Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen
Leverkusen steamroll Lech Poznan
Four goals, including two penalties from Schick, leave Lech Poznan shell-shocked at home.
Bayer Leverkusen delivered a commanding performance in the UEFA Europa League, cruising to a 4-0 victory over Lech Poznan. P. Schick was the star of the show, converting two penalties before the break, while M. Tillman and I. Maza added to the tally to seal a dominant win. This result was a surprising upset against Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 3-0 home win for Lech Poznan.
Outcome probability
Lech Poznan face Bayer Leverkusen in a Group Stage clash where the home side look poised to assert their attacking prowess and defensive solidity.
Match factors
Lech Poznan's strong recent scoring form
Lech Poznan has scored in all last 4 matches, averaging over 4 goals per game, indicating strong attacking momentum
Lech Poznan's defensive solidity at home
Lech Poznan kept clean sheets in last 2 home games, conceding zero goals, showing defensive strength at home
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have no confirmed out players, so full squads available, maintaining tactical options
Lech Poznan's attacking midfielders in form
Midfielders like P. Wålemark and D. Håkans have recent goals and assists, likely to exploit Bayer Leverkusen's defense
The context
Lech Poznan have been in fine form in this competition, boasting a record of three wins and one draw from four matches, with an impressive goal difference of +13. Bayer Leverkusen, known as the Werkself, will need to be at their best to counter this momentum.
Key insights
- P
P. Wålemark
Lech Poznan
P. Wålemark has been a key attacking contributor, scoring in 3 of the last 4 matches and providing above average goal involvement for a midfielder.
UEFA Europa League 26/27Goals in 3 of last 4 matches
- D
D. Håkans
Lech Poznan
D. Håkans has shown creativity and goal threat with recent goals and assists, linking well with teammates in attack.
UEFA Europa League 26/27Scored and assisted in recent games
- M
M. Gurgul
Lech Poznan
M. Gurgul contributes offensively from defence with assists in recent home matches, exceeding league average for defenders.
UEFA Europa League 26/27Recent assists in home matches
Analysis
Lech Poznan's recent performances highlight their attacking momentum, having scored in all of their last four matches with an average of over four goals per game. Their defensive strength is equally notable, keeping clean sheets in their last two home games. Midfielders like P. Wålemark and D. Håkans have been instrumental, contributing goals and assists that could exploit Bayer Leverkusen's defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams have full squads available, so tactical plans should be executed without personnel concerns.
Key facts
- 1.Lech Poznan have won 3 and drawn 1 of their 4 matches in this competition so far.
- 2.Lech Poznan have a goal difference of +13 (15 scored, 2 conceded) in this competition.
- 3.Lech Poznan have scored in all of their last 4 matches, averaging over 4 goals per game.
- 4.Lech Poznan kept clean sheets in their last 2 home games, showing defensive strength.
- 5.No confirmed injuries for either team, so full squads are available.
- 6.Midfielder P. Wålemark has scored in 3 of the last 4 matches, contributing significantly to attack.
- 7.Defender M. Gurgul has provided assists recently, supporting offensive play from the back.
Prediction
The prediction sees Lech Poznan taking an early lead with a 1-0 halftime score, then extending their dominance to finish 3-0. This scoreline reflects their strong home form and attacking efficiency, while maintaining defensive discipline to keep a clean sheet against the Werkself.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Lech Poznan
Away — Bayer Leverkusen
The verdict
Expect Lech Poznan to control the game from start to finish, leveraging their recent form and key player contributions to secure a comprehensive victory over Bayer Leverkusen.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mońka
Terrier
Penalty confirmed
Schick
Penalty
Tillman
Penalty confirmed
Skrzypczak
Yellow Card
Schick
Penalty
Bengtsson
Ishak
Wålemark
Gutiérrez
Tella
García
Andrich
Yellow Card
Berggren
Schick
Diaby
Yellow Card
Maza
Assist: Moreira
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 19 |  Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 |  Lech Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Lech Poznan
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. LisG
- 2Joel PereiraD
- 5G. BerggrenM
- 9M. IshakM
- 10P. WålemarkM
- 14L. BengtssonM
- 15M. GurgulD
- 27W. MońkaD
- 43A. KozubalM
- 72M. SkrzypczakD
- 77L. PalmaF
Substitutes
- 7Y. AgneroF
- 11D. HåkansM
- 21Pablo RodríguezM
- 24F. JagiełłoM
- 33M. PruchniewskiG
- 53K. DelikatM
- 56W. SzymczakF
- 59T. YegbeD
Bayer Leverkusen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. FlekkenG
- 3Miguel GutiérrezD
- 5L. BadéD
- 6E. FernándezM
- 10M. TillmanM
- 11M. TerrierF
- 12E. TapsobaD
- 17Lucas VázquezD
- 23N. TellaM
- 24Aleix GarcíaM
- 30I. MazaM
Substitutes
- 2F. MedinaD
- 4J. QuansahD
- 8R. AndrichM
- 9Afonso MoreiraF
- 14P. SchickF
- 19M. DiabyF
- 28J. BlaswichG
- 36N. LombG
Lech Poznan
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ishak | M | 60 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Lis | G | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Palma | F | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| P. Wålemark | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3/5 |
| A. Kozubal | M | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Y. Agnero | F | 29 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Håkans | M | 29 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| T. Yegbe | D | 74 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Bengtsson | M | 60 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| G. Berggren | M | 74 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Pablo Rodríguez | M | 15 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| F. Jagiełło | M | 29 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Mońka | D | 15 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Skrzypczak | D | 89 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Gurgul | D | 89 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Joel Pereira | D | 89 | 5.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Pruchniewski | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Szymczak | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Delikat | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Schick | F | 58 | 8.5 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| I. Maza | M | 89 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3/5 |
| M. Tillman | M | 89 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3/5 |
| E. Tapsoba | D | 89 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Badé | D | 89 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| E. Fernández | M | 89 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Lucas Vázquez | D | 89 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| F. Medina | D | 27 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| N. Tella | M | 62 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Miguel Gutiérrez | D | 62 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| M. Flekken | G | 89 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aleix García | M | 62 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| R. Andrich | M | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Afonso Moreira | F | 13 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Terrier | F | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Diaby | F | 27 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Quansah | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Blaswich | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Lomb | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Lech Poznan to win against Bayer Leverkusen.
- What score did Fipster predict for Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Lech Poznan 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen.
- What were the win probabilities for Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen?
- Fipster's model gave Lech Poznan a 85% chance of winning, Bayer Leverkusen a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.