Malaga vs Levante
Malaga and Levante locked in goalless stalemate
A missed penalty early on set the tone for a tight contest with no breakthrough.
Despite an early chance when Malaga's Chupe missed a penalty in the ninth minute, neither side could find the net, resulting in a 0-0 draw. This stalemate defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, proving the match more cagey than expected.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Malaga facing Levante in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams are eager to make a strong start, with Malaga looking to assert themselves after promotion and Levante aiming to build on their previous campaign.
Key facts
- 1.Malaga are newly promoted and starting fresh in this division.
- 2.Levante finished 16th last season with 42 points from 38 games.
- 3.Levante have signed A. Mandi on a free transfer this summer.
- 4.Carlos Espí has departed Levante ahead of the new season.
- 5.Malaga have a significantly better goal difference than Levante from last season.
- 6.This is the first competitive fixture of the new season for both teams.
- 7.The predicted full-time score is 2-1 in favour of Malaga.
- 8.Draw probability is close, with 1-1 as the most likely draw scoreline.
The context
This fixture marks the first league game for both sides this season. Malaga enter as the newly promoted team, stepping up to face Levante, who remain in the same division as last season. Levante have made some summer adjustments, including the arrival of A. Mandi on a free transfer and the departure of Carlos Espí, which could influence their dynamics.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Malaga
Away — Levante
Analysis
While Levante come with the experience of last season's campaign, Malaga's promotion injects fresh energy into the contest. The predicted 2-1 scoreline suggests a closely fought match, with Malaga's slightly better goal difference from last season hinting at their attacking potential. However, the probabilities for all outcomes are tightly packed, reflecting the uncertainty typical of season openers and the limited direct history between these sides.
Prediction
The forecast leans towards a Malaga victory by 2-1, reflecting the most probable winning scoreline. This suggests Malaga will manage to edge out Levante in a match where both sides find the net, but the home side just about holds on for the win.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, this match could set the tone for both teams. Malaga will be keen to prove their worth at this level, while Levante will look to respond positively to their summer changes. Expect a spirited contest with Malaga narrowly coming out on top.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Chupe
Missed Penalty
Dani Lorenzo
Yellow Card
Rafita
Yellow Card
Martínez
Yellow Card
Juan Cruz
Martínez
Romero
Rafita
Dani Lorenzo
Dela
Yellow Card
Nacho Pérez
Bardeli
Fernández
Yellow Card
Dotor
Jon Ander Olasagasti
Match Statistics
Malaga
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1Alfonso HerreroG
- 4Einar GalileaD
- 8Carlos DotorM
- 9ChupeF
- 10David LarrubiaF
- 12José SalinasD
- 15Ángel RecioD
- 18Pablo MartínezM
- 19Juan CruzF
- 22Dani LorenzoM
- 31RafitaD
Substitutes
- 2J. CajusteM
- 3PugaD
- 5Álex PastorD
- 6Ramón EnríquezM
- 11Joaquín MuñozF
- 13Carlos LópezG
- 14Rafa RodríguezM
- 17Eneko JauregiF
- 23Izan MerinoM
- 25Juan BerrocalD
- 39Adam Aznou Ben CheikhD
Levante
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2A. MandiD
- 4DelaD
- 7BruguiF
- 8Jon Ander OlasagastiM
- 9Iván RomeroF
- 13M. RyanG
- 18E. BardeliM
- 20Oriol ReyM
- 23Manu SánchezD
- 24T. FernándezF
- 29Nacho PérezD
Substitutes
- 1Pablo CuñatG
- 3IfeanyiIfeanyi NdukweD
- 5Hugo SoteloM
- 6RequeM
- 10P. RatkovF
- 11Yanis MusuayiF
- 14Jorge CabelloD
- 16A. TapeD
- 17Víctor GarcíaD
- 22J. ToljanD
- 27Paco CortésF
Malaga
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Herrero | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ángel Recio | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Martínez | M | 59 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Ramón Enríquez | M | 23 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Izan Merino | M | 31 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Salinas | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Einar Galilea | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Muñoz | F | 31 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Juan Cruz | F | 59 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Dani Lorenzo | M | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| Carlos Dotor | M | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Chupe | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Rafita | D | 67 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| David Larrubia | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 3/11 |
| Puga | D | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/4 |
| J. Cajuste | M | 4 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos López | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa Rodríguez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eneko Jauregi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Pastor | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Berrocal | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Levante
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu Sánchez | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Iván Romero | F | 60 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| M. Ryan | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Mandi | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reque | M | 4 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Bardeli | M | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Paco Cortés | F | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Dela | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Brugui | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Yanis Musuayi | F | 30 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Nacho Pérez | D | 77 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Oriol Rey | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Hugo Sotelo | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Ander Olasagasti | M | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| T. Fernández | F | 77 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| J. Toljan | D | 13 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| IfeanyiIfeanyi Ndukwe | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Víctor García | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Cuñat | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Ratkov | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Cabello | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Tape | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Malaga vs Levante?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Malaga to win against Levante.
- What score did Fipster predict for Malaga vs Levante?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Malaga 2–1 Levante.
- What were the win probabilities for Malaga vs Levante?
- Fipster's model gave Malaga a 35% chance of winning, Levante a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.