Malta vs Andorra
Match recap
Malta beat Andorra 1–0 in their UEFA Nations League fixture. Teuma scored for Malta. Malta held 55% possession to 45% for Andorra.
Outcome probability
Malta and Andorra face off in a League D fixture where both sides are eager to improve their standings. Malta currently leads the group, while Andorra seeks to climb the table after a mixed start.
Match factors
Malta's midfield defensive dominance
R. Camenzuli's 4 tackles per game and 75% duel win rate exceed league averages, strengthening Malta's midfield defense
Malta's defenders excel in passing
E. Pepe and K. Shaw both exceed defender passing accuracy averages, aiding build-up play from the back
J. Mbong's recent scoring form
J. Mbong scored in the last home fixture, showing attacking form despite limited overall team scoring data
No confirmed injuries for Malta or Andorra
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from missing players expected
The context
In this league phase, Malta has played two matches, remaining unbeaten with one win and one draw, scoring three goals and conceding two. Andorra, on the other hand, has yet to win, with one draw and one loss, scoring once and conceding twice. Malta holds a slight edge in their head-to-head record, having won two and drawn two of their four meetings against Andorra.
Key insights
- R
R. Camenzuli
Malta
R. Camenzuli's 4 tackles per game and 75% duel win rate exceed league averages, strengthening Malta's midfield defence.
UEFA Nations League 26/274 tackles per game, 75% duels won vs league avg 0.79 tackles and 50.4% duels won
- E
E. Pepe
Malta
E. Pepe's passing accuracy of 87% surpasses the defender average, aiding Malta's build-up play from the back.
UEFA Nations League 26/2787% passing accuracy vs defender avg 82%
- K
K. Shaw
Malta
K. Shaw matches high passing accuracy at 86%, contributing to Malta's effective defensive distribution.
UEFA Nations League 26/2786% passing accuracy
- J
J. Mbong
Malta
J. Mbong's recent goal in the last home fixture highlights his attacking threat for Malta.
UEFA Nations League 26/27Scored in last home fixture, 3 shots in last match
Analysis
Malta's midfield is a fortress, with R. Camenzuli boasting an impressive four tackles per game and a 75% duel win rate, well above league averages. Defensively, E. Pepe and K. Shaw provide excellent passing accuracy, facilitating build-up play from the back. Attacking threat comes from J. Mbong, who scored in the last home fixture, adding a spark to Malta's forward line. Andorra will need to break down this disciplined setup, but Malta's form and tactical strengths suggest a tight contest with a likely late winner.
Key facts
- 1.Malta is unbeaten in this competition with 1 win and 1 draw from 2 matches.
- 2.Andorra has yet to win, with 1 draw and 1 loss in 2 matches.
- 3.Malta leads the head-to-head record with 2 wins and 2 draws in 4 meetings.
- 4.Malta ranks 1st in League D with 3 points; Andorra is 3rd with 1 point.
- 5.R. Camenzuli averages 4 tackles per game and wins 75% of duels, strengthening Malta's midfield.
- 6.Defenders E. Pepe and K. Shaw have passing accuracies above 85%, aiding Malta's build-up play.
- 7.J. Mbong scored in Malta's last home fixture, showing attacking form.
Prediction
The forecast is for a narrow 1-0 victory for Malta, with a goalless first half reflecting a cautious start from both sides. The decisive goal is expected in the second half, capitalising on Malta's superior form and home advantage. The match is also predicted to feature around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Malta
Away — Andorra
The verdict
Malta's solid defensive and midfield performances, combined with their slight historical advantage over Andorra, make them the favourites to claim all three points. While the margin may be slim, this result would reinforce Malta's position atop League D and keep Andorra searching for their first win in the competition.
Prediction generated 1 Oct 2026, 20:36 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Pepe
Yellow Card
Pepe
Teuma
Assist: Chouaref
Teuma
Yellow Card
Unknown
Corbalan
Mbong
Yellow Card
San Nicolás
Chouaref
Satariano
Yellow Card
García
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Albania | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Belarus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 |  Italy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Malta
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1H. BonelloG
- 3R. CamenzuliD
- 5K. ShawD
- 6B. PaiberM
- 7J. MbongM
- 10T. TeumaM
- 11I. CardonaF
- 13E. PepeD
- 20I. ChouarefM
- 21J. CorbalanD
- 23A. SatarianoM
Substitutes
- 2J. BorgD
- 8P. MbongF
- 9K. CannavòF
- 12L. FrendoG
- 14A. ZammitF
- 15M. BeermanD
- 16R. Al TumiG
- 17J. AzzopardiM
- 18C. Zammit LonardelliD
- 19K. EwurumF
- 22Z. MuscatD
Andorra
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3Pau BabotM
- 5Max LloveraD
- 10G. LópezF
- 11Albert RosasF
- 12Iker ÁlvarezG
- 15Moisés San NicolásD
Substitutes
- 1Josep GómesG
- 4Christian GarcíaD
- 13Á. RuízG
- 14Jordi AláezM
- 16João TeixeiraM
- 18J. RubioD
- 19Joel GuillénD
- 20Izan FernándezF
- 21M. GarciaM
Malta
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Teuma | M | 56 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| I. Chouaref | M | 85 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4/5 |
| K. Shaw | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Bonello | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Camenzuli | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Corbalan | D | 72 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| B. Paiber | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| C. Zammit Lonardelli | D | 18 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Pepe | D | 46 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Z. Muscat | D | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Mbong | F | 34 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Mbong | M | 72 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Satariano | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| A. Zammit | F | 5 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Cardona | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| R. Al Tumi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Cannavò | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Beerman | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Borg | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Azzopardi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Ewurum | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Frendo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Andorra
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iker Álvarez | G | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Llovera | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Pau Babot | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Moisés San Nicolás | D | 84 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordi Aláez | M | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| G. López | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Albert Rosas | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Christian García | D | 6 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josep Gómes | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Á. Ruíz | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Izan Fernández | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joel Guillén | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Teixeira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Rubio | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Garcia | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Malta vs Andorra?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Malta to win against Andorra.
- What score did Fipster predict for Malta vs Andorra?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Malta 1–0 Andorra.
- What were the win probabilities for Malta vs Andorra?
- Fipster's model gave Malta a 48% chance of winning, Andorra a 26% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 48% confidence — a medium-confidence call.