Mallorca vs Villarreal
Match recap
Mallorca and Villarreal drew 1–1 in their La Liga fixture. Muriqi scored for Mallorca; Pérez replied for Villarreal. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.74 for Mallorca versus 1.13 for Villarreal. Mallorca sit 18th in the La Liga table while Villarreal are 3rd.
Analysis
Mallorca host Villarreal in what promises to be a keenly contested La Liga fixture. With both teams eager to secure vital points, the match is set for some tactical intrigue and individual battles.
Villarreal currently sit comfortably in 3rd place with 68 points, while Mallorca are languishing in 15th with 38 points. The gulf in league position and form sets the stage for a challenging day for the home side.
Villarreal's superior goal difference (+25) and points per game (2.00) highlight their consistent quality compared to Mallorca's -9 goal difference and 1.12 points per game. Key players like N. Pépé, who boasts 8 goals and 6 assists this season, provide a creative edge. Mallorca's Samú Costa offers a midfield threat with 7 goals, but injuries to key strikers weaken their attacking options.
Prediction
Expect Villarreal to take an early lead, possibly going 2-0 up by halftime, before Mallorca claw back a goal in the second half. The final scoreline of 2-1 in favour of Villarreal reflects their overall superiority and recent form, with a confident 85% certainty in this outcome.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Mallorca's Midfield Scoring Threat
Samú Costa's strong recent scoring form and high minutes suggest midfield goals to challenge Villarreal.
Villarreal's Superior Attack and Form
Villarreal averages 1.9 goals/game with strong home form; Mallorca's defense weakened by injuries.
Key Injuries Affecting Mallorca's Attack
Vedat Muriqi and Mateo Joseph are injured, reducing Mallorca's primary striker options.
Villarreal's Creative Wingers Influence
N. Pépé's dual threat as scorer and assister provides Villarreal with wide attacking advantage.
Villarreal's Positive Recent Streak
Villarreal on a 4-game scoring streak and 2 wins in last 5, indicating strong momentum.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Villarreal's blend of attacking prowess and defensive solidity should see them claim all three points at Mallorca. The home side will fight hard, but the visitors' quality and momentum are likely to prevail.
- Villarreal are 3rd in La Liga with 68 points from 34 games.
- Mallorca sit 15th with 38 points from 34 games.
- Villarreal have a +25 goal difference; Mallorca have -9.
- Villarreal average 2.00 points per game; Mallorca average 1.12.
- N. Pépé leads Villarreal with 8 goals and 6 assists this season.
- Samú Costa is Mallorca's top scorer with 7 goals.
- Villarreal are on a 4-game scoring streak.
- Total cards expected around 4, indicating a competitive but controlled match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Mallorca
Away — Villarreal
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Penalty confirmed
Pérez
Penalty
Muriqi
Mojica
Oluwaseyi
Alfon González
Manu Morlanes
Pérez
Mateu Morey
Samú Costa
Yellow Card
Buchanan
Muriqi
Yellow Card
Santi Comesaña
Torre
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 | 86 |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 | 72 |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 | 69 |
| 17 |  Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 | 42 |
| 18 |  Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -10 | 42 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | -16 | 41 |
Match Statistics
Mallorca
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 1Leo RománG
- 2Mateu MoreyD
- 5Omar MascarellD
- 7V. MuriqiF
- 8Manu MorlanesM
- 10DarderM
- 12Samú CostaM
- 15Zito LuvumboF
- 20Pablo TorreM
- 22J. MojicaD
- 24M. ValjentD
Substitutes
- 3Toni LatoD
- 6Antonio SánchezM
- 9Abdón PratsF
- 11T. AsanoF
- 17Jan VirgiliF
- 19Javi LlabrésF
- 25Iván CuéllarG
- 27David LópezD
- 28C. RibaM
- 29L. OrejuelaD
- 34J. OlaizolaD
Villarreal
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4Rafa MarínD
- 11Alfon GonzálezM
- 12Renato VeigaD
- 14Santi ComesañaM
- 15S. MouriñoD
- 16T. ParteyM
- 17T. BuchananM
- 21T. OluwaseyiF
- 22Ayoze PérezF
- 23Sergi CardonaD
- 25Arnau TenasG
Substitutes
- 1Luíz JúniorG
- 2Logan CostaD
- 3A. FreemanD
- 5Willy Kambwala NdengushiD
- 6Pau NavarroD
- 7Gerard MorenoF
- 9G. MikautadzeF
- 10Dani ParejoM
- 18P. GueyeM
- 19N. PépéF
- 20Alberto MoleiroM
- 24PedrazaD
Mallorca
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vedat Muriqi | F | 46 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Zito Luvumbo | F | 46 | 8.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2/3 |
| Martin Valjent(C) | D | 46 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Torre | M | 76 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Omar Mascarell | D | 46 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Samú Costa | M | 46 | 7.0 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sergi Darder | M | 46 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Johan Mojica | D | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Manu Morlanes | M | 70 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Román | G | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateu Morey | D | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Cesc Riba | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Takuma Asano | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdón Prats | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Cuéllar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Sánchez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Llabrés | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Olaizola | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Orejuela | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Lato | D | 33 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| David López | D | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Virgili | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/4 |
Villarreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnau Tenas | G | 90 | 8.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Veiga | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayoze Pérez | F | 70 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0/3 |
| Rafa Marín | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Partey | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Santi Comesaña(C) | M | 75 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Mouriño | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Tajon Buchanan | M | 71 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alfon González | M | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sergi Cardona | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Tani Oluwaseyi | F | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Alfonso Pedraza | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pape Gueye | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Logan Costa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luiz Júnior | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willy Kambwala | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Freeman | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pau Navarro | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Georges Mikautadze | F | 20 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dani Parejo | M | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Moleiro | M | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Nicolas Pépé | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Gerard Moreno | F | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |