Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
Match recap
Liverpool beat Crystal Palace 3–1 in their Premier League fixture. Isak, Robertson, and Wirtz scored for Liverpool; Muñoz replied for Crystal Palace. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.91 for Liverpool versus 2.32 for Crystal Palace. Liverpool sit 5th in the Premier League table while Crystal Palace are 15th.
Analysis
Liverpool host Crystal Palace in what promises to be a tightly contested Premier League fixture. Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, setting the stage for a balanced encounter.
Liverpool currently sit 5th in the league with 55 points, while Crystal Palace are 13th with 42 points. Historically, Liverpool have dominated their head-to-head meetings, winning 13 of 20 matches, but Palace have shown resilience with 3 wins and 4 draws. The average goals per meeting stand at 2.9, indicating moderate scoring.
Liverpool's attack is somewhat hampered by injuries to key players like Mohamed Salah, H. Ekitike, and C. Gakpo, reducing their usual firepower. However, Virgil van Dijk's defensive leadership and Ryan Gravenberch's midfield consistency provide stability. Crystal Palace, missing key scorers Mateta and Wharton, will rely on Ismaïla Sarr's attacking threat. Both teams have shown balanced form, suggesting a close match.
Prediction
Given the balanced strengths and injury setbacks, the most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw. The halftime score is expected to be 0-0, reflecting a cautious start. The match should see around four cards, indicating a competitive but fair contest. Confidence in this prediction stands at 35%.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Liverpool's Attack Weakened by Key Injuries
Salah, Ekitike, and Gakpo are all injured, reducing Liverpool's scoring threat significantly.
Van Dijk's Defensive Leadership Crucial
Van Dijk's high passing accuracy and defensive skills provide Liverpool stability against Palace's attackers.
Gravenberch's Consistent Midfield Performance
Gravenberch's above-average passing and tackling form boosts Liverpool's midfield control.
Salah's Dual Role as Scorer and Creator
Salah leads Liverpool in goals and assists, showing his importance in both scoring and creating chances.
Crystal Palace Missing Key Scorers and Creators
Mateta and Wharton are injured, limiting Palace's offensive options and creativity.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a well-matched game with both sides sharing points. Liverpool's defensive solidity and Palace's resilience should cancel each other out, resulting in a draw that keeps the league race interesting.
- Liverpool have won 13 of 20 head-to-head matches against Crystal Palace.
- Crystal Palace have won 3 and drawn 4 of their 20 meetings with Liverpool.
- The average goals per head-to-head match is 2.9, indicating moderate scoring.
- Liverpool are currently 5th in the league with 55 points from 33 games.
- Crystal Palace sit 13th with 42 points from 31 games.
- Mohamed Salah leads Liverpool with 7 goals and 6 assists this season despite injury setbacks.
- Virgil van Dijk's defensive leadership is crucial for Liverpool's stability.
- Ismaïla Sarr is Crystal Palace's key attacking threat with 7 goals this season.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Liverpool
Away — Crystal Palace
No standout top scorers flagged for Crystal Palace
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Muñoz
Yellow Card
Penalty cancelled
Henderson
Yellow Card
Isak
Assist: Mac Allister
Robertson
Assist: Jones
Mitchell
Johnson
Salah
Mateta
Muñoz
Isak
Robertson
Jones
Sosa
Yellow Card
Wirtz
Assist: Mac Allister
Szoboszlai
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 65 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 44 |
Match Statistics
Liverpool
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4V. van DijkD
- 5I. KonatéD
- 7F. WirtzM
- 8D. SzoboszlaiM
- 9A. IsakF
- 10A. Mac AllisterM
- 11Mohamed SalahM
- 17C. JonesD
- 18C. GakpoM
- 26A. RobertsonD
- 28F. WoodmanG
Substitutes
- 2J. GomezD
- 6M. KerkezD
- 14F. ChiesaF
- 30J. FrimpongD
- 38R. GravenberchM
- 41Á. PécsiG
- 42T. NyoniM
- 73R. NgumohaF
- 79W. WrightF
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1D. HendersonG
- 2D. MuñozM
- 3T. MitchellM
- 5M. LacroixD
- 7I. SarrF
- 11B. JohnsonF
- 14J. MatetaF
- 18D. KamadaM
- 20A. WhartonM
- 23J. CanvotD
- 26C. RichardsD
Substitutes
- 8J. LermaM
- 10Yeremy PinoM
- 17N. ClyneD
- 19W. HughesM
- 22J. Strand LarsenF
- 24B. SosaD
- 34C. RiadD
- 44W. BenítezG
- 55J. DevennyM
Liverpool
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Woodman | G | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andy Robertson | D | 87 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ibrahima Konaté | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Florian Wirtz | M | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Alexis Mac Allister | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Alexander Isak | F | 79 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Virgil van Dijk(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Gakpo | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Curtis Jones | D | 87 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mohamed Salah | M | 59 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rio Ngumoha | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trey Nyoni | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ármin Pécsi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Will Wright | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Chiesa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Gomez | D | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Miloš Kerkez | D | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremie Frimpong | D | 31 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Gravenberch | M | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Crystal Palace
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brennan Johnson | F | 59 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Daichi Kamada | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ismaïla Sarr | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Adam Wharton | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3/3 |
| Daniel Muñoz | M | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Jaydee Canvot | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyrick Mitchell | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Maxence Lacroix | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Dean Henderson(C) | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | F | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Chris Richards | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Chadi Riad | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathaniel Clyne | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Will Hughes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Lerma | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Devenny | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Walter Benitez | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | F | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Borna Sosa | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Yéremy Pino | M | 31 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |