Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia

UEFA Europa League3rd Qualifying Round

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Full Time
0–3
HT: 0–2

CSKA Sofia

Ref: Manfredas Lukjancukas, LithuaniaBloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv · 29,400 cap
Fipster Pick
DrawlowMiss
Full-time storyUpset

CSKA Sofia storms to 2-0 win at Maccabi

Early strikes set the tone as CSKA Sofia secure a comfortable victory in Tel Aviv.

CSKA Sofia defied expectations with a commanding 2-0 win over Maccabi Tel Aviv in the UEFA Europa League. M. Ebong and S. Godoy struck in the first half to give the visitors a strong lead, while J. Zwarts sealed the result with a 90th-minute goal. This result was a surprise against Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a 1-1 draw.

Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 1 of 2
Aggregate:
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3 4 CSKA Sofia
Advances:
CSKA Sofia
FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick✗
1–1
Final Result
0–3
HT 0–2
18%Poor
F
✗Outcome✗Exact Score✗BTTS✓Over/Under 2.5✗Halftime
Fipster's self review6 Aug 2026

Outcome probability

Maccabi Tel Aviv 33%Draw 35%CSKA Sofia 32%

Maccabi Tel Aviv and CSKA Sofia face off in the 3rd Qualifying Round, both teams bringing decent form to the table. With Maccabi boasting a perfect record so far and CSKA unbeaten, this promises to be a closely contested affair.

Match factors

Form Momentumhigh

Maccabi Tel Aviv's strong recent form

Maccabi Tel Aviv have won their last 2 matches scoring 5 goals and keeping 2 clean sheets, showing strong attacking and defensive form.

Form Momentummedium

CSKA Sofia's mixed recent scoring

CSKA Sofia scored in 2 of their last 4 matches but also failed to score twice, indicating inconsistent offensive form.

Statistical Edgehigh

Maccabi Tel Aviv's defensive solidity

Maccabi Tel Aviv have not conceded in their last 2 matches, including a clean sheet at home, giving them a defensive edge.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Home advantage for Maccabi Tel Aviv

Maccabi Tel Aviv have scored away and home recently with clean sheets, likely benefiting from home conditions against CSKA Sofia.

The context

In this competition, Maccabi Tel Aviv have won both their matches, scoring six goals without conceding any. Meanwhile, CSKA Sofia remain unbeaten with two wins and two draws, netting five goals and conceding three. Both sides have shown resilience and attacking intent, setting the stage for an intriguing qualifier.

Key facts

  1. 1.Maccabi Tel Aviv have won both matches in this competition, scoring 6 goals and conceding none.
  2. 2.CSKA Sofia remain unbeaten in this competition with 2 wins and 2 draws, scoring 5 and conceding 3 goals.
  3. 3.Maccabi Tel Aviv have kept clean sheets in their last two matches, showing defensive strength.
  4. 4.CSKA Sofia have scored in only half of their last four matches, indicating some inconsistency in attack.
  5. 5.The predicted outcome is a 1-1 draw, the most likely scoreline among draws for this fixture.
  6. 6.The model's expected goals calibration supports a balanced match with goals at both ends.
  7. 7.Maccabi Tel Aviv's home advantage could be a factor, given their recent clean sheets at home.

Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv's recent form is impressive, having won their last two matches with five goals scored and two clean sheets, highlighting their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. CSKA Sofia, on the other hand, have been a bit inconsistent offensively, scoring in only half of their last four matches. The home side's defensive strength could be tested by CSKA's resilience, but both teams are likely to find the net given their recent scoring records. The model's calibration aligns well with expected goals, suggesting a balanced contest.

Prediction

The prediction leans towards a 1-1 draw, the most probable scoreline among draws in this fixture. While the confidence is low due to limited data and missing standings, the aggregate probabilities favour a stalemate with both sides scoring once. Expect a competitive match with neither team able to secure a decisive advantage.

The verdict

All told, this qualifier looks set to be a tight affair with both Maccabi Tel Aviv and CSKA Sofia sharing the spoils. Fans can anticipate a match where defensive discipline meets attacking ambition, culminating in a well-earned 1-1 draw.

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