Lens vs Sporting CP
Match recap
Sporting CP beat Lens 2–0 in their UEFA Champions League fixture. Suárez and Doumbia scored for Sporting CP. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.78 for Lens versus 1.73 for Sporting CP. Lens sit 15th in the UEFA Champions League table while Sporting CP are 31st.
Outcome probability
Lens and Sporting CP face off in a group stage match that promises a close contest. Both teams have balanced offensive capabilities and full squads available, setting the stage for a tactical battle.
Match factors
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both Lens and Sporting CP have no confirmed absences, ensuring full squad availability for tactical plans.
Balanced scoring and assisting averages across teams
Both teams show similar league average goals and assists per player by position, indicating an evenly matched offensive potential.
Insufficient recent match data limits form analysis
Fewer than 5 recent games and missing standings data reduce confidence in form-based predictions for both teams.
The context
This group stage fixture sees Lens and Sporting CP, also known as Os Leões, looking to gain early advantage. With limited recent form data and missing standings, the match is open and competitive, with both sides evenly matched in scoring and assisting averages.
Key facts
- 1.Lens and Sporting CP have no confirmed injuries, ensuring full squads.
- 2.Home win probability for Lens is the highest at 38%.
- 3.The most likely full-time score is 2-1 in favour of Lens.
- 4.Halftime score of 1-0 is consistent with the predicted full-time result.
- 5.Both teams have similar league average goals and assists per player, indicating balanced offensive strength.
- 6.Limited recent match data reduces confidence in form-based predictions.
- 7.Three total cards are expected in the match, suggesting a competitive game.
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a home win for Lens, with a 2-1 scoreline being the most probable outcome. The halftime score of 1-0 aligns well with this, suggesting Lens may take an early lead and hold on despite Sporting CP's efforts. Both teams have no confirmed injuries, ensuring full squads and tactical flexibility. However, the limited data and missing standings mean this call is made with some caution.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Lens
Away — Sporting CP
Prediction
Expect Lens to take the lead by halftime and maintain their advantage to secure a 2-1 victory over Sporting CP. The match should feature a few cards, with three predicted in total, reflecting a competitive but fair encounter.
The verdict
While the prediction favours Lens, the low confidence due to limited data means surprises could be on the cards. Fans can look forward to a closely fought match with both teams showing balanced offensive potential and full squads ready to battle it out.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Suárez
Assist: Irankunda
Ivanović
Baidoo
Catamo
Saud Abdulhamid
Kadile
Cuisance
Yellow Card
João Simões
Irankunda
Doumbia
Assist: Andersen
Haidara
Thauvin
Yellow Card
Doumbia
Suárez
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |  RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 |  Slavia Praha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 |  Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 32 |  VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Lens
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 6S. BaidooD
- 10F. ThauvinM
- 14M. UdolM
- 21A. HaidaraM
- 23Saud AbdulhamidM
- 25I. GaniouD
- 27M. CuisanceM
- 28J. KadileM
- 29F. IvanovićF
- 32K. AntonioD
- 40R. RisserG
Substitutes
- 2R. AguilarD
- 4N. ÄelikD
- 5A. BulatovićM
- 7F. SotocaF
- 8Y. TitraouiM
- 9T. HazardM
- 11O. ÉdouardF
- 16M. GorgelinG
- 20J. TodiboD
- 22M. SkóraśF
- 31S. SagnanD
- 38M. SoaresM
Sporting CP
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5Sergi AltimiraM
- 8João SimõesM
- 10Geny CatamoF
- 19N. IrankundaF
- 20M. AraújoD
- 22Iván FresnedaD
- 25Gonçalo InácioD
- 30KaiqueG
- 72Eduardo QuaresmaD
- 77I. DoumbiaM
- 97L. SuárezF
Substitutes
- 1Rui SilvaG
- 4S. AndersenM
- 7F. IoannidisF
- 9Rafael Ferreira NelF
- 13G. VagiannidisD
- 18M. ZekriD
- 21Pedro LimaM
- 28J. DerryF
- 31Luis GuilhermeF
- 55Ibrahima BaD
- 58Flávio GonçalvesF
- 73Eduardo FelicíssimoM
Lens
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Thauvin | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 9 | 2/3 |
| A. Haidara | M | 80 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| F. Ivanović | F | 58 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 3/5 |
| R. Risser | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Édouard | F | 32 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| S. Baidoo | D | 58 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Cuisance | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| J. Kadile | M | 68 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| K. Antonio | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Skóraś | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| I. Ganiou | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saud Abdulhamid | M | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Y. Titraoui | M | 10 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Soares | M | 22 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| R. Aguilar | D | 32 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Udol | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| F. Sotoca | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Hazard | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Gorgelin | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Todibo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Sagnan | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Äelik | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bulatović | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sporting CP
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Suárez | F | 85 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/3 |
| I. Doumbia | M | 85 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Kaique | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Fresneda | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Araújo | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Gonçalo Inácio | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Quaresma | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sergi Altimira | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| N. Irankunda | F | 73 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| S. Andersen | M | 17 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| João Simões | M | 73 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Pedro Lima | M | 5 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Derry | F | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Luis Guilherme | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| F. Ioannidis | F | 5 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Geny Catamo | F | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| Rafael Ferreira Nel | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahima Ba | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Felicíssimo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Flávio Gonçalves | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rui Silva | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Zekri | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Vagiannidis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Lens vs Sporting CP?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Lens to win against Sporting CP.
- What score did Fipster predict for Lens vs Sporting CP?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Lens 2–1 Sporting CP.
- What were the win probabilities for Lens vs Sporting CP?
- Fipster's model gave Lens a 38% chance of winning, Sporting CP a 31% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 38% confidence — a low-confidence call.