Lille vs Le Havre
Your time to shine.
Fancy your chances? Challenge a mate on this game.
Challenge a friendLille and Le Havre face off in the sixth round of the Ligue 1 regular season, with Lille currently sitting comfortably in the upper echelons of the table, while Le Havre struggle near the bottom. This match promises a clear test of Lille's attacking prowess against Le Havre's defensive resilience.
The context
Lille have enjoyed a strong start to the season, ranking 4th with 10 points from 4 games, boasting a positive goal difference of +5. In contrast, Le Havre find themselves 17th with just 2 points from 5 games and a goal difference of -3. Historically, Lille have dominated this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 meetings between the sides.
Match factors
Lille's Defensive Solidity and Scoring Streak
Lille has scored in all last 5 games and kept 3 clean sheets in 5, showing strong form
Tiago Santos' Dual Threat as Defender and Scorer
Santos' recent 2 goals and high duel win rate give Lille an edge in defense and attack
Mbwana Samatta Leading Le Havre's Attack
Samatta scored 2 goals in last 5 games, including 2 away goals, key for Le Havre's offense
Lille Missing Key Defender and Attacker
Absence of T. Nianzou (defender) and H. Igamane (attacker) weakens Lille's lineup depth
Analysis
Lille's recent form and historical head-to-head advantage suggest they will control the game. Their defence, bolstered by Tiago Santos who has scored twice recently and maintains a high duel win rate, provides a solid foundation. Le Havre's main threat comes from Mbwana Samatta, their top scorer with 2 goals this season, but the visitors' overall struggles and Lille's attacking depth make a heavy home win likely. Despite Lille missing key players like T. Nianzou and H. Igamane, their squad depth should compensate.
Key insights
- T
Tiago Santos
Lille
Santos' recent 2 goals and strong defensive stats give Lille an edge both in defence and attack.
Ligue 1 26/27High defensive rating (7.9, 7.7), 2 goals recently, 65.6% duel win rate
Mbwana Samatta
Le Havre
Samatta leads Le Havre's attack with 2 goals in 5 games, including strong away form.
Ligue 1 26/272 goals in last 5 games, 4 appearances, 338 minutes
Prediction
The forecast is a convincing 4-1 victory for Lille. The home side is expected to take an early lead and maintain dominance throughout, with Le Havre managing a consolation goal. The match should feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Lille have won 5 of the last 7 meetings against Le Havre.
- 2.Lille are 4th in Ligue 1 with 10 points from 4 games.
- 3.Le Havre sit 17th with 2 points from 5 games.
- 4.Lille's goal difference (+5) is significantly better than Le Havre's (-3).
- 5.Tiago Santos has scored 2 goals recently and boasts a 65.6% duel win rate.
- 6.Mbwana Samatta is Le Havre's top scorer with 2 goals this season.
- 7.Lille have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 games.
The verdict
In summary, Lille's superior form, goal difference, and historical record against Le Havre point towards a comfortable home win. While the prediction is made with some caution due to limited recent matchups, the signs strongly favour Lille to deliver a commanding performance.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Lille
No standout top scorers flagged for Lille
Away — Le Havre
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 17:12 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win Lille vs Le Havre?
- Fipster's AI model predicts Lille to win against Le Havre.
- What is the predicted score for Lille vs Le Havre?
- Fipster predicts a final score of Lille 4–1 Le Havre.
- What are the win probabilities for Lille vs Le Havre?
- Fipster's model gives Lille a 35% chance of winning, Le Havre a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.