Leeds vs Brighton
Match recap
Leeds beat Brighton 1–0 in their Premier League fixture. Calvert-Lewin scored for Leeds. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.76 for Leeds versus 2.70 for Brighton. Leeds sit 14th in the Premier League table while Brighton are 8th.
Analysis
Leeds welcome Brighton for what promises to be a competitive Premier League clash. Both teams have shown moments of quality this season, setting the stage for a balanced contest.
Brighton hold the upper hand historically with 12 wins in 19 meetings against Leeds, who have managed just 2 victories. Brighton currently sit 7th in the league, comfortably ahead of Leeds in 14th, reflecting their stronger season performance.
Brighton's superior goal difference and league position suggest they have the edge, but Leeds' recent home scoring streak and key players like Calvert-Lewin provide a solid counter. Injury doubts around Okafor may limit Leeds' attacking options, while Brighton's defensive duo van Hecke and Dunk offer a sturdy challenge.
Prediction
The forecast is a 1-1 draw, with a goalless first half likely as both teams feel each other out. The match is expected to be competitive with four cards likely, reflecting the intensity and stakes involved.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Calvert-Lewin's scoring threat vs Brighton defense
Calvert-Lewin's strong recent form and penalty duties give Leeds a key scoring outlet against Brighton's defense.
Okafor's questionable fitness affects Leeds' attack
Okafor's injury status is uncertain; his presence would boost Leeds' midfield goal threat significantly.
Aaronson's creative influence for Leeds
Aaronson leads assists and key passes, crucial for creating chances for Leeds' forwards.
Brighton's defensive solidity with van Hecke and Dunk
Brighton's defenders have high passing and tackling stats, posing a challenge for Leeds' attackers.
Leeds' recent scoring streak at home
Leeds have scored in last 5 home games, showing positive attacking momentum for this fixture.
Key Takeaways
In summary, this fixture should deliver a balanced contest with both sides sharing the spoils. Fans can expect a tight game with moments of quality but no clear winner.
- Brighton have won 12 of 19 head-to-head matches against Leeds, with 5 draws and 2 Leeds wins.
- Brighton currently sit 7th in the league with 53 points; Leeds are 14th with 44 points after 36 games.
- Brighton have a +10 goal difference this season, Leeds have -5.
- Leeds have scored in their last 5 home games, showing good attacking form at Elland Road.
- Calvert-Lewin is Leeds' top scorer with 12 goals, including 4 in the last 5 games.
- Brighton's defenders van Hecke and Dunk have strong defensive stats, posing a challenge for Leeds' attack.
- The predicted total cards for the match is 4, indicating a competitive and physical game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Leeds
Away — Brighton
No standout top scorers flagged for Brighton
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
James
Aaronson
Tanaka
Welbeck
Veltman
Stach
Baleba
Hinshelwood
Bornauw
Minteh
Calvert-Lewin
Yellow Card
Calvert-Lewin
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 54 |
| 8 |  Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 | 53 |
| 9 |  Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 | 53 |
| 13 |  Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 49 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
Match Statistics
Leeds
3-5-2Starting XI
- 4E. AmpaduM
- 6J. RodonD
- 7D. JamesM
- 9D. Calvert-LewinF
- 11B. AaronsonF
- 15J. BijolD
- 18A. StachM
- 22A. TanakaM
- 23S. BornauwD
- 24J. JustinM
- 26K. DarlowG
Substitutes
- 1Lucas PerriG
- 8S. LongstaffM
- 10J. PiroeF
- 14L. NmechaF
- 25S. ByramD
- 29W. GnontoF
- 47R. Chadwick-ChaplinM
- 51A. CresswellM
- 65J. LienouD
Brighton
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. VerbruggenG
- 5L. DunkD
- 6J. van HeckeD
- 11Y. MintehM
- 13J. HinshelwoodM
- 17C. BalebaM
- 18D. WelbeckF
- 24F. KadıoğluM
- 29M. De CuyperD
- 30P. GroßM
- 34J. VeltmanD
Substitutes
- 7S. MarchM
- 10G. RutterF
- 19C. KostoulasF
- 20J. MilnerM
- 21O. BoscagliD
- 23J. SteeleG
- 25D. GómezM
- 26Y. AyariM
- 33M. O'RileyM
Leeds
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Darlow | G | 101 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Ampadu(C) | M | 101 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Joe Rodon | D | 101 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | F | 101 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Jaka Bijol | D | 101 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anton Stach | M | 74 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| James Justin | M | 101 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel James | M | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | D | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ao Tanaka | M | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Brenden Aaronson | F | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Lucas Perri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Lienou | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfie Cresswell | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rhys Chadwick-Chaplin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Longstaff | M | 41 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas Nmecha | F | 41 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Wilfried Gnonto | F | 41 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Sam Byram | D | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joël Piroe | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Brighton
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Groß | M | 101 | 7.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | — |
| Maxim De Cuyper | D | 101 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Yankuba Minteh | M | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| Ferdi Kadıoğlu | M | 101 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Lewis Dunk(C) | D | 101 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Carlos Baleba | M | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Joël Veltman | D | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danny Welbeck | F | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jack Hinshelwood | M | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Bart Verbruggen | G | 101 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Paul van Hecke | D | 101 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| James Milner | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jason Steele | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matt O'Riley | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olivier Boscagli | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charalampos Kostoulas | F | 19 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Georginio Rutter | F | 36 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Solly March | M | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yasin Ayari | M | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Gómez | M | 36 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |