Leeds vs Wolves
Match recap
Leeds beat Wolves 3–0 in their Premier League fixture. Justin, Okafor, Calvert-Lewin, and Calvert-Lewin scored for Leeds. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.82 for Leeds versus 0.57 for Wolves. Leeds sit 14th in the Premier League table while Wolves are 20th.
Analysis
Leeds welcome Wolves to Elland Road in what promises to be a tightly contested fixture. With Leeds enjoying better form and Wolves struggling, the home side looks poised to take all three points.
Historically, Leeds and Wolves have shared a fairly balanced rivalry, with Leeds winning 9 and Wolves 8 of their 19 meetings. Currently, Leeds sit 15th with 39 points, while Wolves languish at 20th with just 17 points, highlighting the gulf in form.
Leeds boast a superior goal difference and points-per-game ratio, with key players like D. Calvert-Lewin and B. Aaronson in fine form at home. Wolves face challenges with key defensive midfielders missing, weakening their defensive cover. Leeds' recent home clean sheets further bolster their chances.
Prediction
Expect Leeds to take an early lead by halftime, maintaining control to secure a 2-0 victory. The match is likely to see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but disciplined encounter.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Leeds' attacking trio in form
Calvert-Lewin and Aaronson show strong home form and connection, likely to exploit Wolves' weak defense
Okafor's questionable fitness
Okafor's muscle injury status may limit his impact, reducing Leeds' attacking options
Leeds' superior home scoring rate
Leeds average 1.5 goals at home vs Wolves' 0.4 away, indicating offensive advantage
Wolves missing key defensive midfielders
João Gomes suspension and injuries weaken Wolves' midfield defensive cover
Leeds recent home clean sheets
Leeds have 3 clean sheets in last home games, supporting predicted 2-0 win
Key Takeaways
All signs point to Leeds capitalising on their home advantage and Wolves' vulnerabilities. Fans can anticipate a composed Leeds performance resulting in a comfortable 2-0 win.
- Leeds have won 9 and Wolves 8 of their 19 head-to-head matches.
- Leeds rank 15th with 39 points; Wolves are 20th with 17 points.
- Leeds have a goal difference advantage of +30 this season.
- Leeds average 1.5 goals per home game; Wolves average 0.4 goals away.
- Leeds have kept 3 clean sheets in their last home matches.
- Wolves are missing key defensive midfielder João Gomes due to suspension.
- D. Calvert-Lewin is Leeds' top scorer with 11 goals this season.
- B. Aaronson leads Leeds with 5 assists and strong recent form.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Leeds
Away — Wolves
No standout top scorers flagged for Wolves
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Justin
Assist: Okafor
Okafor
Assist: Aaronson
Gomes
Tchatchoua
Okafor
Bellegarde
Aaronson
Yellow Card
Krejčí
Aaronson
Bueno
Yellow Card
Calvert-Lewin
Penalty
Calvert-Lewin
Tanaka
Gudmundsson
Justin
Yellow Card
Gudmundsson
Calvert-Lewin
Calvert-Lewin
Penalty
Tanaka
Match Statistics
Leeds
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2J. BogleM
- 3G. GudmundssonM
- 4E. AmpaduM
- 5P. StruijkD
- 9D. Calvert-LewinF
- 11B. AaronsonF
- 15J. BijolD
- 19N. OkaforF
- 22A. TanakaM
- 24J. JustinD
- 26K. DarlowG
Substitutes
- 1Lucas PerriG
- 6J. RodonD
- 8S. LongstaffM
- 10J. PiroeF
- 14L. NmechaF
- 23S. BornauwD
- 29W. GnontoF
- 40F. BuonanotteM
- 44I. GruevM
Wolves
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3Hugo BuenoM
- 4S. BuenoD
- 7AndréM
- 8João GomesM
- 9A. ArmstrongF
- 24Toti GomesD
- 25D. BentleyG
- 27J. BellegardeF
- 37L. KrejčíD
- 38J. TchatchouaM
- 47A. GomesF
Substitutes
- 6D. Møller WolfeD
- 11Hwang Hee-ChanF
- 14T. ArokodareF
- 17Pedro LimaD
- 21Rodrigo GomesD
- 36M. ManeF
- 40A. BrooksG
- 59S. OlagunjuD
- 74T. EdozieF
Leeds
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Justin | D | 90 | 8.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | F | 89 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| Noah Okafor | F | 67 | 8.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1/4 |
| Brenden Aaronson | F | 78 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Pascal Struijk | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Ethan Ampadu(C) | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Ao Tanaka | M | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| Karl Darlow | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Gudmundsson | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaka Bijol | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Jayden Bogle | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Facundo Buonanotte | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joël Piroe | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Longstaff | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Joe Rodon | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas Nmecha | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Perri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wilfried Gnonto | F | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ilia Gruev | M | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wolves
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Ricner Bellegarde | F | 67 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| André | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ladislav Krejčí | D | 75 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Bentley | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Bueno | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Adam Armstrong | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| João Gomes | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Toti Gomes(C) | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Bueno | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Angel Gomes | F | 38 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jackson Tchatchoua | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Tolu Arokodare | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Möller Wolfe | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Edozie | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saheed Olagunju | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfie Brooks | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateus Mané | F | 52 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Hee-Chan Hwang | F | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Gomes | D | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Lima | D | 45 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |