Mallorca vs Valencia
Match recap
Mallorca and Valencia drew 1–1 in their La Liga fixture. Samú Costa scored for Mallorca; Sadiq replied for Valencia. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.81 for Mallorca versus 1.49 for Valencia. Mallorca sit 18th in the La Liga table while Valencia are 9th.
Analysis
Mallorca host Valencia in what promises to be a closely contested La Liga fixture. Both teams sit mid-table and have shown similar form, making a draw a likely outcome.
Mallorca and Valencia have a tight head-to-head record, with 6 wins for Mallorca, 5 for Valencia, and 7 draws in 18 meetings. Both teams have similar points and goal differences this season, highlighting the balanced nature of this encounter.
Mallorca's top scorer V. Muriqi, with 21 goals this season, remains a key threat despite suspension concerns. Midfielder Darder’s creativity and assist record could exploit Valencia’s defensive absences, including the suspended Gayà. Valencia’s defensive frailties due to injuries may be balanced by their resilience, making a 1-1 draw a sensible prediction.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, with a halftime score of 0-0. Both teams are expected to score once, reflecting their balanced attacking and defensive capabilities. The match is likely to see around four cards, indicating a competitive but fair contest.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Mallorca missing key attackers and defenders
Muriqi and Mojica suspended, Valjent also missing; weakens attack and defense cohesion.
Darder’s playmaking vs Valencia’s defensive gaps
Darder’s creativity and assist record could exploit Valencia’s defensive injuries.
Samú Costa’s recent scoring form
Costa scored in last home match vs Valencia, boosting midfield attacking threat if fit.
Muriqi’s superior goal-scoring rate
Muriqi’s 0.68 goals/90 far exceeds league forward average, key to Mallorca’s scoring chances.
Valencia’s defensive absences weaken backline
Gayà and key defenders injured, reducing defensive solidity against Mallorca’s attack.
Key Takeaways
With key players missing on both sides and a history of tight matches, Mallorca and Valencia are set to share the points. Fans can expect a tactical battle with moments of quality from standout performers like Muriqi and Darder.
- Mallorca and Valencia have met 18 times with 6 wins for Mallorca, 5 for Valencia, and 7 draws.
- The average goals per head-to-head match is 2.3, with Mallorca scoring 22 and Valencia 20 in total.
- Mallorca currently sit 14th with 35 points from 32 games (9 wins, 8 draws, 15 losses).
- Valencia are 13th with 36 points from 32 games (9 wins, 9 draws, 14 losses).
- V. Muriqi is the league's top scorer with 21 goals this season.
- Darder leads Mallorca with 5 assists and a high passing accuracy of 83%.
- Valencia’s defensive line is weakened by the suspension of José Gayà and other injuries.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Mallorca
Away — Valencia
No standout top scorers flagged for Valencia
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Correia
Dimitrievski
Yellow Card
Samú Costa
Assist: Darder
Rodríguez
Yellow Card
Asano
Ugrinic
López
Beltrán
Sadiq
Assist: Javi Guerra
Mascarell
Manu Morlanes
Torre
Ramazani
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 | 50 |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 49 |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -2 | 46 |
| 17 |  Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 | 42 |
| 18 |  Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -10 | 42 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | -16 | 41 |
Match Statistics
Mallorca
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 1Leo RománG
- 5Omar MascarellD
- 7V. MuriqiF
- 8Manu MorlanesM
- 10DarderM
- 11T. AsanoF
- 12Samú CostaM
- 20Pablo TorreM
- 22J. MojicaD
- 23Pablo MaffeoD
- 24M. ValjentD
Substitutes
- 2Mateu MoreyD
- 3Toni LatoD
- 4M. KumbullaD
- 6Antonio SánchezM
- 9Abdón PratsF
- 17Jan VirgiliF
- 19Javi LlabrésF
- 25Iván CuéllarG
- 27David LópezD
- 28C. RibaM
- 30J. KalumbaF
- 39J. GarciaM
Valencia
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1S. DimitrievskiG
- 2G. RodríguezM
- 5César TárregaD
- 6U. SadiqF
- 12Thierry CorreiaD
- 14José GayàD
- 15L. BeltránF
- 16Diego LópezM
- 17L. RamazaniM
- 18PepeluD
- 23F. UgrinicM
Substitutes
- 7A. DanjumaF
- 8Javi GuerraM
- 9Hugo DuroF
- 10André AlmeidaM
- 11Luis RiojaF
- 13Cristian RiveroG
- 19Dani RabaF
- 20R. SaraviaD
- 21Jesús VázquezD
- 26Rubo IranzoD
- 29Lucas NuñezM
- 40Joel FontanetD
Mallorca
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samú Costa | M | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Sergi Darder | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | — |
| Leo Román | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Valjent(C) | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Omar Mascarell | D | 76 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu Morlanes | M | 76 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Vedat Muriqi | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Torre | M | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Pablo Maffeo | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Johan Mojica | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Takuma Asano | F | 56 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Cesc Riba | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marash Kumbulla | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Lato | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdon | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jandro García | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Cuéllar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateu Morey | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin-Noel Kalumba | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Virgili | F | 34 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2/3 |
| Javi Llabrés | F | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Antonio Sánchez | M | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David López | D | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Valencia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stole Dimitrievski | G | 90 | 8.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pepelu | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Umar Sadiq | F | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/4 |
| Filip Ugrinić | M | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Largie Ramazani | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Thierry Correia | D | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jose Gaya(C) | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Guido Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| César Tárrega | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Diego López | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Lucas Beltrán | F | 60 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rubén Iranzo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joel Fontanet Paredes | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Rivero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Raba | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Almeida | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Duro | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Núñez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Vázquez | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Guerra | M | 30 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Luis Rioja | F | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Renzo Saravia | D | 79 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Arnaut Danjuma | F | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |