Maritimo vs FC Porto
Porto snatch narrow win at Maritimo
A late strike from O. Pietuszewski seals a 2-1 victory for the visitors.
Maritimo took an early lead through G. Szalai's 16th-minute goal, but FC Porto responded before the break with Victor Mow Froholdt's equaliser. The visitors clinched the win thanks to O. Pietuszewski's decisive strike in the 84th minute. Fipster's prediction of an away win was on the money, albeit with low confidence and a slightly off scoreline.
Outcome probability
Maritimo face a stern test against FC Porto, who have been imperious so far this season. With Porto unbeaten and leading the league, this clash promises a tactical battle with few goals.
Match factors
FC Porto's superior scoring and defensive form
FC Porto averages 2.57 goals scored and 0.43 conceded per game, far better than Maritimo's 1.14 scored and 1.71 conceded
Gabri Veiga's dual threat as scorer and assister
Veiga leads FC Porto with 3 goals and 3 assists in 6 games, providing both scoring and creative threat
FC Porto's winning streak and scoring consistency
Porto has won all 6 games this season, scoring in every match and keeping multiple clean sheets
Maritimo's reliance on defender Romain Correia for goals
Correia is Maritimo's top scorer with 1 goal in 6 games, indicating limited attacking options
The context
This match is part of the regular season's eighth round. FC Porto, also known as Os Dragões, top the league with 18 points from 6 games, while Maritimo sit 11th with 8 points from 7 games. The contrasting league positions set the stage for a challenging encounter.
Key insights
Gabri Veiga
FC Porto
Veiga is a key creative and scoring force, leading with 3 goals and 3 assists in 6 games, making him vital for Porto's attack.
Primeira Liga 26/273 goals and 3 assists in 6 appearances in competition 94, season 2026
André Silva
FC Porto
Silva has been consistent, scoring 3 goals in 6 games, including 2 in his last 2 away matches, showing his threat on the road.
Primeira Liga 26/273 goals in 6 appearances, 2 goals in last 2 away matches in competition 94, season 2026
Romain Correia
Maritimo
Correia is Maritimo's main goal threat despite being a defender, with 1 goal in 6 games, highlighting the team's attacking struggles.
Primeira Liga 26/271 goal in 6 appearances in competition 94, season 2026
Analysis
FC Porto have been clinical, scoring an average of 2.57 goals per game and conceding just 0.43, a stark contrast to Maritimo's 1.14 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. Gabri Veiga stands out for Porto, leading with 3 goals and 3 assists in 6 games, making him a dual threat. Maritimo rely heavily on defender Romain Correia for goals, highlighting their limited attacking options. The prediction suggests a low-scoring game, with a 0-0 halftime scoreline likely before Porto clinch a narrow win.
Key facts
- 1.FC Porto lead the league with 18 points from 6 games, unbeaten so far.
- 2.Maritimo are 11th with 8 points from 7 games and a negative goal difference.
- 3.FC Porto average 2.57 goals scored and 0.43 conceded per game this season.
- 4.Maritimo average 1.14 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game.
- 5.Gabri Veiga leads FC Porto with 3 goals and 3 assists in 6 games.
- 6.Romain Correia is Maritimo's top scorer with 1 goal in 6 games.
- 7.FC Porto have a strong away scoring record, with André Silva netting 2 goals in last 2 away matches.
Prediction
Expect a cautious first half with no goals, as both sides feel each other out. FC Porto's superior form and firepower should see them break the deadlock late on, securing a 1-0 victory away from home. The match may see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Maritimo
Away — FC Porto
The verdict
While the prediction leans towards a Porto win, the limited head-to-head history and Maritimo's home resilience mean this could be a tight affair. FC Porto's consistency and key players like Gabri Veiga and André Silva will be crucial in tipping the scales.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 21:31 UTC · Fipster Model v1.161
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Szalai
Assist: Dominguez
Varela
Yellow Card
Mow Froholdt
Varela
Hwang In-Beom
William
Pepê Aquino
Yellow Card
Dominguez
André Silva
Tavares
Butzke
Tejón
Pepê Aquino
Goal confirmed
Pietuszewski
Assist: Kiwior
Julião
Yellow Card
Alani
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Maritimo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Igor JuliãoD
- 8M. DominguezM
- 10Martín TejónM
- 14Raphael GuzzoM
- 15Tomás TavaresM
- 17Adrián ButzkeF
- 21I. AlaniM
- 22G. SzalaiD
- 23Paulo HenriqueD
- 30Fran VieitesG
- 44Romain CorreiaD
Substitutes
- 1Gonçalo TabuaçoG
- 3N. OgbetaD
- 4Rafael FernandesD
- 6Rodrigo AndradeM
- 11M. DiouriF
- 12M. BassouaminaF
- 13Alfonso PastorG
- 18V. DanilovićM
- 27S. BambaF
- 35B. LimbombeF
- 66I. AyumaM
- 90Maurice Osei BoakyeF
FC Porto
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4J. KiwiorD
- 5J. BednarekD
- 7WilliamF
- 8Victor Mow FroholdtM
- 11Pepê AquinoF
- 16Hwang In-BeomM
- 19André SilvaF
- 20Alberto BaioD
- 22A. VarelaM
- 74Francisco MouraD
- 99Diogo CostaG
Substitutes
- 6C. SmallingD
- 9SamuF
- 10Gabri VeigaM
- 13P. RosarioM
- 14Cláudio RamosG
- 17Borja SainzF
- 29S. GiménezF
- 33SouzaD
- 37Gabriel MecF
- 42S. FofanaM
- 52Martim FernandesD
- 77O. PietuszewskiF
Maritimo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Szalai | D | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Fran Vieites | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Bassouamina | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maurice Osei Boakye | F | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Diouri | F | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Romain Correia | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Dominguez | M | 66 | 6.4 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Adrián Butzke | F | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| I. Alani | M | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Bamba | F | 1 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raphael Guzzo | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martín Tejón | M | 79 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Rodrigo Andrade | M | 24 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Tomás Tavares | M | 66 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Julião | D | 90 | 5.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Gonçalo Tabuaço | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Fernandes | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Ayuma | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Danilović | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Ogbeta | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Limbombe | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfonso Pastor | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Porto
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Pietuszewski | F | 11 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| J. Bednarek | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kiwior | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Borja Sainz | F | 35 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Victor Mow Froholdt | M | 90 | 7.1 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Diogo Costa | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Moura | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| William | F | 55 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Hwang In-Beom | M | 54 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Gabri Veiga | M | 36 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| André Silva | F | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Pepê Aquino | F | 79 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/4 |
| A. Varela | M | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samu | F | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Baio | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Rosario | M | 44 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| S. Giménez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cláudio Ramos | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Fofana | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Smalling | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Souza | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martim Fernandes | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Maritimo vs FC Porto?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FC Porto to win against Maritimo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Maritimo vs FC Porto?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Maritimo 0–1 FC Porto.
- What were the win probabilities for Maritimo vs FC Porto?
- Fipster's model gave Maritimo a 32% chance of winning, FC Porto a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.