Mallorca vs Oviedo
Match recap
Mallorca beat Oviedo 3–0 in their La Liga fixture. Torre, Manu Morlanes, and Muriqi scored for Mallorca. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.65 for Mallorca versus 0.29 for Oviedo. Mallorca sit 18th in the La Liga table while Oviedo are 20th.
Analysis
As the regular season draws to a close, Mallorca host Oviedo in a crucial fixture where every point counts. With both teams struggling near the bottom, expect a cautious but competitive encounter.
Mallorca sit 19th with 39 points, just ahead of Oviedo in 20th with 29 points. Mallorca's significantly better goal difference (+18 vs -31) highlights their stronger overall performance this season.
Mallorca's attacking threat is spearheaded by V. Muriqi, who boasts 22 goals this season and a strong home scoring record. Creative support from Darder and Mojica enhances their chances. Oviedo's low scoring form and defensive frailties suggest they will struggle to break down Mallorca's defence.
Prediction
We predict a narrow 1-0 win for Mallorca, with the halftime score also likely to be 1-0. The match is expected to be disciplined with around four cards shown, reflecting the high stakes and intensity.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Muriqi's Home Scoring Threat
Muriqi's strong home goal-scoring form and focal striker role give Mallorca a clear attacking edge.
Creative Midfield Support
Darder and Mojica provide above-average assist rates, enhancing goal-scoring chances for Mallorca.
Samú Costa's Consistent Impact
Costa's recent goals and defensive work rate indicate strong form influencing midfield control.
No Key Injuries for Mallorca
Full squad availability maintains tactical stability and player continuity for Mallorca.
Oviedo's Low Scoring Form
Oviedo's low recent scoring and high failed-to-score rate reduce their offensive threat.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Mallorca's home advantage and superior squad form should see them claim all three points. Oviedo will need to improve their attacking output to challenge effectively in this fixture.
- Mallorca ranked 19th with 39 points from 37 games (W10 D9 L18)
- Oviedo ranked 20th with 29 points from 37 games (W6 D11 L20)
- Mallorca have a goal difference of +18 compared to Oviedo's -31
- V. Muriqi is Mallorca's top scorer with 22 goals this season
- Darder leads Mallorca's assists with 5 this season
- Predicted total cards in the match is 4
- Match is the final round of the regular season
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Mallorca
Away — Oviedo
No standout top scorers flagged for Oviedo
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Santi Cazorla
Yellow Card
Torre
Assist: Pablo Maffeo
Forés
Manu Morlanes
Yellow Card
Mascarell
Samú Costa
Yellow Card
Asano
Samú Costa
Colombatto
Santi Cazorla
Alhassane
Nacho Vidal
Manu Morlanes
Toni Lato
Torre
Muriqi
Match Statistics
Mallorca
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 1Leo RománG
- 3Toni LatoD
- 5Omar MascarellD
- 7V. MuriqiF
- 8Manu MorlanesM
- 10DarderM
- 11T. AsanoF
- 12Samú CostaM
- 20Pablo TorreM
- 23Pablo MaffeoD
- 24M. ValjentD
Substitutes
- 2Mateu MoreyD
- 6Antonio SánchezM
- 9Abdón PratsF
- 15Zito LuvumboF
- 17Jan VirgiliF
- 19Javi LlabrésF
- 21RaílloD
- 25Iván CuéllarG
- 27David LópezD
- 29L. OrejuelaD
- 34J. OlaizolaD
- 44M. CalatayudD
Oviedo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1H. MoldovanG
- 2E. BaillyD
- 3R. AlhassaneD
- 5Alberto ReinaM
- 7I. ChairaM
- 8Santi CazorlaM
- 11S. ColombattoM
- 12Dani CalvoD
- 19Álex ForésF
- 22Nacho VidalD
- 23N. FonsecaM
Substitutes
- 4David CostasD
- 6K. SiboM
- 10H. HassanF
- 13Aarón EscandellG
- 15T. FernándezF
- 16David CarmoD
- 17T. BorbasF
- 21L. IlićM
- 24Lucas AhijadoD
- 25Javi LópezD
Mallorca
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu Morlanes | M | 90 | 8.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pablo Torre | M | 85 | 8.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1/1 |
| Sergi Darder | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Vedat Muriqi | F | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0/1 |
| Martin Valjent(C) | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Lato | D | 85 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Maffeo | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Samú Costa | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Omar Mascarell | D | 53 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Román | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Takuma Asano | F | 61 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Luis Orejuela | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Calatayud | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David López | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Llabrés | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zito Luvumbo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateu Morey | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Cuéllar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Virgili | F | 29 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4/6 |
| Javier Olaizola | D | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Raíllo | D | 37 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Sánchez | M | 28 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Abdón Prats | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Oviedo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Calvo | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Colombatto | M | 63 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horațiu Moldovan | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Forés | F | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdel Rahim | D | 77 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Reina | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Eric Bailly | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Ilyas Chaira | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Nicolas Fonseca | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Santi Cazorla(C) | M | 63 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Nacho Vidal | D | 77 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Thiago Fernández | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kwasi Sibo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aarón Escandell | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Costas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Carmo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Ilić | M | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Haissem Hassan | F | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/4 |
| Thiago Borbas | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ahijado | D | 13 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Javi López | D | 13 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |