Ludogorets vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round

Ludogorets

Full Time
2–2
HT: 0–1

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Ref: S. KarabaevHuvepharma Arena, Razgrad · 10,422 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinlowMiss
Full-time storyUpset

Ludogorets and Hapoel share spoils in Europa Conference thriller

Boateng's brace keeps Hapoel in the hunt after Ludogorets' quickfire reply.

Hapoel Tel Aviv took an early lead through E. Boateng's 16th-minute strike, only for Ludogorets to respond with goals from B. Tekpetey and A. Salido Tajero shortly after the break. Boateng's second goal at 58' ensured a 2-2 draw, denying Ludogorets a home win. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow Ludogorets victory, delivering a lively contest instead.

Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 2 of 2Decisive leg
First leg:
Hapoel Tel Aviv 2 0 Ludogorets
Aggregate:
Ludogorets 2 4 Hapoel Tel Aviv
Advances:
Hapoel Tel Aviv
FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick✗
1–0
HT 0–0
Final Result
2–2
HT 0–1
0%Poor
F
✗Outcome✗Exact Score✗BTTS✗Over/Under 2.5✗Halftime
Fipster's self review30 Jul 2026

Analysis

The upcoming 2nd Qualifying Round fixture between Ludogorets and Hapoel Tel Aviv promises a closely contested encounter. Both sides will be eager to progress, but the prediction leans towards a slender home win.

In this competition, Ludogorets have had a tough start with one loss and no goals scored, while Hapoel Tel Aviv have won their opening match convincingly with a 2-0 scoreline. Their previous head-to-head meeting saw Hapoel Tel Aviv come out on top, adding an extra edge to this fixture.

The statistical outlook suggests a tight game, with the most probable halftime score being 0-0, indicating a cautious first half. The home win class holds the highest probability at 37%, with a 1-0 fulltime scoreline being the most likely outcome. The moderate confidence level of 35% reflects the competitive nature of the match, where a single goal could decide the winner.

Prediction

Expect Ludogorets to edge this one by a single goal, likely breaking the deadlock in the second half. The match should be tight, with a total of around three cards expected, reflecting a competitive but disciplined affair.

Outcome probability

Ludogorets 35%Draw 33%Hapoel Tel Aviv 32%

Match factors

Statsmedium

Draw outcome favored

Draw outcome class aggregates to 0.3 probability, higher than home or away wins.

Statsmedium

Modal fulltime draw scoreline

1-1 is the most probable draw scoreline at 0.18 probability.

Statsmedium

Halftime score consistency

Halftime modal scoreline 0-0 is consistent with fulltime 1-1 (HT ≤ FT).

Key Takeaways

All in all, Ludogorets look set to claim a narrow victory in this qualifier, but Hapoel Tel Aviv will not make it easy. Fans can anticipate a tense, tactical battle with the home side just about doing enough to progress.

  • Ludogorets have played 1 match in this competition with 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 0 and conceding 2 goals.
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv have played 1 match in this competition with 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, scoring 2 and conceding 0 goals.
  • In their only head-to-head meeting, Hapoel Tel Aviv won against Ludogorets.
  • The most probable halftime score is 0-0, suggesting a cautious start from both sides.
  • The highest aggregate probability favors a home win at 37%.
  • The most likely fulltime scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Ludogorets.
  • A total of 3 cards is predicted, indicating a moderately physical game.
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