Lille vs Auxerre
Match recap
Auxerre beat Lille 2–0 in their Ligue 1 fixture. Sinayoko and Sinayoko scored for Auxerre. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.84 for Lille versus 0.42 for Auxerre. Lille sit 3rd in the Ligue 1 table while Auxerre are 15th.
Analysis
As the Ligue 1 season nears its climax, Lille host Auxerre in what promises to be a closely fought encounter. With Lille's solid home record and Auxerre's defensive woes on the road, this match could hinge on a single moment of quality.
Lille currently sit comfortably in 3rd place with 61 points, while Auxerre languish in 15th with 31 points. Historically, Lille have dominated this fixture, winning more than half of their meetings without a single loss to Auxerre. The home side's recent form and league standing suggest they hold the upper hand.
Lille's midfield duo, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson and Félix Correia, have been instrumental this season, combining goal-scoring prowess with creative flair. Defensively, Lille remain robust at home, conceding less than one goal per game on average. Auxerre's away form is less convincing, with a tendency to concede frequently, making Lille favourites to edge this one.
Prediction
Expect Lille to take an early lead and hold on for a 1-0 victory. The predicted halftime score is also 1-0, reflecting Lille's ability to control the game from the outset. Discipline should be tight but competitive, with an estimated four cards in total.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Midfield dominance by Haraldsson and Correia
Lille's midfielders have superior recent goal and assist form, likely to control game tempo and create chances
Lille's strong home scoring and defensive record
Lille averages 1.5 goals and concedes less than 1 at home, supporting predicted 1-0 win
Auxerre's defensive struggles away
Auxerre concedes 1.69 goals away with a 5-game conceding streak, vulnerable to Lille's attack
No significant injuries for Lille
Lille has no injuries, maintaining full strength and stability for this match
Perraud's attacking support from defense
Perraud's high assist rate and key passes provide Lille with additional attacking width and creativity
Key Takeaways
In summary, Lille's superior form, home advantage, and key player contributions make them the likely winners in this encounter. Auxerre will need to tighten up defensively to avoid a narrow defeat. Fans can anticipate a tense but tactically rich match.
- Lille have won 6 of 11 matches against Auxerre, with 5 draws and no losses.
- Head-to-head matches average 3.0 goals, with Lille scoring twice as many as Auxerre.
- Lille rank 3rd in Ligue 1 with 61 points; Auxerre are 15th with 31 points.
- Lille average 1.5 goals scored and less than 1 conceded at home this season.
- Auxerre have conceded 1.69 goals per away game, with a recent 5-game conceding streak.
- Hakon Arnar Haraldsson has scored 7 goals in his last 10 matches with an 8.0 average rating.
- Romain Perraud leads Lille's assists with 5 in the last 10 matches, providing attacking width.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Lille
Away — Auxerre
No standout top scorers flagged for Auxerre
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal cancelled
Sinayoko
Haraldsson
Yellow Card
Ngoy
Yellow Card
Bentaleb
Perraud
Mukau
André
Yellow Card
Félix Correia
Namaso
Yellow Card
Namaso
Léon
Yellow Card
Mara
Haraldsson
Sinayoko
Assist: Mensah
Match Statistics
Lille
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Berke ÖzerG
- 3Nathan NgoyD
- 6Nabil BentalebM
- 7Matias Fernandez-PardoF
- 10Hákon Arnar HaraldssonM
- 15Romain Paul Jean-Michel PerraudD
- 17Ngal'ayel MukauM
- 21Benjamin Michel Édouard AndréM
- 23Aïssa MandiD
- 27Félix CorreiaM
- 32Ayyoub BouaddiD
Substitutes
- 4Alexsandro RibeiroD
- 8Ethan Mbappé LottinM
- 9Olivier Jonathan GiroudF
- 11Osame SahraouiF
- 16Arnaud BodartG
- 18Chancel Mbemba ManguluD
- 20Noah EdjoumaF
- 24Calvin Ronald VerdonkD
- 28Gaëtan PerrinF
Auxerre
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5Kévin DanoisM
- 8Naouirou Mohamed AhamadaM
- 9Sékou MaraF
- 10Lassine SinayokoM
- 13Telli SiweD
- 14Gideon MensahD
- 16Donovan René LéonG
- 19Daniel Namaso Edi-Mesumbe LoaderM
- 20Sinaly DiomandéD
- 27Lamine SyD
- 42Elisha OwusuM
Substitutes
- 4Francisco Andrés Sierralta CarvalloD
- 7Josué CasimirF
- 18Assane Dioussé El HadjiM
- 29Marvin SenayaD
- 36T. DevernoisM
- 40Théo Franck Mathias De PercinG
- 44Mamoudou CissokhoF
- 46L. DioubateM
Lille
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayyoub Bouaddi | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5/7 |
| Matías Fernández-Pardo | F | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/6 |
| Félix Correia | M | 62 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Nabil Bentaleb | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Benjamin André(C) | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Romain Perraud | D | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Nathan Ngoy | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ngal'ayel Mukau | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Berke Özer | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aïssa Mandi | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Hakon Arnar Haraldsson | M | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Chancel Mbemba | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arnaud Bodart | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexsandro Ribeiro | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Edjouma | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Mbappé | M | 45 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Calvin Verdonk | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Osame Sahraoui | F | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Olivier Giroud | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Gaëtan Perrin | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
Auxerre
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lassine Sinayoko | M | 90 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 2/3 |
| Gideon Mensah | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Donovan Léon | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sinaly Diomandé | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lamine Sy | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Sékou Mara | F | 82 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Naouirou Ahamada | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Kévin Danois | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Telli Siwe | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Danny Namaso | M | 72 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Elisha Owusu(C) | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Assane Dioussé | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Sierralta | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Théo De Percin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tidiane Devernois | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamoudou Cissokho | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lamfia Dioubaté | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marvin Senaya | D | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josué Casimir | F | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |