Los Angeles FC vs Orlando City SC
Match recap
Los Angeles FC beat Orlando City SC 6–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Brekalo, Bouanga, Bouanga, Bouanga, Palencia, and Boyd scored for Los Angeles FC. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.65 for Los Angeles FC versus 0.72 for Orlando City SC.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 Los Angeles FC win
Actual
6–0
Outcome probability
Los Angeles FC and Orlando City SC face off in what promises to be an entertaining MLS regular season encounter. With both teams eager to climb the table, expect a match where attacking flair meets defensive resilience.
Match factors
Bouanga-Son synergy fuels LAFC attack
Bouanga's 15 goals and Son's 10 assists highlight a potent partnership driving LAFC's offense
Griezmann's creative influence key for Orlando
Griezmann's 5 assists in 12 games and recent form make him Orlando's main playmaker
LAFC's home scoring strength
LAFC averages 1.86 goals per home game, above league average, supporting predicted 3 goals
Orlando's scoring streak despite defensive struggles
Orlando has scored in last 5 games but concedes heavily, risking defensive collapse vs LAFC
The context
This fixture is part of the MLS regular season's sixth round. Los Angeles FC currently sit sixth in the league standings, demonstrating solid form with a mix of wins and draws. Orlando City SC, meanwhile, have struggled to find consistency but continue to pose a threat with their attacking players.
Key insights
Dénis Bouanga
Los Angeles FC
Bouanga's 15 goals this season, including 3 in this fixture, make him the key attacking threat for LAFC.
Major League Soccer 26/2715 goals in 27 apps, 0.56 goals/game
Son Heung-Min
Los Angeles FC
Son's 10 assists and strong away form underline his importance as LAFC's creative force.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 assists in 26 apps, 0.38 assists/game
Antoine Griezmann
Orlando City SC
Griezmann's 5 assists in 12 games and recent form make him Orlando's main playmaker.
Major League Soccer 26/275 assists in 12 apps, 0.42 assists/game
Analysis
Los Angeles FC have shown a potent attacking force at home, averaging nearly two goals per game on their turf. Their synergy, particularly between midfielder Dénis Bouanga, who leads the team with 15 goals this season, and attacker Son Heung-Min, who tops the assist charts, is a key factor. Orlando City SC rely heavily on Antoine Griezmann's creativity, but their defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited by LAFC's clinical finishing. Historically, LAFC have dominated this matchup, winning four of six meetings and averaging 4.5 goals per game in these encounters.
Key facts
- 1.Los Angeles FC have won 4 of the last 6 head-to-head matches against Orlando City SC.
- 2.The average number of goals in LAFC vs Orlando matches is 4.5, indicating high-scoring affairs.
- 3.Dénis Bouanga leads LAFC with 15 goals this season, including 3 in this fixture.
- 4.Son Heung-Min is LAFC's top assister with 10 assists this season.
- 5.Orlando City's Antoine Griezmann has 5 assists in 12 games, highlighting his creative role.
- 6.LAFC rank 6th in the league with 42 points from 29 games.
- 7.LAFC average 1.86 goals per home game, above the league average.
Prediction
We predict a 3-1 victory for Los Angeles FC. The home side's attacking depth and recent form suggest they will control the game and convert their chances effectively. Orlando City SC may find the net once, but LAFC's offensive firepower should prove too much to handle.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Los Angeles FC
Away — Orlando City SC
No standout top scorers flagged for Orlando City SC
The verdict
Expect Los Angeles FC to continue their strong home performances with a confident win over Orlando City SC. Their attacking partnership and home advantage should secure all three points in this MLS regular season fixture.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 23:52 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Brekalo (OG)
Bouanga
Assist: Son Heung-Min
Atuesta
Yellow Card
Bouanga
Assist: Son Heung-Min
Bouanga
Yellow Card
Bouanga
Assist: Son Heung-Min
Palencia
Assist: Son Heung-Min
Tiago
Guske
Miller
Tillman
Bouanga
Son Heung-Min
McGuire
Yellow Card
Atuesta
Boyd
Assist: Shaffelburg
Palencia
Boyd
Martínez
Yellow Card
Angulo
Yellow Card
Angulo
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
Match Statistics
Los Angeles FC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1H. LlorisG
- 5R. PorteousD
- 7Son Heung-MinF
- 8M. DelgadoM
- 11T. TillmanM
- 14Sergi PalenciaD
- 19T. BoydM
- 24R. HollingsheadD
- 27N. OrdazM
- 91N. TafariD
- 99D. BouangaM
Substitutes
- 4E. SeguraD
- 12T. HasalG
- 17J. EbobisseF
- 18J. ShaffelburgF
- 21R. RaposoM
- 29A. SmolyakovD
- 30D. MartínezF
- 65A. BoudriM
- 66M. ChoinièreM
Orlando City SC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 8B. OjedaD
- 10M. OjedaM
- 11TiagoF
- 20E. AtuestaM
- 21N. MillerD
- 25Colin GuskeM
- 57IagoD
- 71M. CrépeauG
- 77I. AnguloM
- 87Marco PasalicM
Substitutes
- 5Luis OtávioM
- 12Javier OteroG
- 13D. McGuireF
- 19Z. TaifiM
- 22Justin EllisF
- 23Harvey SarajianF
- 29T. Reid-BrownD
- 34Y. TsukadaF
Los Angeles FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denis Bouanga | M | 58 | 10.0 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3/4 |
| Heung-min Son | F | 58 | 9.5 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3/3 |
| Sergi Palencia | D | 71 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Tyler Boyd | M | 73 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Hugo Lloris(C) | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marky Delgado | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Ryan Porteous | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Hollingshead | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Timothy Tillman | M | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Nkosi Tafari | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Nathan Ordaz | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Amin Boudri | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Artem Smoliakov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Hasal | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eddie Segura | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Raposo | M | 19 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jacob Shaffelburg | F | 32 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Mathieu Choinière | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Ebobisse | F | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Martínez Morales | F | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Orlando City SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iván Angulo | M | 86 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Maxime Crépeau | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduard Atuesta | M | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Colin Guske | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Souza | F | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| David Brekalo | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Pašalić | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| Martín Ojeda(C) | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Nolan Miller | D | 45 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Braian Ojeda | D | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Iago Silva | D | 90 | 5.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Justin Ellis | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Marín | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Otero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harvey Sarajian | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Otávio | M | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Yutaro Tsukada | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Duncan McGuire | F | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tahir Reid-Brown | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Taifi | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Los Angeles FC vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Los Angeles FC to win against Orlando City SC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Los Angeles FC vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Los Angeles FC 3–1 Orlando City SC.
- What were the win probabilities for Los Angeles FC vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster's model gave Los Angeles FC a 78% chance of winning, Orlando City SC a 11% chance, and a 11% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 78% confidence — a high-confidence call.