Liechtenstein vs Lithuania
Lithuania strolls to a 2-0 win in Liechtenstein
Michelbrink and Dolžnikov strike after the break to seal a comfortable away victory.
Lithuania secured a 2-0 victory away to Liechtenstein in the UEFA Nations League, with Lukas Michelbrink opening the scoring shortly after the break and A. Dolžnikov doubling the lead midway through the second half. The result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win, proving the visitors' superiority on the day.
Analysis
As the 2026 competition kicks off, Liechtenstein and Lithuania face off in what promises to be a closely contested match. Both sides will be eager to start their campaign on a positive note, setting the stage for a tactical and competitive encounter.
This fixture marks the opening round of the competition, with both teams yet to establish form in this campaign. Without extensive historical data or standings, the focus is on current probabilities and expected match dynamics.
Probabilities suggest a slight edge for Liechtenstein, with a 34% chance of victory compared to Lithuania's 31%, and draws at 30%. The most likely halftime score is 0-0, indicating a cautious start from both sides. The predicted fulltime score of 2-1 reflects a scenario where Liechtenstein edges ahead in the second half after a balanced opening period.
Prediction
Expect a tight first half with no goals, followed by Liechtenstein securing a narrow 2-1 win. The match is forecasted to feature around four cards, hinting at a competitive and possibly physical contest. Confidence in this prediction is moderate at 35%, reflecting the close nature of the probabilities.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
In summary, Liechtenstein holds a slight advantage and is tipped to claim a narrow victory over Lithuania. Fans should anticipate a tense and evenly matched game, with the decisive moments likely coming after the break.
- Liechtenstein has a 34% probability of winning, slightly higher than Lithuania's 31%.
- Draws hold a 30% chance, making this a closely contested fixture.
- The most probable halftime score is 0-0, suggesting a cautious start.
- The predicted fulltime score is 2-1 in favor of Liechtenstein.
- An estimated total of four cards indicates a competitive match.
- Confidence in the prediction stands at 35%, reflecting moderate certainty.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Liechtenstein
No standout best passers flagged for Liechtenstein
Away — Lithuania
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Lasickas
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Vorobjovas
Michelbrink
Assist: Kučys
Širvys
Jankauskas
Unknown
Dolžnikov
Assist: Gineitis
Luque Notaro
Sele
Kučys
Lasickas
Unknown
Zünd
Match Statistics
Liechtenstein
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1B. BüchelG
- 3M. GoppelD
- 4L. TraberD
- 5J. WeissenhoferD
- 7Fabio Luque NotaroF
- 8A. SeleM
- 18N. HaslerD
- 19E. ZündD
- 20A. HaslerM
Substitutes
- 2N. BeckD
- 6S. SchlegelF
- 12G. FoserG
- 13Kenny KindleF
- 14L. MeierM
- 15A. NetzerD
- 17L. KranzM
- 23J. HoferD
Lithuania
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2A. TutyškinasD
- 3E. UtkusD
- 5K. KažukolovasD
- 6M. VorobjovasM
- 10A. KučysF
- 11E. JankauskasF
- 13J. LasickasF
- 15G. GineitisM
- 16Lukas MichelbrinkM
- 17P. ŠirvysD
- 23D. BartkusG
Substitutes
- 1E. GertmonasG
- 4Ž. BaltrūnasD
- 7A. DolžnikovM
- 9M. RuzgisF
- 12T. ŠvedkauskasG
- 14V. SlivkaM
- 18V. ArmalasD
- 22M. BurbaF
Liechtenstein
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Büchel | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Schlegel | F | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Traber | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Goppel | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Sele | M | 73 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| N. Hasler | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Netzer | D | 2 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kenny Kindle | F | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hasler | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Zünd | D | 88 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Fabio Luque Notaro | F | 73 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Weissenhofer | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Beck | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Meier | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Foser | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Kranz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Hofer | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lithuania
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Michelbrink | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| A. Dolžnikov | M | 29 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| E. Utkus | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Gineitis | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1/2 |
| K. Kažukolovas | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Tutyškinas | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Širvys | D | 61 | 7.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Vorobjovas | M | 46 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ž. Baltrūnas | D | 6 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kučys | F | 73 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| D. Bartkus | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Burba | F | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/2 |
| M. Ruzgis | F | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Jankauskas | F | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Lasickas | F | 84 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| V. Slivka | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Švedkauskas | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Armalas | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Gertmonas | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Liechtenstein to win against Lithuania.
- What score did Fipster predict for Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Liechtenstein 2–1 Lithuania.
- What were the win probabilities for Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
- Fipster's model gave Liechtenstein a 35% chance of winning, Lithuania a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.