Liverpool vs Chelsea
Match recap
Liverpool and Chelsea drew 1–1 in their Premier League fixture. Gravenberch scored for Liverpool; Fernández replied for Chelsea. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.56 for Liverpool versus 0.50 for Chelsea. Liverpool sit 5th in the Premier League table while Chelsea are 10th.
Analysis
Liverpool host Chelsea in what promises to be a tightly contested Premier League clash. Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, but the home advantage and recent form give Liverpool the edge.
Liverpool currently sit 4th in the league with 58 points, while Chelsea are 9th with 48 points. Historically, Liverpool have a slight upper hand in head-to-head encounters, winning 7 of their last 20 meetings against Chelsea, with 9 draws and 4 losses. The average goals per match between these sides is 2.3, suggesting a moderately scoring affair.
Liverpool's attacking threat is somewhat hampered by injuries to key scorers like Mohamed Salah and H. Ekitike, but players like C. Gakpo and Alexis Mac Allister are stepping up, especially at home where Liverpool have scored in their last five matches. Defensively, Virgil van Dijk's leadership is crucial to contain Chelsea's top scorer João Pedro. Chelsea's defensive vulnerabilities on the road, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per away game, further tilt the balance towards Liverpool.
Prediction
Expect a competitive first half ending 1-1, with Liverpool clinching the win 2-1 by full time. The match is likely to see around four cards, reflecting a spirited but fair contest. Confidence in this outcome is high at 85%, supported by Liverpool's home form and Chelsea's defensive frailties.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Liverpool's Midfield Creativity vs Chelsea's Defensive Gaps
Liverpool's Mac Allister and Szoboszlai offer creative passing against Chelsea's injury-hit defense.
Liverpool Missing Key Scorers
Ekitike and Salah injuries reduce Liverpool's attacking firepower, impacting goal potential.
Liverpool's Strong Home Scoring Streak
Liverpool has scored in last 5 home games, showing attacking momentum at Anfield.
Chelsea's Defensive Vulnerability on Away Matches
Chelsea concedes 1.4 goals away on average, higher than Liverpool's home conceded rate (1.1).
Van Dijk's Defensive Leadership Crucial
Van Dijk's passing and defensive stats provide stability against Chelsea's attackers.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Liverpool's home advantage, combined with Chelsea's injury concerns and defensive lapses, points to a narrow but deserved victory for the Reds. Fans can anticipate an entertaining match with key contributions from Liverpool's creative midfield and defensive stalwarts.
- Liverpool have won 7 of 20 matches against Chelsea, with 9 draws and 4 losses.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.3 total goals, indicating moderate scoring.
- Liverpool rank 4th with 58 points; Chelsea 9th with 48 points this season.
- Liverpool have scored in their last 5 home games, showing strong attacking momentum.
- Chelsea concede an average of 1.4 goals per away game, higher than Liverpool's 1.1 at home.
- Mohamed Salah has 7 goals in 25 games despite injury setbacks.
- Alexis Mac Allister leads Liverpool with 4 assists and is a key creative force.
- Virgil van Dijk boasts 89% passing accuracy and is vital defensively against Chelsea.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Liverpool
Away — Chelsea
No standout top scorers flagged for Chelsea
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gravenberch
Assist: Ngumoha
Fernández
Goal cancelled
Santos
Hato
Yellow Card
Ngumoha
Fernández
Yellow Card
Gakpo
Konaté
Cucurella
Yellow Card
Gomez
Yellow Card
Caicedo
Yellow Card
Mac Allister
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 65 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 9 |  Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 | 53 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 52 |
| 11 |  Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 52 |
Match Statistics
Liverpool
Starting XI
- 4V. van DijkD
- 5I. KonatéD
- 6M. KerkezD
- 8D. SzoboszlaiM
- 10A. Mac AllisterM
- 17C. JonesD
- 18C. GakpoF
- 25G. MamardashviliG
- 30J. FrimpongM
- 38R. GravenberchM
- 73R. NgumohaM
Substitutes
- 2J. GomezD
- 9A. IsakF
- 14F. ChiesaF
- 26A. RobertsonD
- 28F. WoodmanG
- 42T. NyoniM
- 68K. MorrisonM
- 75Talla NdiayeD
- 79W. WrightF
Chelsea
Starting XI
- 3Marc CucurellaM
- 6L. ColwillD
- 8E. FernándezM
- 10C. PalmerM
- 12F. JörgensenG
- 17Andrey SantosM
- 20João PedroF
- 21J. HatoD
- 25M. CaicedoM
- 27M. GustoD
- 29W. FofanaD
Substitutes
- 4T. AdarabioyoD
- 9L. DelapF
- 23T. ChalobahD
- 24R. JamesD
- 34Joshua Kofi AcheampongD
- 44G. SłoninaG
- 45R. LaviaM
- 76R. Kavuma McQueenF
Liverpool
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Gravenberch | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/4 |
| Curtis Jones | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Rio Ngumoha | M | 67 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 4/5 |
| Giorgi Mamardashvili | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Virgil van Dijk(C) | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Ibrahima Konaté | D | 77 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremie Frimpong | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Miloš Kerkez | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Cody Gakpo | F | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Alexis Mac Allister | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Andy Robertson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Freddie Woodman | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran Morrison | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trey Nyoni | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Will Wright | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mor Talla Ndiaye | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Gomez | D | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Isak | F | 23 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Federico Chiesa | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Chelsea
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moisés Caicedo | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| Enzo Fernández(C) | M | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/2 |
| Cole Palmer | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jorrel Hato | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Levi Colwill | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wesley Fofana | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Pedro | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 4/4 |
| Andrey Santos | M | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Filip Jørgensen | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Malo Gusto | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ryan Kavuma-McQueen | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tosin Adarabioyo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trevoh Chalobah | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Słonina | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liam Delap | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roméo Lavia | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Acheampong | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reece James | D | 27 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |