Manchester United vs Liverpool

Premier LeagueMatchweek 35
Ref: Darren England, EnglandOld Trafford, Manchester · 76,212 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighHit

Match recap

Manchester United beat Liverpool 3–2 in their Premier League fixture. Matheus Cunha, Šeško, and Mainoo scored for Manchester United; Szoboszlai and Gakpo replied for Liverpool. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.14 for Manchester United versus 0.89 for Liverpool. Manchester United sit 3rd in the Premier League table while Liverpool are 5th.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Underconfident✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick
21
HT 1–1
Final Result
32
HT 2–0
70%Good
B
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review5 May 2026

Analysis

The upcoming Premier League fixture between Manchester United and Liverpool promises to be a thrilling encounter, with both sides eager to claim vital points in the title race.

Manchester United currently sit 3rd with 61 points, just ahead of Liverpool in 4th with 58 points. Historically, Liverpool have had the upper hand with 9 wins in 20 meetings, but recent form and home advantage could tilt the scales.

The predicted halftime score is 1-1, reflecting a balanced start. However, Manchester United's strong home performances and key players like Matheus Cunha and Casemiro's goal-scoring form give them the edge. Liverpool's attack is weakened by the absence of Salah and Ekitike, reducing their offensive threat.


Prediction

We confidently forecast a 2-1 victory for Manchester United, with four total cards expected in a competitive but controlled match. The home side's tactical advantage and recent form underpin this prediction.

Outcome probability

Manchester United 95%Draw 3%Liverpool 2%

Key Insights

Injury Impacthigh

Key attackers missing for Manchester United

Šeško and Mbeumo injured, reducing attacking options and goal threat potential

Tactical Advantagehigh

Bruno Fernandes' absence weakens creative midfield

Top assister and passer missing, may reduce chance creation and link-up play

Statistical Edgemedium

Casemiro's goal form boosts midfield scoring potential

Midfielder with above-average goal rate and recent scoring streak, key to breaking Liverpool defense

Tactical Advantagemedium

Luke Shaw's crossing and passing provide width and assists

High passing accuracy and assist contribution from defense enhances attacking options

Injury Impacthigh

Liverpool missing key attackers including Salah and Ekitike

Absence of top scorer Salah and Ekitike reduces Liverpool's offensive threat significantly

Key Takeaways

In summary, expect a closely fought game with Manchester United edging out Liverpool thanks to home advantage and key player contributions. Fans should brace for an entertaining match with plenty of action.

  • Manchester United are 3rd in the league with 61 points from 34 games.
  • Liverpool are 4th with 58 points from 34 games.
  • In 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool have won 9, Manchester United 4, with 7 draws.
  • Head-to-head matches average 3.4 goals per game.
  • Matheus Cunha has scored 8 goals this season, with 3 in the last 5 home games.
  • Casemiro has 8 goals this season, scoring 3 in the last 5 home games.
  • Bruno Fernandes leads Manchester United with 18 assists this season.
  • Liverpool are missing key attackers Salah and Ekitike for this match.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeManchester United

Benjamin Šeško

Benjamin Šeško

Attacker

Manchester United

Total Goals
9
League avg: 1.45
28 played
15 starts
1503 mins
~54 mins/game
Matheus Cunha

Matheus Cunha

Attacker

Manchester United

Total Goals
8
League avg: 1.45
30 played
26 starts
2246 mins
~75 mins/game
Casemiro

Casemiro

Midfielder

Manchester United

Total Goals
8
League avg: 1.45
31 played
30 starts
2332 mins
~75 mins/game

AwayLiverpool

No standout top scorers flagged for Liverpool