Match recap
Lens beat Lyon 4–0 in their Ligue 1 fixture. Saïd, Saïd, Sotoca, and Thauvin scored for Lens. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.04 for Lyon versus 1.46 for Lens. Lyon sit 4th in the Ligue 1 table while Lens are 2nd.
Analysis
Lyon host Lens in what promises to be a tightly contested Ligue 1 fixture. Both teams have shown solid form this season, making a draw a likely outcome.
Lyon and Lens have a competitive history with 18 meetings: Lyon have won 8, Lens 5, and 5 ended in draws. Lens currently sit 2nd in the league, ahead of Lyon in 4th, with a notable goal difference advantage.
Lyon's Endrick is in fine form, netting 10 goals in his last 10 games and boasting a high average rating of 8.2, making him a key threat at home. Corentin Tolisso's creativity, with 5 assists recently, will be crucial to unlock Lens' defence. Defensively, Moussa Niakhaté and Clinton Mata provide Lyon with solidity. Lens, with a better goal difference and strong away performances, will not make it easy, suggesting a balanced match.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, with a goalless first half expected. Both teams are evenly matched, and the game should see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but fair contest.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Endrick's Form vs Lens Defense
Endrick's recent scoring streak and high ratings give Lyon a key attacking edge against Lens' defense.
Tolisso's Creative Influence
Tolisso leads Lyon in assists and key passes, crucial for unlocking Lens' defensive lines.
Lyon's Home Scoring Streak
Lyon has scored in last 5 home games, showing strong offensive momentum at home.
Defensive Solidity of Niakhaté and Mata
Their defensive consistency is vital to contain Lens' attackers and prevent high scoring.
No Significant Injuries Reported
Both teams have no reported injuries, so full-strength squads expected, maintaining tactical balance.
Key Takeaways
With both sides evenly poised and key players in form, a draw seems the fairest result. Fans can expect a spirited match with moments of quality from both teams, ending all square.
- Lyon and Lens have met 18 times: Lyon won 8, Lens 5, and 5 draws.
- Average goals per match between Lyon and Lens is 2.7.
- Lens ranks 2nd with 67 points; Lyon 4th with 60 points.
- Lens has a better goal difference (+27) than Lyon (+17) this season.
- Endrick has scored 10 goals in his last 10 games with an average rating of 8.2.
- Corentin Tolisso has provided 5 assists in the last 10 games.
- Lyon has scored in their last 5 home games.
- Expected total cards in the match is 4.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Lyon
Away — Lens
No standout top scorers flagged for Lens
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Sarr
Yellow Card
Saïd
Assist: Antonio
Saud Abdulhamid
Yellow Card
Saïd
Assist: Haidara
Antonio
Sotoca
Assist: Thauvin
Maitland-Niles
Kluivert
Sarr
Saud Abdulhamid
Thauvin
Assist: Bulatović
Haidara
Thauvin
Šulc
Yellow Card
Mangala
Endrick
Aguilar
Yellow Card
Äelik
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 | 76 |
| 2 |  Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 | 70 |
| 3 |  Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 | 61 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 60 |
| 5 |  Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 | 59 |
Match Statistics
Lyon
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 1Dominik GreifG
- 5Orel Johnson MangalaM
- 8Corentin TolissoM
- 9EndrickF
- 10Pavel ŠulcM
- 16AbnerM
- 17Afonso MoreiraF
- 19Moussa NiakhatéD
- 21Ruben KluivertD
- 22Clinton MataD
- 98Ainsley Cory Maitland-NilesD
Substitutes
- 3Nicolás Alejandro TagliaficoD
- 11Malick Martin FofanaF
- 33Hans HateboerD
- 37Ernest Nuamah AppiahF
- 39Mathys de Carvalho SoaresM
- 40Rémy DescampsG
- 44Khalis MerahM
- 77Roman YaremchukF
- 99Noah Teye NarteyM
Lens
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4Nidal ČelikD
- 5Andrija BulatovićM
- 7Florian SotocaF
- 10Florian Tristán Mariano ThauvinF
- 16Mathieu GorgelinG
- 20Malang Mamadou William Georges SarrD
- 21Amadou HaidaraM
- 22Wesley SaïdF
- 23Saud AbdulhamidM
- 27Fuka-Arthur Masuaku KawelaM
- 32Kyllian Anderson AntonioD
Substitutes
- 2Ruben AguilarD
- 14Matthieu UdolD
- 18Fodé Sanassy SyllaM
- 19Abdallah Dipo SimaF
- 25Pierre-Ismaëlo GaniouD
- 28Adrien ThomassonM
- 38Rayan FofanaF
- 40Robin Risser BirckelG
- 41M. SoaresM
Lyon
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afonso Moreira | F | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Corentin Tolisso(C) | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Abner Vinícius | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Orel Mangala | M | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Moussa Niakhaté | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Endrick | F | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0/3 |
| Pavel Šulc | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/2 |
| Ruben Kluivert | D | 45 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Clinton Mata | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ainsley Maitland-Niles | D | 45 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Dominik Greif | G | 90 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mathys de Carvalho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Tagliafico | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rémy Descamps | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Nartey | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalis Merah | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malick Fofana | F | 19 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Ernest Nuamah | F | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/5 |
| Roman Yaremchuk | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Hans Hateboer | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
Lens
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Sotoca(C) | F | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Mathieu Gorgelin | G | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wesley Saïd | F | 90 | 8.2 | 2 | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Andrija Bulatovic | M | 90 | 8.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Florian Thauvin | F | 61 | 7.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/4 |
| Kyllian Antonio | D | 39 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nidal Čelik | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Malang Sarr | D | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Amadou Haidara | M | 61 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Arthur Masuaku | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Saud Abdulhamid | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mezian Mesloub | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Fofana | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fode Sylla | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Risser | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruben Aguilar | D | 45 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ismaelo Ganiou | D | 51 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Matthieu Udol | D | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Adrien Thomasson | M | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdallah Sima | F | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |