Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas
Match recap
Los Angeles FC beat FC Dallas 1–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Martínez scored for Los Angeles FC. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.93 for Los Angeles FC versus 1.15 for FC Dallas. Los Angeles FC sit 6th in the Major League Soccer table while FC Dallas are 3rd.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 Los Angeles FC win
Actual
1–0
Outcome probability
Los Angeles FC and FC Dallas face off in the third round of the regular season, with LAFC looking to extend their strong form and assert dominance early on.
Match factors
LAFC's attacking midfield dominance
LAFC's midfielders Bouanga and Delgado outperform Dallas counterparts in goals and assists, providing creative edge
Petar Musa's prolific scoring form
Musa leads FC Dallas with 18 goals, showing strong recent form and high conversion rate
Son Heung-Min's consistent contributions
Son has 6 goals and 10 assists this season, maintaining steady form and key involvement in LAFC's attack
LAFC missing key midfielder Tillman
Tillman is confirmed out, reducing midfield depth and creativity options for LAFC
The context
This fixture sees Los Angeles FC aiming to capitalize on their superior goal difference and head-to-head record against FC Dallas. Both teams have shown attacking promise, but LAFC's midfield creativity and home advantage give them the edge.
Key insights
D. Bouanga
Los Angeles FC
Leads LAFC with 14 goals this season, providing a key attacking threat from midfield with strong recent form.
Major League Soccer 26/2714 goals in 26 apps, 3 goals in last 5 matches
Petar Musa
FC Dallas
Top scorer in the league with 18 goals, showing prolific form and a high conversion rate for FC Dallas.
Major League Soccer 26/2718 goals in 23 apps, 6 goals in last 10 games
Son Heung-Min
Los Angeles FC
Creative focal point with 10 assists and 6 goals, consistently contributing to LAFC's attack and boosting scoring chances.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 assists and 6 goals in 25 apps
J. Valiente
FC Dallas
Key playmaker with 9 assists, providing creativity and strong recent form to FC Dallas's midfield.
Major League Soccer 26/279 assists in 25 apps, 6 assists in last 10 games
Analysis
Los Angeles FC's midfielders, particularly D. Bouanga and D. Martínez, provide a creative and goal-scoring threat that FC Dallas will struggle to contain. Despite FC Dallas boasting the league's top scorer, Petar Musa, LAFC's cohesive play and early pressure are expected to yield a two-goal lead by halftime. Son Heung-Min's consistent contributions as both scorer and assister further bolster LAFC's attacking options. Meanwhile, FC Dallas will rely on J. Valiente's playmaking to create chances, but the defensive solidity of LAFC, led by Sergi Palencia, should limit their effectiveness.
Key facts
- 1.Los Angeles FC have won 8 of 15 head-to-head matches against FC Dallas.
- 2.Los Angeles FC have a better goal difference (13) than FC Dallas (7) this season.
- 3.David Martínez Morales scored 1 goal in this fixture for Los Angeles FC.
- 4.Petar Musa leads FC Dallas with 18 goals this season.
- 5.Son Heung-Min has contributed 6 goals and 10 assists this season.
- 6.D. Bouanga is LAFC's top scorer with 14 goals this season.
- 7.J. Valiente is FC Dallas's top assister with 9 assists this season.
Prediction
We predict Los Angeles FC to take a commanding 2-0 lead by halftime and ultimately secure a 3-1 victory. The home side's attacking midfield dominance and clinical finishing are likely to prove decisive in this encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Los Angeles FC
Away — FC Dallas
The verdict
In summary, Los Angeles FC's blend of creativity and goal-scoring prowess should see them comfortably overcome FC Dallas. Expect a lively match with LAFC asserting control early and maintaining it to the final whistle.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:26 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Son Heung-Min
Yellow Card
Moore
Yellow Card
Martínez
Assist: Eustáquio
Ramiro
Yellow Card
Farrington
Valiente
Tillman
Ramiro
Martínez
Boyd
Yellow Card
Cappis
Bouanga
Urhoghide
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
Match Statistics
Los Angeles FC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1H. LlorisG
- 4E. SeguraD
- 5R. PorteousD
- 7Son Heung-MinF
- 8M. DelgadoM
- 11T. TillmanM
- 14Sergi PalenciaD
- 30D. MartínezM
- 46S. EustáquioM
- 91N. TafariD
- 99D. BouangaM
Substitutes
- 12T. HasalG
- 19T. BoydF
- 21R. RaposoM
- 24R. HollingsheadD
- 27N. OrdazF
- 29A. SmolyakovD
- 45Kenny NielsenD
- 65A. BoudriM
- 66M. ChoinièreM
FC Dallas
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3O. UrhoghideD
- 9P. MusaF
- 12C. CappisM
- 14H. JohanssonM
- 17RamiroM
- 18S. MooreD
- 21J. ValienteF
- 23L. FarringtonF
- 25S. IbeaghaD
- 30Michael CollodiG
- 77B. KamungoM
Substitutes
- 5L. AbubakarD
- 6R. Binyamin
- 7L. DeedsonF
- 8P. DelgadoM
- 15Ricky LouisM
- 28Samuel SarverF
- 32N. NorrisD
- 55KaickM
Los Angeles FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Martínez Morales | M | 80 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Hugo Lloris(C) | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eddie Segura | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marky Delgado | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Ryan Porteous | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stephen Eustaquio | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Timothy Tillman | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| Nkosi Tafari | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denis Bouanga | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Heung-min Son | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Sergi Palencia | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kenny Nielsen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Ordaz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Artem Smoliakov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Hasal | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Raposo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Hollingshead | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Boyd | F | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mathieu Choinière | M | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amin Boudri | M | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
FC Dallas
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Collodi | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramiro(C) | M | 78 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Herman Johansson | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Bernard Kamungo | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5/7 |
| Sebastien Ibeagha | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Cappis | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Logan Farrington | F | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 3/4 |
| Osaze Urhoghide | D | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Valiente | F | 73 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Shaq Moore | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petar Musa | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Sam Sarver | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lalas Abubakar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nolan Norris | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaick | M | 17 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Patrickson Delgado | M | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ran Binyamin | M | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Louis | M | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Louicius Don Deedson | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Los Angeles FC to win against FC Dallas.
- What score did Fipster predict for Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Los Angeles FC 3–1 FC Dallas.
- What were the win probabilities for Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas?
- Fipster's model gave Los Angeles FC a 85% chance of winning, FC Dallas a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.