Maritimo vs Benfica
Benfica cruise to comfortable win at Maritimo
L. Barreiro's brace sets the tone for a commanding away victory.
Benfica secured a 3-0 victory over Maritimo in the Primeira Liga, with L. Barreiro opening the scoring early and doubling the lead after the break. G. Prestianni added a late third to seal the win. Fipster's prediction of an away win was on the money, albeit with a slightly different scoreline.
Outcome probability
As the new season kicks off, Maritimo and Benfica face off in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. Maritimo, newly promoted, will be eager to make their mark, while Benfica look to build on their solid previous campaign with fresh signings bolstering their ranks.
Key facts
- 1.Benfica finished 3rd in the Primeira Liga last season with 80 points from 34 games.
- 2.Maritimo are newly promoted and face a step up in competition this season.
- 3.Benfica have strengthened their squad with João Palhinha, J. Kamiński, and A. Circati.
- 4.Maritimo have added G. Szalai on loan and B. Limbombe on a permanent transfer.
- 5.Benfica have a significantly better goal difference than Maritimo from last season.
- 6.The predicted halftime score is 0-1 in favour of Benfica.
- 7.The forecasted total number of cards is 4, suggesting moderate discipline events.
The context
This fixture marks the first competitive match of the season for both sides. Maritimo, stepping up from a lower division, face a tough test against Benfica, who finished third in the Primeira Liga last season with a strong points tally. Benfica have strengthened their squad with notable arrivals such as João Palhinha, J. Kamiński, and A. Circati, while Maritimo have added G. Szalai on loan and B. Limbombe on a permanent transfer.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Maritimo
Away — Benfica
Analysis
Benfica's superior goal difference and points-per-game from last season underline their quality advantage. The predicted 3-1 scoreline reflects their attacking capabilities and experience at this level. Maritimo will likely find it challenging to contain Benfica's new signings, who add depth and versatility. The forecasted halftime score of 0-1 suggests Benfica will take an early lead and control the game thereafter. A moderate number of cards is expected, indicating a competitive but disciplined match.
Prediction
The prediction favours an away win for Benfica with a 3-1 final score. The Eagles are expected to break the deadlock before halftime and maintain their advantage throughout the match. Maritimo may get on the scoresheet but are unlikely to prevent Benfica from securing all three points in this season opener.
The verdict
While the prediction leans clearly towards a Benfica victory, the low confidence level reminds us that early-season matches can be unpredictable. Maritimo will be motivated to prove themselves, but Benfica's quality and summer reinforcements should see them through to a comfortable win.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Barreiro
Bah
Danilović
Yellow Card
Sudakov
Yellow Card
Julião
Yellow Card
Araújo
Yellow Card
Rafa
Sudakov
Circati
Yellow Card
Danilović
Limbombe
Barreiro
Assist: Pavlidis
Julião
Butzke
Pavlidis
João Palhinha
Prestianni
Raphael Guzzo
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 15 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Maritimo
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2Igor JuliãoD
- 4Rafael FernandesD
- 6Rodrigo AndradeM
- 10Martín TejónF
- 13Alfonso PastorG
- 14Raphael GuzzoM
- 17Adrián ButzkeF
- 18V. DanilovićM
- 23Paulo HenriqueD
- 35B. LimbombeF
- 44Romain CorreiaD
Substitutes
- 1Gonçalo TabuaçoG
- 5Nilton VarelaD
- 8M. DominguezM
- 16F. SilvaM
- 21I. AlaniM
- 22G. SzalaiD
- 27S. BambaF
- 30Fran VieitesG
- 66I. AyumaM
- 90Maurice Osei BoakyeF
Benfica
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2C. LengletD
- 6A. BahD
- 10H. SudakovM
- 14V. PavlidisF
- 18L. BarreiroM
- 24Samuel SoaresG
- 25G. PrestianniM
- 26S. DahlD
- 27RafaM
- 36João PalhinhaM
- 44Tomás AraújoD
Substitutes
- 1A. TrubinG
- 3A. CircatiD
- 5E. BarrenecheaM
- 8F. AursnesM
- 11D. LukebakioF
- 13J. KamińskiM
- 16ManuM
- 21A. SchjelderupF
- 22J. DuránF
- 62J. NetoD
- 72A. CabralF
- 77Gonçalo Carvalho MoreiraM
Maritimo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Osei Boakye | F | 12 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raphael Guzzo | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Martín Tejón | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2/4 |
| S. Bamba | F | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rafael Fernandes | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| B. Limbombe | F | 66 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| V. Danilović | M | 66 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Romain Correia | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Adrián Butzke | F | 78 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| I. Ayuma | M | 24 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nilton Varela | D | 12 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Rodrigo Andrade | M | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Igor Julião | D | 78 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Alfonso Pastor | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Gonçalo Tabuaço | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Szalai | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Alani | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Silva | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dominguez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran Vieites | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Benfica
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Barreiro | M | 90 | 9.1 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| G. Prestianni | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1/6 |
| C. Lenglet | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Dahl | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 82 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Tomás Araújo | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Bah | D | 17 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Sudakov | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| João Palhinha | M | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| A. Circati | D | 28 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Barrenechea | M | 8 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa | M | 62 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Samuel Soares | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kamiński | M | 73 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Durán | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | F | 28 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Manu | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Aursnes | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Trubin | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Cabral | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Neto | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Maritimo vs Benfica?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Benfica to win against Maritimo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Maritimo vs Benfica?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Maritimo 1–3 Benfica.
- What were the win probabilities for Maritimo vs Benfica?
- Fipster's model gave Maritimo a 32% chance of winning, Benfica a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.