Liverpool vs Villarreal
Liverpool edge Villarreal in seven-goal thriller
Mac Allister shines with a brace as Liverpool clinch a narrow win.
Liverpool secured a thrilling 4-3 victory over Villarreal in a match packed with goals from start to finish. Despite falling behind early to G. Mikautadze and Sergi Cardona, Liverpool fought back with A. Mac Allister scoring twice, supported by R. Araújo and F. Wirtz, to overturn the deficit. Villarreal's late goal from T. Oluwaseyi made it tense, but Liverpool held on for the win. Fipster's low-confidence prediction for a Liverpool win was on the money, though the scoreline was far more dramatic than the modest 2-1 forecast.
Outcome probability
Liverpool and Villarreal face off in a Group Stage match where both sides will be looking to assert their dominance early in the competition. With no confirmed injuries on either side, expect a full-strength battle.
Match factors
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both Liverpool and Villarreal have no confirmed absences, ensuring full squad availability for tactical plans.
Balanced scoring and assisting averages across teams
Both teams show similar league averages in goals and assists per player by position, indicating an evenly matched offensive capability.
Insufficient recent match data limits form analysis
Lack of recent fixtures and player form data restricts ability to identify in-form players or momentum shifts.
Home advantage may favor Liverpool's attacking output
Predicted 2-1 home win suggests Liverpool's attack could exploit Villarreal's defense, despite limited player-specific data.
The context
This Group Stage fixture sees Liverpool, also known as The Reds, take on Villarreal. Both teams have similar offensive capabilities based on league averages, suggesting a closely matched encounter. The lack of recent form data means momentum is hard to gauge, but both squads are at full strength.
Key facts
- 1.Liverpool and Villarreal have no confirmed injuries, ensuring full squads.
- 2.Both teams show similar league averages in goals and assists per player by position.
- 3.Recent match data is insufficient to clearly identify form momentum for either side.
- 4.Home advantage may favour Liverpool's attacking output in this fixture.
- 5.The predicted final score is 2-1 in favour of Liverpool.
- 6.The expected total number of cards in the match is four.
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a home win for Liverpool with a 2-1 scoreline, indicating a competitive match where Liverpool's attack might just outgun Villarreal's defence. The expected total of four cards suggests a game with some robust challenges but nothing too out of the ordinary. Both teams have balanced scoring and assisting stats, so the match could hinge on tactical execution and home advantage.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Liverpool
Away — Villarreal
Prediction
We anticipate Liverpool to secure a 2-1 victory. The home advantage may provide the Reds with the slight edge needed to break down Villarreal's defence, while the visitors will likely push hard to keep the scoreline close.
The verdict
In summary, this Group Stage match promises to be a tight affair with Liverpool just about coming out on top. Fans can expect a spirited contest with goals and a fair share of competitive moments.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mikautadze
Moleiro
Yellow Card
Cardona
Assist: Saliba
Mac Allister
Assist: Tsimikas
Mouriño
Yellow Card
Araújo
Assist: Ngumoha
Araújo
Saliba
Moleiro
Mikautadze
Buchanan
Mac Allister
Assist: Ngumoha
Koumas
Wirtz
Assist: Gakpo
Ngumoha
Jacquet
Santi Comesaña
Nyoni
Oluwaseyi
Assist: Pérez
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 19 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 20 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Liverpool
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Alisson BeckerG
- 4V. van DijkD
- 5J. JacquetD
- 10A. Mac AllisterM
- 18C. GakpoM
- 21K. TsimikasD
- 33R. AraújoD
- 38R. GravenberchM
- 42T. NyoniM
- 67L. KoumasF
- 73R. NgumohaM
Substitutes
- 2J. GomezD
- 6M. KerkezD
- 7F. WirtzM
- 9A. IsakF
- 25G. MamardashviliG
- 28F. WoodmanG
- 29B. BarcolaF
- 44L. ChambersD
- 53J. McConnellM
- 76J. DannsF
- 94M. LaffeyM
Villarreal
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6Pau NavarroD
- 9G. MikautadzeF
- 10Alberto MoleiroM
- 12Renato VeigaD
- 14Santi ComesañaM
- 15S. MouriñoD
- 17T. BuchananM
- 18P. GueyeM
- 23Sergi CardonaD
- 24N. SalibaM
- 25P. GulácsiG
Substitutes
- 1Luíz JúniorG
- 2Logan CostaD
- 3A. FreemanD
- 5A. DiattaM
- 7Gerard MorenoF
- 8J. FoythD
- 11Ilias AkhomachF
- 16C. MaciaM
- 21T. OluwaseyiF
- 22Ayoze PérezF
- 27N. El JmiliF
Liverpool
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mac Allister | M | 90 | 9.2 | 2 | — | 5 | 2 | 4 | — |
| R. Ngumoha | M | 74 | 8.6 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 3 | 7/8 |
| F. Wirtz | M | 44 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2/3 |
| K. Tsimikas | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 2/3 |
| C. Gakpo | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4/5 |
| T. Nyoni | M | 81 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| R. Araújo | D | 46 | 6.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| A. Isak | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| B. Barcola | F | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Koumas | F | 66 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| J. Jacquet | D | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Alisson Becker | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. van Dijk | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Gomez | D | 16 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. McConnell | M | 9 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Laffey | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Danns | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Chambers | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kerkez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Mamardashvili | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Woodman | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Villarreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Mikautadze | F | 60 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Ayoze Pérez | F | 30 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| T. Oluwaseyi | F | 44 | 7.1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Sergi Cardona | D | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| P. Gueye | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| N. Saliba | M | 46 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Pau Navarro | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gerard Moreno | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Alberto Moleiro | M | 54 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Freeman | D | 30 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Renato Veiga | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Buchanan | M | 60 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| P. Gulácsi | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santi Comesaña | M | 78 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| S. Mouriño | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| J. Foyth | D | 36 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Logan Costa | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luíz Júnior | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilias Akhomach | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Diatta | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Macia | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. El Jmili | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Liverpool vs Villarreal?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Liverpool to win against Villarreal.
- What score did Fipster predict for Liverpool vs Villarreal?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Liverpool 2–1 Villarreal.
- What were the win probabilities for Liverpool vs Villarreal?
- Fipster's model gave Liverpool a 43% chance of winning, Villarreal a 28% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 43% confidence — a low-confidence call.