Maritimo vs Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu snatch draw at Maritimo
Two first-half strikes set the tone before Maritimo's late fightback fell short.
Academico Viseu took a strong lead with André Clóvis and S. Messeguem scoring before the break, putting Maritimo on the back foot. Despite Paulo Henrique and a penalty from Adrián Butzke pulling Maritimo level in the second half, the hosts couldn't find a winner. This 2-2 draw defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow home win.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Maritimo facing Academico Viseu in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams are eager to make a strong start after the summer break, with fresh squads and renewed ambitions.
Key facts
- 1.Maritimo have added G. Szalai on loan ahead of the new season.
- 2.Neither team has played a league match this season yet.
- 3.The predicted final score is 2-1 in favour of Maritimo.
- 4.The most likely halftime score is 0-0, consistent with the final result.
- 5.Home win probability is highest at 0.479, followed by draw at 0.240 and away win at 0.214.
- 6.This is the third round of the regular season, but the first match for both teams this campaign.
The context
Neither side has played a league game yet this season, so this fixture marks their competitive debut. Maritimo have bolstered their ranks with the loan signing of G. Szalai, adding fresh firepower to their attack. Academico Viseu, meanwhile, enter the match unchanged, looking to build on last season's foundations.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Maritimo
Away — Academico Viseu
Analysis
The probabilities lean towards a home win for Maritimo, with a 2-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. The match is expected to be tight, reflecting the close chances for a draw or an away win as well. The halftime score is uncertain, but a goalless first half would fit with the predicted final result. Both teams will be keen to assert themselves early, making tactical discipline and effective finishing key factors.
Prediction
We predict Maritimo will clinch a 2-1 victory over Academico Viseu. The home side's new addition, G. Szalai, could provide the edge needed to break down a resilient opposition. Expect a competitive match with moments of quality from both teams, but ultimately Maritimo should come out on top.
The verdict
As the season opener, this match sets the stage for what could be an intriguing campaign. Maritimo's slight advantage on paper and their summer reinforcement give them the nod, but Academico Viseu will not make it easy. Fans can look forward to a spirited contest with a narrow home win the final word.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
André Clóvis
Assist: Correia
Raphael Guzzo
Yellow Card
Messeguem
Michelis
Yellow Card
Messeguem
Yellow Card
Julião
Yellow Card
Raphael Guzzo
Diouri
Kahraman
Yellow Card
André Clóvis
Correia
Yellow Card
Gohi
Kahraman
Paulo Henrique
Danilović
Pedro Barcelos
Messeguem
Zamora
Yellow Card
André Ceitil
Yellow Card
Butzke
Penalty
Tejón
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Maritimo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Igor JuliãoD
- 4Rafael FernandesD
- 6Rodrigo AndradeM
- 10Martín TejónM
- 11M. DiouriM
- 13Alfonso PastorG
- 14Raphael GuzzoM
- 17Adrián ButzkeF
- 18V. DanilovićM
- 23Paulo HenriqueD
- 44Romain CorreiaD
Substitutes
- 1Gonçalo TabuaçoG
- 8M. DominguezM
- 15Tomás TavaresD
- 16F. SilvaM
- 22G. SzalaiD
- 27S. BambaF
- 30Fran VieitesG
- 35B. LimbombeF
- 66I. AyumaM
- 68N. BatistaM
- 90Maurice Osei BoakyeF
Academico Viseu
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2N. MichelisD
- 5Pedro BarcelosD
- 6André CeitilM
- 8C. KahramanM
- 14S. MesseguemM
- 31João GuilhermeF
- 33André ClóvisF
- 41A. CorreiaD
- 47L. GohiF
- 75RobinhoD
- 98EwertonG
Substitutes
- 1Marcos LavínG
- 7Luís SilvaM
- 10Á. ZamoraF
- 11D. SteczykF
- 18C. FerreiraM
- 21Tomás DomingosD
- 22Nils MortimerF
- 29A. BabićM
- 44Rúben PereiraD
- 45A. MestanzaM
- 57G. CostaD
- 58MatheusG
Maritimo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Andrade | M | 48 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alfonso Pastor | G | 48 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martín Tejón | M | 48 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Adrián Butzke | F | 48 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Vladan Danilović | M | 48 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 48 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Romain Correia(C) | D | 48 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Simo Bouzaidi | M | 48 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Raphael Guzzo | M | 48 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Julião | D | 48 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rafael Fernandes | D | 48 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Tomás Tavares | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxime Dominguez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Limbombe | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Vieites | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Bamba | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Tabuaço | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gábor Szalai | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maurice Boakye | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Israel Ayuma | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nelio Batista | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Silva | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Academico Viseu
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soufiane Messeguem(C) | M | 48 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| André Clóvis | F | 48 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Anthony Correia | D | 48 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro Barcelos | D | 48 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nikolaos Michelis | D | 48 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ewerton | G | 48 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robinho | D | 48 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| João Guilherme | F | 48 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Lorougnon Gohi | F | 48 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| André Ceitil | M | 48 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Cihan Kahraman | M | 48 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nils Mortimer | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Ferreira | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luís Silva | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Lavín | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominik Steczyk | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rúben Pereira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Zamora | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Domingos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Sampaio | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andro Babić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gu Costa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Mestanza | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Maritimo vs Academico Viseu?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Maritimo to win against Academico Viseu.
- What score did Fipster predict for Maritimo vs Academico Viseu?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Maritimo 2–1 Academico Viseu.
- What were the win probabilities for Maritimo vs Academico Viseu?
- Fipster's model gave Maritimo a 35% chance of winning, Academico Viseu a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.