Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid
Liverpool edge Atletico in tight tussle
A second-half fightback secures a narrow win for the Reds.
Atletico Madrid struck first through Marcos Llorente's early goal, but Liverpool responded before the break with D. Szoboszlai's equaliser. After the interval, A. Mac Allister's strike sealed a 2-1 victory for the home side. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Liverpool win proved accurate, though the match was closer than expected.
Outcome probability
Liverpool and Atletico Madrid face off in a group stage match that promises to be a tight affair. Both sides have shown competitive form recently, setting the stage for a closely fought encounter.
Match factors
No key player absences for either team
Both Liverpool and Atletico Madrid have no confirmed injuries, ensuring full squad availability.
Limited player-level data restricts individual impact predictions
Absence of top scorers and assisters data for both teams limits ability to identify key goal contributors.
Uncertain form due to lack of recent match data
No recent fixtures or form data available for Liverpool or Atletico Madrid to assess momentum.
Home advantage may favor Liverpool in tight match
Predicted 2-1 home win with low confidence suggests Liverpool's home conditions could be decisive.
The context
This group stage fixture sees Liverpool, known as The Reds, take on Atletico Madrid, also called Atleti or Los Colchoneros. Historically, Liverpool have had the upper hand in their head-to-head meetings, winning four out of five encounters. The average goals per match between these sides is 2.8, indicating moderate scoring games.
Key facts
- 1.Liverpool have won 4 of 5 head-to-head meetings against Atletico Madrid.
- 2.Average goals per head-to-head match is 2.8, indicating moderate scoring.
- 3.Liverpool's recent domestic form includes a draw; Atletico Madrid have a win and a draw.
- 4.No confirmed injuries for either team, ensuring full squad availability.
- 5.Predicted halftime score is 1-1, with a final score of 2-1 to Liverpool.
- 6.Expected total cards in the match is around 4.
Analysis
Liverpool's recent domestic form includes a draw, while Atletico Madrid have recorded a win and a draw, suggesting a balanced contest. Both teams have full squads available with no key injuries, which should make for an evenly matched game. The prediction leans towards a narrow home win for Liverpool, with a halftime score expected to be 1-1 before The Reds edge it 2-1 by fulltime. The low confidence in this forecast reflects the close probabilities between a home win and a draw, as well as limited recent data.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Liverpool
Away — Atletico Madrid
Prediction
Expect a competitive match with both teams finding the net early, resulting in a 1-1 scoreline at halftime. Liverpool are then predicted to clinch the win with a late goal, finishing 2-1. The match is likely to see around four cards, reflecting a spirited but fair contest.
The verdict
While the prediction favours Liverpool, the narrow margin and balanced form suggest this could easily swing either way. Fans should brace for a tight game with moments of quality from both sides before The Reds just about come out on top.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Llorente
Assist: Álvarez
Mac Allister
Yellow Card
Szoboszlai
Assist: Araújo
Mac Allister
Assist: Isak
Pubill
Yellow Card
Lee Kang-In
Koke
Ngumoha
Barcola
Mac Allister
Álex Baena
Romero
Barrios
Kerkez
Isak
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Manchester City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Liverpool
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Alisson BeckerG
- 4V. van DijkD
- 5J. JacquetD
- 6M. KerkezD
- 7F. WirtzM
- 8D. SzoboszlaiM
- 9A. IsakF
- 10A. Mac AllisterM
- 29B. BarcolaM
- 33R. AraújoD
- 73R. NgumohaM
Substitutes
- 21K. TsimikasD
- 23Víctor MuñozF
- 25G. MamardashviliG
- 28F. WoodmanG
- 30J. FrimpongD
- 38R. GravenberchM
- 42T. NyoniM
- 44L. ChambersD
- 53J. McConnellM
- 67L. KoumasF
- 76J. DannsF
Atletico Madrid
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 6KokeM
- 7Lee Kang-InM
- 8Pablo BarriosM
- 10Álex BaenaM
- 13J. OblakG
- 14Marcos LlorenteM
- 17D. HanckoD
- 18Marc PubillD
- 19J. ÁlvarezF
- 20G. SimeoneM
- 21C. RomeroD
Substitutes
- 1J. MussoG
- 3O. VargasM
- 4Rodrigo MendozaM
- 5J. CardosoM
- 11A. LookmanF
- 15J. DavidF
- 22Álex GrimaldoD
- 23M. HjulmandM
- 24Robin Le NormandD
- 27J. DominguezD
- 30Dani MartÃnezD
- 46J. CastilloM
Liverpool
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Szoboszlai | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4/6 |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 69 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Víctor Muñoz | F | 30 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| A. Isak | F | 88 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| F. Wirtz | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Alisson Becker | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kerkez | D | 88 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| V. van Dijk | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Araújo | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Jacquet | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Koumas | F | 2 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Tsimikas | D | 2 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Ngumoha | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2/5 |
| J. Frimpong | D | 30 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 21 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Barcola | M | 60 | 5.6 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| T. Nyoni | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Mamardashvili | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Woodman | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Danns | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. McConnell | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Chambers | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Álvarez | F | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Marcos Llorente | M | 90 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| C. Romero | D | 77 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Barrios | M | 77 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3/5 |
| Álex Grimaldo | D | 31 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Álex Baena | M | 73 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Koke | M | 59 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. David | F | 17 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lee Kang-In | M | 59 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Lookman | F | 31 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Simeone | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| D. Hancko | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 13 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Oblak | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Pubill | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| O. Vargas | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani MartÃnez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Castillo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cardoso | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Musso | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Dominguez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Liverpool to win against Atletico Madrid.
- What score did Fipster predict for Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Liverpool 2–1 Atletico Madrid.
- What were the win probabilities for Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid?
- Fipster's model gave Liverpool a 35% chance of winning, Atletico Madrid a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.