Liverpool vs Brentford
Match recap
Liverpool and Brentford drew 1–1 in their Premier League fixture. Jones scored for Liverpool; Schade replied for Brentford. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.90 for Liverpool versus 1.22 for Brentford. Liverpool sit 5th in the Premier League table while Brentford are 9th.
Analysis
As the Premier League season nears its climax, Liverpool welcome Brentford to Anfield for what promises to be a thrilling encounter. The Reds, buoyed by strong home form and key players in fine fettle, look set to claim a narrow victory.
Liverpool currently sit 5th in the league, boasting a superior goal difference and a history of dominance over Brentford, having won six of their nine previous meetings. Brentford, placed 9th, will rely heavily on their top scorer Igor Thiago to challenge the hosts.
Liverpool's attacking threat is spearheaded by Mohamed Salah, who has netted 7 goals this season and shown excellent away form recently. Dominik Szoboszlai's creative prowess, with 7 assists and strong passing accuracy, adds a vital dimension. Van Dijk's aerial threat on set pieces could exploit Brentford's defensive vulnerabilities. Despite the absence of injured top striker H. Ekitike, Liverpool's consistent scoring streak at home and tactical advantages suggest they will edge this contest.
Prediction
We predict a 2-1 victory for Liverpool, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The match is expected to be competitive, with a total of four cards likely to be shown. Confidence in this outcome stands at 51%, reflecting Liverpool's slight but clear edge.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Liverpool's top striker injured
H. Ekitike, Liverpool's top scorer with 11 goals, is injured, reducing their attacking options.
Dominik Szoboszlai's creative dominance
Szoboszlai leads Liverpool in assists with 7, showing strong recent form and key playmaking role.
Van Dijk's aerial threat vs Brentford defense
Van Dijk's 6 goals and set-piece threat could exploit Brentford's defensive vulnerabilities.
Liverpool's consistent scoring streak at home
Liverpool has scored in last 5 home games, indicating strong attacking momentum.
Igor Thiago's scoring threat for Brentford
Brentford's top scorer Thiago poses a significant threat, requiring Liverpool's defense to focus on him.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Liverpool's blend of home advantage, key player form, and historical dominance over Brentford points to a hard-fought but deserved win. Brentford will provide resistance, but the Reds should hold firm to secure all three points.
- Liverpool have won 6 of 9 head-to-head matches against Brentford.
- Head-to-head matches average 3.4 total goals, indicating open play.
- Liverpool rank 5th with a 10-goal better difference than Brentford.
- Brentford sit 9th with 52 points from 37 games.
- Liverpool have scored in their last 5 home games, showing strong attacking momentum.
- Dominik Szoboszlai leads Liverpool with 7 assists this season.
- Mohamed Salah has scored 7 goals in 26 appearances, including recent away goals.
- Van Dijk has scored 6 goals this season, a high tally for a defender.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Liverpool
Away — Brentford
No standout top scorers flagged for Brentford
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Henderson
Yellow Card
Jones
Assist: Salah
Henderson
Schade
Ngumoha
Salah
Konaté
Yellow Card
Jensen
Robertson
Gravenberch
Konaté
Lewis-Potter
Mac Allister
Yellow Card
Janelt
Yellow Card
Collins
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 65 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 8 |  Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 | 53 |
| 9 |  Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 | 53 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 52 |
Match Statistics
Liverpool
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Alisson BeckerG
- 4V. van DijkD
- 5I. KonatéD
- 8D. SzoboszlaiM
- 10A. Mac AllisterM
- 11Mohamed SalahM
- 17C. JonesD
- 18C. GakpoF
- 26A. RobertsonD
- 38R. GravenberchM
- 73R. NgumohaM
Substitutes
- 2J. GomezD
- 3W. EndoM
- 6M. KerkezD
- 7F. WirtzM
- 9A. IsakF
- 14F. ChiesaF
- 25G. MamardashviliG
- 30J. FrimpongD
- 42T. NyoniM
Brentford
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1C. KelleherG
- 4S. van den BergD
- 6J. HendersonM
- 7K. SchadeM
- 8M. JensenM
- 9ThiagoF
- 19D. OuattaraM
- 22N. CollinsD
- 23K. Lewis-PotterD
- 27V. JaneltM
- 33M. KayodeD
Substitutes
- 2A. HickeyD
- 5E. PinnockD
- 10J. DasilvaM
- 11R. NelsonF
- 12H. ValdimarssonG
- 20K. AjerD
- 24M. DamsgaardM
- 45R. DonovanM
- 47Kaye Iyowuna FuroF
Liverpool
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Salah | M | 74 | 8.2 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3/6 |
| Curtis Jones | D | 101 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Virgil van Dijk(C) | D | 101 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | M | 101 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1/2 |
| Ibrahima Konaté | D | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alisson | G | 101 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rio Ngumoha | M | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Andy Robertson | D | 83 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Ryan Gravenberch | M | 83 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Alexis Mac Allister | M | 101 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Cody Gakpo | F | 101 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Alexander Isak | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wataru Endo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgi Mamardashvili | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Chiesa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Gomez | D | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trey Nyoni | M | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremie Frimpong | D | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Miloš Kerkez | D | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Florian Wirtz | M | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
Brentford
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caoimhin Kelleher | G | 101 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Collins(C) | D | 101 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Keane Lewis-Potter | D | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Vitaly Janelt | M | 101 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Michael Kayode | D | 101 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/6 |
| Mathias Jensen | M | 83 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Kevin Schade | M | 101 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/5 |
| Jordan Henderson | M | 60 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sepp van den Berg | D | 101 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Thiago | F | 101 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Dango Ouattara | M | 101 | 5.9 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kaye Furo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Pinnock | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Romelle Donovan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Dasilva | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristoffer Ajer | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikkel Damsgaard | M | 18 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Aaron Hickey | D | 41 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reiss Nelson | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |