Lincoln vs Swansea
Swansea overturn Lincoln with swift response
Two quick goals after the break sealed Swansea's comeback victory.
Lincoln took the lead through R. Hackett's penalty just before half-time, but Swansea struck back immediately after the break with goals from M. Yeo and S. Eustáquio to secure a 2-1 win. The swift turnaround in the second half proved decisive in this Championship clash. Fipster's medium-confidence prediction for an away win was spot on, correctly calling the 2-1 scoreline.
Outcome probability
Lincoln and Swansea face off in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Swansea's strong league position and goal difference suggest they have the edge, but Lincoln's recent away scoring form means they won't be pushovers.
Match factors
Swansea's attacking depth with Idah and Eom
Adam Idah leads Swansea's scoring with 3 goals; Eom Ji-Sung adds creativity and assists, providing multiple attacking threats
Lincoln's Draper in strong recent scoring form
Frederick Draper has scored 2 goals in last 5 games, showing good away scoring ability to challenge Swansea's defense
Lincoln missing key defender and assist provider Darikwa
Tendayi Darikwa is confirmed out with knee injury, weakening Lincoln's defense and reducing assist options
Lincoln's positive scoring streak away from home
Lincoln has scored in their last 4 away games, showing offensive momentum despite overall team struggles
Benjamin House's dual threat in attack and defense
House combines goal scoring with above-average tackling and duel win rates, making him a key midfield presence
The context
Currently, Swansea sit 2nd in the league with 14 points from 7 games, while Lincoln are 16th with 8 points from 6 games. Swansea's +7 goal difference contrasts with Lincoln's -1, highlighting the visitors' stronger offensive and defensive record so far this season.
Key insights
Adam Idah
Swansea
Leads Swansea's scoring with 3 goals, providing a key attacking threat.
Championship 26/273 goals in 7 games, 52.1 avg mins, 0.43 goals/game
Frederick Draper
Lincoln
In strong recent scoring form with 2 goals in last 5 games, important for Lincoln's attack.
Championship 26/272 goals in last 5 games, 6 appearances, 63.3 avg mins
- T
Tendayi Darikwa
Lincoln
Confirmed out with a knee injury, weakening Lincoln's defence and assist options.
Eom Ji-Sung
Swansea
Top assister for Swansea with 2 assists, adding creativity and set-piece threat.
Championship 26/272 assists in 6 games, 49 avg mins
Analysis
Swansea's attacking depth is notable, with Adam Idah leading their scoring charts with 3 goals and Eom Ji-Sung providing creativity and assists. Lincoln will rely on Frederick Draper, who has netted twice in his last five games and is a key threat away from home. However, Lincoln's defence is weakened by the confirmed absence of Tendayi Darikwa due to a knee injury, which could be a decisive factor.
Key facts
- 1.Swansea are 2nd in the league with 14 points from 7 games (W4 D2 L1).
- 2.Lincoln are 16th with 8 points from 6 games (W2 D2 L2).
- 3.Swansea have a +7 goal difference compared to Lincoln's -1.
- 4.Swansea average 2.00 points per game, Lincoln 1.33.
- 5.Frederick Draper has scored 2 goals in his last 5 games for Lincoln.
- 6.Adam Idah is Swansea's top scorer with 3 goals this season.
- 7.Lincoln's Tendayi Darikwa is out with a knee injury, weakening their defence.
- 8.Swansea's Eom Ji-Sung leads their assists with 2 this season.
Prediction
The prediction favours Swansea to win 2-1, with a halftime score of 0-1. Swansea's consistent form and goal-scoring ability give them the advantage, though Lincoln's resilience and scoring streak away from home suggest a close contest. Expect a total of four cards in a match that will be competitive but fair.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Lincoln
Away — Swansea
The verdict
In summary, Swansea's superior league standing and attacking options should see them through, but Lincoln's fighting spirit and key players like Draper will ensure Swansea must earn their victory. A 2-1 away win looks the most likely outcome in this intriguing fixture.
Prediction generated 15 Sep 2026, 20:41 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
House
Yellow Card
Towler
Yellow Card
Hackett
Penalty
Yeo
Assist: Widell
Eustáquio
Assist: Lissah
Yeo
Just
Idah
McGrandles
House
Reach
Eustáquio
Towler
Welsh
Yellow Card
Lissah
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 15 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 10 |
Match Statistics
Lincoln
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1G. WickensG
- 3A. ReachM
- 4A. CoubișM
- 6R. TowlerD
- 7R. HackettM
- 8T. BaylissM
- 14C. McGrandlesM
- 15S. BradleyD
- 18B. HouseM
- 25D. ElereweD
- 34F. DraperF
Substitutes
- 11M. LadefogedF
- 16D. JefferiesM
- 17R. StreetF
- 24I. VarfolomeevM
- 26Y. KonakM
- 27C. OgbeneF
- 29E. WheatleyF
- 33D. OyegokeD
- 46J. GauciG
Swansea
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5B. CabangoD
- 6M. StamenićM
- 7M. WidellF
- 8E. JustM
- 14J. TymonD
- 22L. VigourouxG
- 23S. WelshD
- 26F. LissahD
- 33A. IdahF
- 46S. EustáquioM
- 49M. YeoF
Substitutes
- 1A. FisherG
- 3J. SeeltD
- 4J. FultonM
- 9Z. VipotnikF
- 16Tom IorpendaM
- 17Gonçalo FrancoM
- 20Tiago ParenteD
- 30Joseph OkopuF
- 35RonaldF
Lincoln
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hackett | M | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1/2 |
| C. Ogbene | F | 26 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Ladefoged | F | 26 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| F. Draper | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Coubiș | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| T. Bayliss | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| R. Street | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Elerewe | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| C. McGrandles | M | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Reach | M | 64 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Y. Konak | M | 26 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Bradley | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| G. Wickens | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| B. House | M | 64 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| R. Towler | D | 77 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Varfolomeev | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Wheatley | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Jefferies | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Oyegoke | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Gauci | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swansea
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Eustáquio | M | 77 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| M. Yeo | F | 60 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| L. Vigouroux | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Widell | F | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| B. Cabango | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Stamenić | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ronald | F | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Joseph Okopu | F | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Z. Vipotnik | F | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| E. Just | M | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/4 |
| S. Welsh | D | 82 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Seelt | D | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Franco | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Idah | F | 60 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Lissah | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Tymon | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Parente | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Iorpenda | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Fisher | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Fulton | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Lincoln vs Swansea?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Swansea to win against Lincoln.
- What score did Fipster predict for Lincoln vs Swansea?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Lincoln 1–2 Swansea.
- What were the win probabilities for Lincoln vs Swansea?
- Fipster's model gave Lincoln a 17% chance of winning, Swansea a 65% chance, and a 18% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 65% confidence — a medium-confidence call.