Leeds vs Brentford
Leeds claw back to deny Brentford
Calvert-Lewin's strike earns Leeds a share of the spoils after Schade's opener.
Brentford took the lead through K. Schade's first-half goal, but Leeds fought back after the break with D. Calvert-Lewin's equaliser in the 79th minute. The 1-1 draw defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Brentford win, delivering a fair share of points for both sides.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Leeds facing Brentford in what promises to be an intriguing contest. Both teams have been busy in the transfer market, with Leeds adjusting their squad and Brentford bolstering theirs. This match sets the tone for their campaigns ahead.
Key facts
- 1.Leeds have lost P. Struijk to transfer ahead of the new season.
- 2.Brentford have signed J. Anthony, Jannik Schuster, and free agent C. Wilson.
- 3.Brentford finished last season with a +10 goal difference, Leeds with -7.
- 4.Brentford ranked higher than Leeds in the previous league standings.
- 5.Predicted halftime score is 0-1 in favour of Brentford.
- 6.Total of four cards expected in the match.
- 7.Predicted fulltime score is Leeds 1, Brentford 2.
The context
Leeds enter the season shorn of P. Struijk, who has departed the club, while Brentford have strengthened their ranks with the arrivals of J. Anthony, Jannik Schuster, and free agent C. Wilson. These changes could prove pivotal as both sides look to start their league campaigns on a positive note.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Leeds
Away — Brentford
Analysis
Brentford hold a notable advantage in goal difference from last season, boasting a +10 compared to Leeds' -7, suggesting a more balanced performance both offensively and defensively. Their higher league ranking further supports the notion that Brentford may have the edge. The predicted halftime score of 0-1 aligns with Brentford's ability to start strong, while Leeds are expected to respond but ultimately fall short.
Prediction
The forecast sees Brentford clinching a 2-1 victory, with the away side taking the lead before Leeds pull one back. The match is expected to be competitive, with a total of four cards anticipated, reflecting a spirited encounter. Brentford's summer signings could provide the extra quality needed to secure the win.
The verdict
As the season opener unfolds, Brentford appear poised to make a statement with a narrow win over Leeds. While the margin is slim, the visitors' stronger goal difference and fresh additions may just tip the scales in their favour. Leeds will no doubt be eager to prove their mettle, making this a match worth watching.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Anthony
Yellow Card
Rodon
Schade
Assist: Lewis-Potter
Aaronson
Bijol
Anthony
Bogle
Damsgaard
Okafor
Ajer
Yellow Card
Janelt
Yellow Card
Calvert-Lewin
Assist: Nmecha
Schade
Kayode
Lewis-Potter
Collins
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
Match Statistics
Leeds
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1J. TraffordG
- 2J. BogleM
- 4E. AmpaduM
- 5T. MuharemovićD
- 6J. RodonD
- 9D. Calvert-LewinF
- 11B. AaronsonF
- 15J. BijolD
- 18A. StachM
- 19N. OkaforF
- 24J. JustinM
Substitutes
- 3G. GudmundssonD
- 7D. JamesF
- 8S. LongstaffM
- 10H. WilsonF
- 14L. NmechaF
- 21A. CairnsG
- 22A. TanakaM
- 29W. GnontoF
- 30N. ElvediD
Brentford
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1C. KelleherG
- 7K. SchadeM
- 9ThiagoF
- 18M. SangaréM
- 19J. AnthonyM
- 20K. AjerD
- 22N. CollinsD
- 23K. Lewis-PotterD
- 24M. DamsgaardM
- 27V. JaneltM
- 33M. KayodeD
Substitutes
- 2A. HickeyD
- 3R. HenryD
- 6Y. YarmolyukM
- 11D. OuattaraF
- 12H. ValdimarssonG
- 13C. WilsonF
- 14Fábio CarvalhoM
- 25E. DioufD
- 44Jannik SchusterD
Leeds
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarik Muharemović | D | 93 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | F | 93 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Ethan Ampadu(C) | M | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| James Justin | M | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jayden Bogle | M | 68 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Noah Okafor | F | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| James Trafford | G | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anton Stach | M | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Jaka Bijol | D | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Rodon | D | 34 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brenden Aaronson | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Sean Longstaff | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wilfried Gnonto | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Gudmundsson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Cairns | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harry Wilson | F | 48 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ao Tanaka | M | 48 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Lukas Nmecha | F | 24 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Daniel James | F | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Nico Elvedi | D | 59 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Brentford
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Schade | M | 88 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Mikkel Damsgaard | M | 69 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Caoimhin Kelleher | G | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristoffer Ajer | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Vitaly Janelt | M | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Michael Kayode | D | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Mamadou Sangare | M | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Keane Lewis-Potter | D | 88 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Nathan Collins(C) | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jaidon Anthony | M | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Igor Thiago | F | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | 5 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| El Hadji Malick Diouf | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callum Wilson | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Hickey | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabio Carvalho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jannik Schuster | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rico Henry | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dango Ouattara | F | 32 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4/4 |
| Yehor Yarmoliuk | M | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Leeds vs Brentford?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Brentford to win against Leeds.
- What score did Fipster predict for Leeds vs Brentford?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Leeds 1–2 Brentford.
- What were the win probabilities for Leeds vs Brentford?
- Fipster's model gave Leeds a 29% chance of winning, Brentford a 42% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 42% confidence — a low-confidence call.