Liverpool vs Manchester City
City cruise past Liverpool with clinical second-half display
Haaland, Doku, and Cherki seal a comfortable 3-0 win at Anfield.
Manchester City delivered a commanding performance at Liverpool, breaking the deadlock after the break with Erling Haaland's strike in the 65th minute. Jérémy Doku and Rayan Cherki added to the tally shortly after, securing a convincing 3-0 victory. The result matched Fipster's prediction of an away win, though the margin was more emphatic than anticipated.
Outcome probability
Liverpool and Manchester City face off in what promises to be a compelling fixture in the regular season. Both teams have shown moments of quality, but recent form and league standings suggest a tight contest with City holding the upper hand.
Match factors
Manchester City's superior recent form and scoring rate
City have won all recent matches with an average of 2.6 goals scored per game, outpacing Liverpool's 1.5 goals average
Liverpool missing key attackers due to injury
Liverpool have 2 confirmed out attackers, reducing their scoring options and impacting offensive threat
Defensive solidity from Liverpool's Jacquet vs City's attacking threats
Jacquet's high duel win rate and tackling could help contain City's forwards if Liverpool's attack struggles
Van Dijk's consistent passing and defensive form
Van Dijk's high passing accuracy and volume support Liverpool's build-up play despite limited attacking options
The context
This match is part of the regular season's sixth round, with Manchester City currently topping the league with a perfect record, while Liverpool sit mid-table. The Citizens have been clinical in front of goal, averaging 3 points per game, double that of Liverpool's 1.5. Historically, their head-to-head meetings have been competitive, with City holding a slight edge in wins and goals scored.
Key insights
- J
J. Jacquet
Liverpool
Jacquet's high duel win rate and tackling prowess make him a key defensive figure to watch against City's forwards.
Premier League 26/2776.5% duel win rate, 2 tackles and 1.5 interceptions per game
- V
V. van Dijk
Liverpool
Van Dijk's exceptional passing accuracy and volume support Liverpool's build-up play despite limited attacking options.
Premier League 26/2789% passing accuracy, averaging 85.75 passes per game
- E
E. Haaland
Manchester City
Haaland remains a consistent goal threat with a high shot volume and conversion rate, pivotal for City's attack.
Premier League 26/27Multiple goals in recent matches, high shot volume and conversion rate
Analysis
Manchester City's dominance in recent matches is clear, boasting an average of 2.6 goals per game compared to Liverpool's 1.5. Liverpool's attack is somewhat hampered by injuries to key forwards, which could limit their goal threat. Defensively, Liverpool's Jacquet and Van Dijk offer resilience, with Jacquet's impressive duel win rate and Van Dijk's passing accuracy helping to stabilise the Reds' backline. However, City's attacking prowess, led by the likes of Haaland, remains a significant challenge.
Key facts
- 1.Manchester City leads the head-to-head with 8 wins to Liverpool's 6 in 20 matches.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.3 goals, with City scoring 38 and Liverpool 28 overall.
- 3.Manchester City tops the league with 12 points from 4 games (W4 D0 L0).
- 4.Liverpool is 10th with 6 points from 4 games (W1 D3 L0).
- 5.Manchester City averages 3.00 points per game, double Liverpool's 1.50.
- 6.Liverpool's Jacquet has a duel win rate of 76.5%, well above the league average.
- 7.Van Dijk boasts an 89% passing accuracy, exceeding the league average for defenders.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Manchester City with a 2-1 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 0-2, reflecting City's early control and goal-scoring ability. The match is also anticipated to be competitive in discipline, with around four cards likely to be shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Liverpool
Away — Manchester City
The verdict
In summary, Manchester City's superior form and scoring efficiency make them favourites to claim victory, though Liverpool's defensive efforts could keep the scoreline respectable. Fans can expect an engaging match with quality moments from both sides.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 14:59 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Araújo
Yellow Card
Gravenberch
Yellow Card
Ndiaye
O'Reilly
Yellow Card
Gravenberch
Red Card
Haaland
O'Reilly
Wirtz
Doku
Assist: Anderson
Koumas
Araújo
Cherki
Assist: Gvardiol
Haaland
Fernández
Bouaddi
Yellow Card
Jacquet
Barcola
van Dijk
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
Match Statistics
Liverpool
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Alisson BeckerG
- 4V. van DijkD
- 5J. JacquetD
- 6M. KerkezD
- 7F. WirtzM
- 10A. Mac AllisterM
- 23Víctor MuñozM
- 29B. BarcolaM
- 33R. AraújoD
- 38R. GravenberchM
- 67L. KoumasF
Substitutes
- 2J. GomezD
- 3W. EndoM
- 14F. ChiesaF
- 21K. TsimikasD
- 25G. MamardashviliG
- 30J. FrimpongD
- 42T. NyoniM
- 53J. McConnellM
- 73R. NgumohaF
Manchester City
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1G. DonnarummaG
- 3Rúben DiasD
- 5E. AndersonM
- 6M. GuéhiD
- 7I. NdiayeM
- 9E. HaalandF
- 10R. CherkiM
- 17E. FernándezM
- 27Matheus NunesD
- 33N. O'ReillyD
- 42A. SemenyoM
Substitutes
- 8M. KovačićM
- 11J. DokuF
- 22Vitor NunesD
- 24J. GvardiolD
- 28G. RulliG
- 32A. BouaddiM
- 37AllanF
- 45A. KhusanovD
- 82R. LewisD
Liverpool
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Ngumoha | F | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | — |
| J. Jacquet | D | 88 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| F. Chiesa | F | 2 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Koumas | F | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| B. Barcola | M | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 3/6 |
| F. Wirtz | M | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Víctor Muñoz | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| J. Gomez | D | 2 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Frimpong | D | 15 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 62 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4/4 |
| M. Kerkez | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Nyoni | M | 24 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Araújo | D | 75 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| V. van Dijk | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alisson Becker | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Endo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Mamardashvili | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. McConnell | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Tsimikas | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Manchester City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Cherki | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3/4 |
| G. Donnarumma | G | 90 | 8.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Doku | F | 34 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3/5 |
| Rúben Dias | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Anderson | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| E. Haaland | F | 80 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Guéhi | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Gvardiol | D | 24 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Semenyo | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| E. Fernández | M | 80 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Matheus Nunes | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bouaddi | M | 10 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| I. Ndiaye | M | 56 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| N. O'Reilly | D | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Allan | F | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Rulli | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Khusanov | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitor Nunes | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kovačić | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Lewis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Liverpool vs Manchester City?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Manchester City to win against Liverpool.
- What score did Fipster predict for Liverpool vs Manchester City?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City.
- What were the win probabilities for Liverpool vs Manchester City?
- Fipster's model gave Liverpool a 14% chance of winning, Manchester City a 72% chance, and a 14% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 72% confidence — a high-confidence call.