Liverpool vs Arsenal
Havertz's strike sinks Liverpool
A solitary goal from Kai Havertz handed Arsenal a narrow victory at Anfield.
Arsenal edged out Liverpool 1-0 thanks to an early goal from Kai Havertz in the 16th minute. Despite Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a 1-1 draw, the Gunners held firm to claim all three points in a tight contest. The result defied expectations and left Liverpool searching for answers.
Outcome probability
Liverpool and Arsenal, two of the league's top contenders, face off in what promises to be a closely fought match. Both teams have shown strong performances this season, making this clash a compelling watch for fans.
Match factors
Isak's prolific scoring form
Alexander Isak leads Liverpool with 6 goals in 7 games, well above league average for attackers.
Rice's creative influence for Arsenal
Declan Rice tops Arsenal's assists with 4 in 8 games, key to their attacking play.
Liverpool's attacking midfield creativity
Cody Gakpo's 3 assists and strong link with Isak provide Liverpool a creative edge.
Arsenal's defensive solidity with Magalhães
Gabriel Magalhães combines defensive strength and occasional goal threat, stabilizing Arsenal's backline.
Arsenal's strong recent form
Arsenal has won 7 of 8 games with a high scoring rate and solid defense, indicating strong momentum.
The context
Arsenal currently sit second in the league with 21 points from 8 games, boasting a superior goal difference of +8. Liverpool are not far behind in fourth place with 15 points and a +3 goal difference. Historically, their head-to-head record is fairly balanced, with Liverpool winning 8 of their 20 meetings, Arsenal 3, and 9 matches ending in draws.
Key insights
Alexander Isak
Liverpool
Leads Liverpool with 6 goals in 7 games, showing clinical finishing and consistent form.
Premier League 26/276 goals in 7 appearances, 0.86 goals/game
Declan Rice
Arsenal
Top assister for Arsenal with 4 assists in 8 games, key to their attacking creativity.
Premier League 26/274 assists in 8 appearances, 0.5 assists/game
Cody Gakpo
Liverpool
Creative hub for Liverpool with 3 assists, strong link-up play with Isak.
Premier League 26/273 assists in 6 appearances, 0.5 assists/game
- G
Gabriel Magalhães
Arsenal
Defensive stalwart with 11 tackles and 9 interceptions, also a goal threat on set pieces.
Premier League 26/2711 tackles, 9 interceptions, 1 goal
Analysis
Liverpool's attacking threat is spearheaded by Alexander Isak, who has netted 6 goals in 7 appearances, demonstrating excellent form and consistency. His partnership with midfielder Cody Gakpo, who leads Liverpool with 3 assists, provides a creative edge. Arsenal counter with the industrious Bukayo Saka and the playmaking prowess of Declan Rice, who tops Arsenal's assists chart with 4. Defensively, Arsenal rely on Gabriel Magalhães, whose tackling and interceptions help stabilize their backline. Both sides have shown resilience and tactical discipline, suggesting a tight contest.
Key facts
- 1.Liverpool have won 8 of 20 matches against Arsenal, with 9 draws and 3 Arsenal wins.
- 2.Arsenal are currently 2nd in the league with 21 points from 8 games (W7 D0 L1).
- 3.Liverpool sit 4th with 15 points from 8 games (W4 D3 L1).
- 4.Arsenal have a +8 goal difference compared to Liverpool's +3 this season.
- 5.Alexander Isak leads Liverpool with 6 goals in 7 appearances.
- 6.Declan Rice tops Arsenal's assists with 4 in 8 games.
- 7.Cody Gakpo has provided 3 assists for Liverpool this season.
- 8.Gabriel Magalhães contributes defensively with 11 tackles and 9 interceptions.
Prediction
Given the balanced strengths and recent form of both teams, a 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome. The match is expected to be competitive with goals from key players like Isak for Liverpool and Saka for Arsenal. The predicted total of four cards indicates a game with some robust challenges but nothing out of the ordinary.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Liverpool
Away — Arsenal
The verdict
This fixture between Liverpool and Arsenal is set to be a classic encounter, with both sides evenly matched in quality and form. Fans can expect a competitive game with moments of attacking flair and solid defensive work, culminating in a shared point for both teams.
Prediction generated 27 Oct 2026, 14:29 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Havertz
Assist: Rice
Barcola
Yellow Card
Madueke
Yellow Card
Nyoni
Guimarães
Gakpo
Kerkez
Yellow Card
Lewis-Skelly
Yellow Card
Mac Allister
Yellow Card
Timber
Yellow Card
Kerkez
Wirtz
Araújo
Tzolis
Havertz
Ødegaard
Raya
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
Match Statistics
Liverpool
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Alisson BeckerG
- 4V. van DijkD
- 5J. JacquetD
- 6M. KerkezD
- 7F. WirtzM
- 9A. IsakF
- 10A. Mac AllisterM
- 18C. GakpoM
- 29B. BarcolaM
- 33R. AraújoD
- 42T. NyoniM
Substitutes
- 2J. GomezD
- 3W. EndoM
- 8D. SzoboszlaiM
- 21K. TsimikasD
- 23Víctor MuñozF
- 25G. MamardashviliG
- 38R. GravenberchM
- 67L. KoumasF
- 73R. NgumohaF
Arsenal
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1David RayaG
- 6Gabriel MagalhãesD
- 8M. ØdegaardM
- 12J. TimberD
- 15E. KonsaD
- 17C. TzolisM
- 20N. MaduekeM
- 29K. HavertzF
- 33R. CalafioriD
- 39Bruno GuimarãesM
- 41D. RiceM
Substitutes
- 3Cristhian MosqueraD
- 4B. WhiteD
- 5P. HincapiéD
- 10E. EzeM
- 13KepaG
- 14V. GyökeresF
- 23Mikel MerinoM
- 36Martín ZubimendiM
- 49M. Lewis-SkellyD
Liverpool
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Nyoni | M | 59 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| V. van Dijk | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| M. Kerkez | D | 81 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Alisson Becker | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Araújo | D | 81 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Jacquet | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| D. Szoboszlai | M | 31 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Ngumoha | F | 23 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Víctor Muñoz | F | 9 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| L. Koumas | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Gakpo | M | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| F. Wirtz | M | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/2 |
| A. Isak | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| K. Tsimikas | D | 9 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Barcola | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/7 |
| W. Endo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Gomez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Mamardashvili | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Arsenal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Konsa | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Havertz | F | 84 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| D. Rice | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| P. Hincapié | D | 6 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Guimarães | M | 62 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| J. Timber | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Mikel Merino | M | 2 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Lewis-Skelly | D | 28 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. Madueke | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| M. Ødegaard | M | 88 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| V. Gyökeres | F | 6 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Tzolis | M | 84 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/3 |
| R. Calafiori | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Raya | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martín Zubimendi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Eze | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristhian Mosquera | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. White | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kepa | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Liverpool vs Arsenal?
- Fipster's AI model predicted a draw between Liverpool and Arsenal.
- What score did Fipster predict for Liverpool vs Arsenal?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Liverpool 1–1 Arsenal.
- What were the win probabilities for Liverpool vs Arsenal?
- Fipster's model gave Liverpool a 33% chance of winning, Arsenal a 32% chance, and a 35% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.