Lyon vs Auxerre
Lyon's triple strike secures solid win
A commanding display from Lyon sees them comfortably dispatch Auxerre.
Lyon took control early with goals from F. Bacher and Z. Athekame before Auxerre's C. Archer pulled one back just before the break. However, E. Nuamah restored Lyon's two-goal cushion after the interval to seal a 3-1 victory. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, though the actual scoreline proved more emphatic than the modest 1-0 forecast.
Outcome probability
As the new Ligue 1 season kicks off, Lyon and Auxerre prepare to face off in what promises to be a tightly contested encounter. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, with Lyon bolstered by key signings aiming to build on last season's solid finish, while Auxerre look to find their rhythm after some departures.
Key facts
- 1.Lyon finished 4th last season with 60 points from 34 games.
- 2.Auxerre ended the previous campaign 15th with 34 points from 34 games.
- 3.Lyon's goal difference was +13 compared to Auxerre's -10 last season.
- 4.Lyon averaged 1.76 points per game last season, Auxerre 1.00.
- 5.Lyon signed F. Bacher and M. Bidstrup over the summer.
- 6.Auxerre lost E. Owusu in the transfer window.
- 7.The predicted scoreline is 1-0 in favour of Lyon.
- 8.Four cards are expected during the match.
The context
Lyon enter this match with a clear advantage in league standing from the previous campaign, finishing significantly higher than Auxerre. The Gones have strengthened their squad with the arrivals of F. Bacher and M. Bidstrup, while losing Afonso Moreira. Auxerre, on the other hand, have parted ways with E. Owusu, which may impact their defensive options.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Lyon
Away — Auxerre
Analysis
Lyon's superior goal difference and points per game from last season suggest a team with both offensive and defensive solidity. Their ability to maintain a tight defence could be crucial in keeping Auxerre at bay. Auxerre will need to overcome their lower league position and goal difference deficit to challenge the hosts effectively. The predicted 1-0 halftime and fulltime scoreline reflects a match where Lyon's edge in quality and squad depth is expected to make the difference.
Prediction
The forecast is for Lyon to clinch a narrow 1-0 victory, with the decisive goal likely coming in the first half. The match is expected to be competitive, but Lyon's overall strength and summer reinforcements give them the upper hand. Expect a disciplined performance with a moderate number of cards, around four, as both sides battle for early season momentum.
The verdict
In summary, Lyon look well placed to start the season with a win, capitalising on their stronger squad and previous season's form. Auxerre will be aiming to frustrate and possibly snatch a point, but the balance of power leans towards the Gones in this opener.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal cancelled
Goal cancelled
Piedfort
Yellow Card
Bacher
Assist: Nuamah
Athekame
Assist: Openda
Archer
Nuamah
Assist: Šulc
Bacher
Yellow Card
Ahamada
Legros
Labeau Lascary
Nuamah
Šulc
Mandengue
Yellow Card
Bidstrup
Archer
Morton
Yellow Card
Bacher
Morton
Sy
Match Statistics
Lyon
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1D. GreifG
- 2M. BidstrupM
- 7E. NuamahF
- 8C. TolissoM
- 10P. ŠulcF
- 13Z. AthekameD
- 16AbnerD
- 17L. OpendaF
- 19M. NiakhatéD
- 20F. BacherD
- 23T. MortonM
Substitutes
- 3N. TagliaficoD
- 6T. TessmannM
- 18K. MerahM
- 21R. KluivertD
- 22Clinton MataD
- 26K. BoudacheF
- 40R. DescampsG
- 45R. HimbertF
- 99N. NarteyM
Auxerre
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3R. Labeau LascaryM
- 5K. DanoisM
- 8N. AhamadaM
- 9C. ArcherF
- 10D. NamasoM
- 15C. MakossoD
- 23M. DiopG
- 27L. SyD
- 35E. LegrosD
- 46A. PiedfortM
- 92C. AkpaD
Substitutes
- 1P. NardiG
- 7J. CasimirF
- 17P. EkwahM
- 20S. DiomandéD
- 21R. FaivreM
- 32R. MandengueD
- 34L. DioubateM
- 36T. DevernoisM
- 77Aristide ZossouM
Lyon
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Nuamah | F | 67 | 8.1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3/4 |
| Z. Athekame | D | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| L. Openda | F | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1/2 |
| F. Bacher | D | 86 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| C. Tolisso | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
| M. Niakhaté | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Greif | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Merah | M | 23 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| P. Šulc | F | 67 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Abner | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| T. Morton | M | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| T. Tessmann | M | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| K. Boudache | F | 23 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Bidstrup | M | 76 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| R. Kluivert | D | 4 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Nartey | M | 4 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Tagliafico | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Descamps | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Himbert | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clinton Mata | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Auxerre
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Archer | F | 77 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| M. Diop | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Makosso | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Danois | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| D. Namaso | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4/4 |
| R. Labeau Lascary | M | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2/6 |
| A. Piedfort | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Sy | D | 93 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Faivre | M | 13 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| E. Legros | D | 66 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Akpa | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| P. Ekwah | M | 24 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aristide Zossou | M | 24 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Ahamada | M | 66 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mandengue | D | 24 | 5.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| L. Dioubate | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Nardi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Diomandé | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Casimir | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Devernois | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Lyon vs Auxerre?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Lyon to win against Auxerre.
- What score did Fipster predict for Lyon vs Auxerre?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Lyon 1–0 Auxerre.
- What were the win probabilities for Lyon vs Auxerre?
- Fipster's model gave Lyon a 51% chance of winning, Auxerre a 24% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 51% confidence — a medium-confidence call.