Lincoln vs Portsmouth
Portsmouth cruise past Lincoln with early blitz
A commanding display from Portsmouth saw them secure a 3-1 victory at Lincoln.
Portsmouth set the tone early with R. Kavuma McQueen and A. Segecic scoring within the first 16 minutes, putting Lincoln on the back foot. Although R. Hackett pulled one back from the penalty spot before half-time, E. Adams sealed the win with a second-half goal to ensure Portsmouth's comfortable 3-1 triumph. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the margin was a bit wider than expected.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with an intriguing clash between Lincoln and Portsmouth. Both sides are eager to set the tone early, with Portsmouth looking to make a statement after their summer business and Lincoln aiming to prove their mettle in this fresh campaign.
Key facts
- 1.Portsmouth have a points-per-game advantage over Lincoln from last season, with 1.20 PPG compared to Lincoln's 0.00 PPG.
- 2.Lincoln have a significantly better goal difference than Portsmouth this season, by 15 goals.
- 3.The most probable full-time scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Portsmouth.
- 4.The halftime scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 to Lincoln, indicating an early lead for the home side.
- 5.Portsmouth have made a notable signing with D. Bielica joining the squad.
- 6.Lincoln have added C. Elder on a free transfer ahead of the new season.
- 7.The match is expected to see around three cards issued, suggesting a moderately physical game.
The context
This fixture marks the first competitive outing for both teams this season, with Lincoln newly promoted and Portsmouth remaining in the same division as last year. Portsmouth have strengthened their squad with the arrival of D. Bielica, while losing A. Dozzell and J. Williams, which could influence their dynamics. Lincoln have added C. Elder on a free transfer, hoping to bolster their ranks for the challenges ahead.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Lincoln
Away — Portsmouth
Analysis
The prediction suggests Lincoln will start brightly, taking a 1-0 lead into halftime. However, Portsmouth's experience and squad depth are expected to shine in the second half, enabling them to stage a comeback and clinch a 2-1 victory. The aggregate probabilities favour an away win, with the 2-1 scoreline being the most likely outcome. The match is expected to feature a moderate level of discipline, with around three cards predicted.
Prediction
Expect a tightly contested encounter where Lincoln's early advantage is overturned by Portsmouth's second-half surge. The final scoreline of 2-1 in favour of Portsmouth reflects their ability to adapt and respond under pressure, making them the predicted winners in this season opener.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, this match promises a competitive start with Portsmouth edging out Lincoln by the narrowest of margins. Fans can look forward to a spirited contest that sets the tone for what should be an engaging campaign ahead.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kavuma McQueen
Assist: Kamara
Segecic
Hackett
Penalty
Draper
Yellow Card
Darikwa
Shein
Yellow Card
Shein
Kavuma McQueen
Jefferies
Varfolomeev
Bayliss
Yellow Card
Adams
Hamer
Yellow Card
House
Draper
Murphy
Kamara
Pack
Match Statistics
Lincoln
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1G. WickensG
- 2T. DarikwaD
- 3A. ReachD
- 7R. HackettM
- 14C. McGrandlesM
- 16D. JefferiesM
- 18B. HouseM
- 22T. HamerD
- 24I. VarfolomeevM
- 25D. ElereweD
- 34F. DraperF
Substitutes
- 4A. CoubișD
- 6R. TowlerD
- 8T. BaylissM
- 10M. MeliaF
- 17R. StreetF
- 19I. OlaofeF
- 20C. ElderD
- 26Y. KonakM
- 46J. GauciG
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1N. SchmidG
- 2Benjamin ArthurD
- 6C. ShaughnessyD
- 7M. PackM
- 9C. BishopF
- 10A. SegecicM
- 11A. KamaraM
- 19R. SheinM
- 22Z. SwansonD
- 24T. DevlinD
- 25R. Kavuma McQueenM
Substitutes
- 4J. KnightD
- 8J. SwiftM
- 23J. MurphyM
- 27O. BaileyM
- 28L. Brooke-SmithF
- 29M. MilovanovićF
- 31D. BielicaG
- 38E. AdamsM
- 55M. DiaD
Lincoln
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reeco Hackett-Fairchild | M | 69 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | — |
| George Wickens | G | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben House | M | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Tendayi Darikwa(C) | D | 55 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dom Jefferies | M | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Conor McGrandles | M | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Tom Hamer | D | 69 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Varfolomeev | M | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Adam Reach | D | 69 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Freddie Draper | F | 69 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Deji Elerewe | D | 69 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yunus Konak | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Gauci | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callum Elder | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Bayliss | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanto Olaofe | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryley Towler | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Street | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mason Melia | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrei Coubiș | D | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Portsmouth
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Segečić | M | 69 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Ryan Kavuma-McQueen | M | 58 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Abu Kamara | M | 69 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Nicolas Schmid | G | 69 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Arthur | D | 69 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conor Shaughnessy | D | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Terry Devlin | D | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Marlon Pack(C) | M | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rocco Robert Shein | M | 58 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Zak Swanson | D | 69 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Colby Bishop | F | 69 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| John Swift | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Knight | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Bielica | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Odin Bailey | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marko Milovanović | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Madiodio Dia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke Brooke-Smith | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ebou Adams | M | 11 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Josh Murphy | M | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |






