Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes
Galaxy sneak past Earthquakes with Paintsil strike
A solitary goal in the second half secures a narrow win for Los Angeles Galaxy.
Los Angeles Galaxy edged out San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 thanks to J. Paintsil's decisive strike in the 79th minute. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction favouring an away win with a 3-2 scoreline, the Galaxy held firm to claim all three points in a tight contest. This result was a clear upset against the expected outcome.
Outcome probability
The upcoming clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and San Jose Earthquakes promises an exciting encounter as both sides look to improve their standings in the league. With San Jose currently enjoying a stronger season, this match could be a pivotal moment for both teams.
Match factors
San Jose's potent attack led by Judd
Preston Judd leads with 11 goals, showing strong recent away scoring form, key to predicted 3 goals
Reus' creative influence for LA Galaxy
Marco Reus tops assists with 6, providing key chances and linking well with scorers
Gabriel Pec's consistent attacking form
Pec has 5 goals and 4 assists, with strong recent away contributions supporting scoring and assisting
Key absences weaken LA Galaxy midfield and defense
Confirmed outs Yamane (defense) and Thommy (midfield) reduce defensive stability and midfield creativity
San Jose's attacking midfield depth
Despite Tsakiris out, Bouda and Werner provide goal threat and assists, maintaining offensive pressure
The context
San Jose Earthquakes sit comfortably in 4th place with 33 points from 18 games, boasting a healthy goal difference of +19. In contrast, Los Angeles Galaxy find themselves 12th with 22 points from 20 games and a goal difference of -6. Historically, the head-to-head record is fairly balanced with Los Angeles winning 10 of their 20 meetings, San Jose 6, and 4 draws.
Key insights
P. Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
League top scorer with 11 goals, showing strong recent away scoring form, key to predicted 3 goals
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 16 appearances, 0.69 goals/game
M. Reus
Los Angeles Galaxy
Top assister with 6, providing key chances and linking well with scorers
Major League Soccer 26/276 assists in 19 appearances, 0.32 assists/game
Gabriel Pec
San Jose Earthquakes
5 goals and 4 assists, strong recent away contributions supporting scoring and assisting
Major League Soccer 26/275 goals and 4 assists in 14 appearances
T. Werner
San Jose Earthquakes
Provides goal threat and assists, maintaining offensive pressure despite key absences
Major League Soccer 26/274 goals and 3 assists in 9 appearances
Analysis
San Jose's attacking threat is led by Preston Judd, who has netted 11 goals in 16 appearances, including a strong recent away form with 2 goals in his last 2 away matches. Marco Reus remains a creative force for Los Angeles Galaxy, topping the assists chart with 6 this season. However, key absences in the Galaxy midfield and defense, including Yamane and Thommy, could hamper their stability. San Jose's depth in attacking midfield, despite Tsakiris being out, is maintained by players like Gabriel Pec and Timo Werner, who contribute both goals and assists.
Key facts
- 1.San Jose Earthquakes are 4th with 33 points from 18 games, Los Angeles Galaxy 12th with 22 points from 20 games.
- 2.San Jose's goal difference is +19, significantly better than Los Angeles Galaxy's -6.
- 3.In 20 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles Galaxy have 10 wins, San Jose 6, with 4 draws.
- 4.Preston Judd is the league's top scorer with 11 goals in 16 games, including strong recent away form.
- 5.Marco Reus leads assists with 6 in 19 games, providing key chances for Los Angeles Galaxy.
- 6.San Jose's predicted fulltime scoreline is 3 goals, supported by contributions from Judd, Pec, and Werner.
- 7.Los Angeles Galaxy face key absences in midfield and defense, impacting their stability.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for San Jose Earthquakes with a final scoreline of 3-2. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1 in favour of San Jose, reflecting their ability to start strong and maintain pressure. The match is also anticipated to be competitive in terms of discipline, with around 4 cards expected.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Los Angeles Galaxy
Away — San Jose Earthquakes
The verdict
In summary, San Jose Earthquakes' superior form, goal-scoring ability, and squad depth give them the edge in this encounter. Los Angeles Galaxy will need to overcome their injury setbacks and rely on key players like Marco Reus to keep the game close. Expect a thrilling 3-2 victory for the visitors in what should be an entertaining contest.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Miller
Yellow Card
Fernandez
Yellow Card
Sanabria
Yellow Card
Sanabria
Yellow Card
Sanabria
Red Card
Tsakiris
Skahan
Romney
Yellow Card
Fernandez
Jovanović
Lozano
Marie
Paintsil
Assist: Miller
Paintsil
Jasinski
Yellow Card
Furuhashi
Haak
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | +27 | 40 |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +14 | 35 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +6 | 33 |
| 5 |  FC Dallas | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +4 | 33 |
| 11 |  San Diego | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | +5 | 27 |
| 12 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 |  Seattle Sounders | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 25 |
Match Statistics
Los Angeles Galaxy
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3J. AudeD
- 4M. YoshidaD
- 5J. GlesnesD
- 7K. FuruhashiF
- 8L. SanabriaM
- 11H. LozanoM
- 12J. MarcinkowskiG
- 15J. HaakM
- 18M. ReusM
- 26Harbor MillerD
- 28J. PaintsilM
Substitutes
- 1N. MićovićG
- 14J. NelsonD
- 16I. ParenteM
- 20C. RindovD
- 21R. TaylorM
- 24R. RamosF
- 27E. ThommyM
- 76T. ElgersmaM
San Jose Earthquakes
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. GunnG
- 2J. RickettsD
- 3P. MarieM
- 4D. RomneyD
- 6I. HarkesM
- 9L. JovanovićF
- 10N. TsakirisM
- 16J. SkahanM
- 17Jack JasinskiD
- 20N. FernandezM
- 25M. FlorianiD
Substitutes
- 5D. MunieD
- 7O. BoudaF
- 11T. WernerF
- 19P. JuddF
- 28B. KikanovicF
- 31Francesco MontaliG
- 34Beau LerouxM
- 40J. GónzalezM
- 87Vítor CostaD
Los Angeles Galaxy
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Glesnes | D | 89 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Joseph Paintsil | M | 83 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 4 | 4 | — | 2/2 |
| Harbor Miller | D | 89 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| JT Marcinkowski | G | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hirving Lozano | M | 68 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/5 |
| Kyogo Furuhashi | F | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Julián Aude | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maya Yoshida(C) | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Justin Haak | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Marco Reus | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Sanabria | M | 45 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Erik Thommy | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Troy Elgersma | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruben Ramos | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Rindov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaiah Parente | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John Nelson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Novak Mićović | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Taylor | M | 21 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
San Jose Earthquakes
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Marie | M | 74 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Angus Gunn | G | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Floriani | D | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Ian Harkes | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| Dave Romney(C) | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Fernandez | M | 61 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jack Skahan | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jack Jasinski | D | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Niko Tsakiris | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Luka Jovanovic | F | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jamar Ricketts | D | 89 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jonathan Gonzalez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francesco Montali | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Kikanović | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Munie | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ousseni Bouda | F | 44 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Timo Werner | F | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Vitor Costa | D | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Beau Leroux | M | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Preston Judd | F | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |