Maritimo vs Santa Clara
Santa Clara secures solid win at Maritimo
Tiago Ribeiro and Vinícius Lopes strike to seal a confident away victory.
Santa Clara claimed a 2-0 victory over Maritimo in the Primeira Liga, with Tiago Ribeiro opening the scoring in the first half and Vinícius Lopes doubling the lead after the break. The away side controlled the match well, securing a comfortable win without reply. Fipster's high-confidence prediction for an away win with this exact scoreline proved spot on.
Outcome probability
Maritimo face Santa Clara in a regular season clash where the visitors look poised to extend their unbeaten run. With Santa Clara's impressive away scoring streak and Maritimo's defensive vulnerabilities, this match promises tactical intrigue and a clear favourite.
Match factors
Santa Clara's strong defensive midfield presence
Pedro Ferreira's high tackle and interception rates give Santa Clara a midfield edge to disrupt Maritimo's build-up
Maritimo's defensive vulnerability at home
Maritimo has conceded in all last 5 home games, indicating defensive frailty Santa Clara can exploit
Santa Clara's positive scoring streak away
Santa Clara has scored in all last 4 away games, showing strong attacking form on the road
Romain Correia's dual threat from defense
Correia's passing and recent goal threat provide Maritimo with offensive options from the back
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, so teams can field strongest lineups
The context
Santa Clara currently sit 4th in the league with 18 points from 8 games, boasting an unbeaten record. Maritimo, on the other hand, are 14th with 8 points from 9 games, struggling to find consistency. Santa Clara's goal difference and points-per-game advantage highlight their superior form this season.
Key insights
- P
Pedro Ferreira
Santa Clara
Pedro Ferreira's high tackle and interception counts give Santa Clara a midfield edge to disrupt Maritimo's attacks.
Primeira Liga 26/2733 tackles and 8 interceptions in 9 games
- R
Romain Correia
Maritimo
Romain Correia's excellent passing accuracy and recent goal provide Maritimo with offensive options from defence.
Primeira Liga 26/2788% passing accuracy, 1 goal in 5 appearances
Analysis
Santa Clara have scored in all of their last four away matches, demonstrating a potent attack on the road. Maritimo have conceded in each of their last five home games, exposing defensive frailties that Santa Clara are likely to exploit. Key players like Pedro Ferreira provide a strong midfield shield, disrupting Maritimo's build-up play, while Romain Correia offers Maritimo some offensive threat from defence. However, the overall balance favours Santa Clara's tactical and statistical edge.
Key facts
- 1.Santa Clara are 4th in the league with 18 points from 8 games (W5 D3 L0).
- 2.Maritimo are 14th with 8 points from 9 games (W2 D2 L5).
- 3.Santa Clara have a significantly better goal difference than Maritimo this season.
- 4.Santa Clara have scored in all of their last 4 away games.
- 5.Maritimo have conceded in all of their last 5 home games.
- 6.Pedro Ferreira leads Santa Clara in tackles (33) and interceptions (8).
- 7.Romain Correia has a high passing accuracy (88%) and recently scored a goal.
- 8.The match is predicted to have around 4 total cards.
Prediction
The prediction is a 2-0 away win for Santa Clara, with a halftime score of 0-1 indicating early dominance. The match is expected to be moderately carded with around four bookings. Santa Clara's consistent scoring and defensive solidity should see them comfortably outscore Maritimo in this league stage encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Maritimo
Away — Santa Clara
No standout top scorers flagged for Santa Clara
The verdict
In summary, Santa Clara's superior form and tactical advantages make them the clear favourites to take all three points. Maritimo will need to tighten their defence and find attacking inspiration to avoid a second consecutive home defeat.
Prediction generated 26 Oct 2026, 20:41 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tiago Ribeiro
Assist: Guilherme Romão
José Luís Rocha Tavares
Yellow Card
José Luís Rocha Tavares
Guilherme Romão
Lopes
Assist: Fernandes
Fran Vieites
Yellow Card
Bassouamina
Rodrigo Andrade
Szalai
Yellow Card
Szalai
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
Lopes
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
Tejón
Raphael Guzzo
Sorriso
Yellow Card
Tiago Ribeiro
Yellow Card
Diouri
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 13 |  Guimaraes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Maritimo
3-4-3Starting XI
- 2Igor JuliãoM
- 4Rafael FernandesD
- 6Rodrigo AndradeM
- 10Martín TejónF
- 12M. BassouaminaF
- 14Raphael GuzzoM
- 17Adrián ButzkeF
- 22G. SzalaiD
- 23Paulo HenriqueM
- 30Fran VieitesG
- 44Romain CorreiaD
Substitutes
- 1Gonçalo TabuaçoG
- 3N. OgbetaD
- 5Nilton VarelaD
- 11M. DiouriF
- 13Alfonso PastorG
- 15Tomás TavaresD
- 18V. DanilovićM
- 21I. AlaniM
- 27S. BambaF
- 66I. AyumaM
- 90Maurice Osei BoakyeF
Santa Clara
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4Pedro PachecoD
- 5Guilherme RomãoD
- 7Luis Fernando Santos OliveiraF
- 8José Luís Rocha TavaresM
- 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves SantosF
- 12NenecaG
- 20Tiago RibeiroM
- 21Emanuel FernandesD
- 41Daniel BorgesM
- 42Lucas SoaresD
- 70Vinícius LopesF
Substitutes
- 3Henrique SilvaD
- 11Welinton TorrãoF
- 17João VasconcelosM
- 22VitinhoM
- 73Léo JacóF
- 81Seydou FofanaM
- 99SorrisoF
Maritimo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Correia | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Martín Tejón | F | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 1/2 |
| M. Diouri | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Bassouamina | F | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Adrián Butzke | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Raphael Guzzo | M | 89 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| S. Bamba | F | 1 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Maurice Osei Boakye | F | 1 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran Vieites | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Fernandes | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| I. Alani | M | 24 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| G. Szalai | D | 74 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Ayuma | M | 16 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Andrade | M | 66 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Igor Julião | M | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Alfonso Pastor | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nilton Varela | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Ogbeta | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Danilović | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Tavares | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Tabuaço | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Santa Clara
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinícius Lopes | F | 86 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/5 |
| Tiago Ribeiro | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Neneca | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emanuel Fernandes | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Guilherme Romão | D | 58 | 7.8 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Pedro Pacheco | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| José Luís Rocha Tavares | M | 52 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Lucas Soares | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Henrique Silva | D | 4 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Vasconcelos | M | 38 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Daniel Borges | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Welinton Torrão | F | 4 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira | F | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Sorriso | F | 4 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos | F | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/5 |
| Léo Jacó | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seydou Fofana | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Maritimo vs Santa Clara?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Santa Clara to win against Maritimo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Maritimo vs Santa Clara?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Maritimo 0–2 Santa Clara.
- What were the win probabilities for Maritimo vs Santa Clara?
- Fipster's model gave Maritimo a 2% chance of winning, Santa Clara a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.