta | M | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. González | F | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Yaremchuk | F | 67 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Filis | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pedersen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Carmo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Stournaras | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Smajlović | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Marseille to win against Olympiakos Piraeus.
- What score did Fipster predict for Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Marseille 2–1 Olympiakos Piraeus.
- What were the win probabilities for Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
- Fipster's model gave Marseille a 35% chance of winning, Olympiakos Piraeus a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.