Lecce vs Monza
Lecce's Coulibaly double stuns Monza
A vibrant start from Lecce set the tone in a thrilling 3-2 victory over Monza.
Lecce took an early grip on the match with L. Coulibaly scoring twice before the 22nd minute, sandwiching a Tiago Gabriel strike to give the hosts a commanding lead. Monza fought back with goals from Ricardo Mangas and a late effort by E. Zeballos, but it wasn't enough to overturn Lecce's advantage. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Monza win, as Lecce held on for a narrow and spirited victory.
Outcome probability
The new Serie A season kicks off with Lecce facing newly promoted Monza. Both teams are eager to set the tone early, with Monza looking to make an immediate impact after their promotion and summer reinforcements.
Key facts
- 1.Monza are newly promoted to Serie A this season.
- 2.Lecce finished 17th last season with 38 points from 38 games.
- 3.Monza have strengthened their squad with signings including P. Cutrone, I. Touré, and Gustavo Varela.
- 4.Lecce have added A. Ahmed Fatah and lost Y. Ramadani in the summer transfer window.
- 5.The predicted final score is Monza 2, Lecce 1.
- 6.The most probable total number of cards in the match is four.
- 7.Halftime score is likely to be 0-0, indicating a cautious start.
The context
Lecce finished 17th last season in Serie A, narrowly avoiding relegation with 38 points. Monza, on the other hand, are newcomers to the division, bringing fresh energy and several notable signings including P. Cutrone, I. Touré, and Gustavo Varela to bolster their squad.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Lecce
Away — Monza
Analysis
Monza's summer business suggests a side keen to compete at this level, with the arrivals adding depth and attacking options. Lecce, having lost Y. Ramadani but gained A. Ahmed Fatah, will rely on their Serie A experience. The predicted 2-1 scoreline in favour of Monza reflects their potential to edge out Lecce despite the latter's top-flight familiarity. The match is expected to be competitive, with a likely total of four cards indicating a spirited contest.
Prediction
We anticipate Monza to claim a narrow 2-1 victory over Lecce. The away side's attacking reinforcements and momentum from promotion could prove decisive, while Lecce will push hard but ultimately fall short in this opener.
The verdict
This fixture promises an intriguing start to the Serie A campaign, with Monza aiming to announce themselves with a win and Lecce determined to defend their place. Expect a lively encounter with goals and some robust challenges along the way.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Coulibaly
Assist: Ilić
Tiago Gabriel
Assist: Ilić
Ricardo Mangas
Assist: Birindelli
Coulibaly
Assist: Danilo Veiga
N’Dri
Yellow Card
N’Dri
Ricardo Mangas
Robinson
Colpani
Ilić
Monteiro
Štulić
Gustavo Varela
Akinsanmiro
Maleh
Zeballos
Danilo Veiga
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Lecce
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5J. SiebertD
- 9N. ŠtulićF
- 11K. N’DriF
- 14Y. MalehM
- 17Danilo VeigaD
- 20I. IlićM
- 25A. GalloD
- 29L. CoulibalyM
- 30W. FalconeG
- 44Tiago GabrielD
- 99Joël MonteiroF
Substitutes
- 1M. BleveG
- 2A. DembéléD
- 3C. NdabaD
- 4Kialonda GasparD
- 7A. Ahmed FatahF
- 8S. FofanaM
- 18G. JeanD
- 22Paco EstebanF
- 28Olaf GorterM
- 31E. ScottD
- 50S. PierottiF
- 77M. KabaM
- 79O. NgomM
Monza
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3L. LucchesiD
- 7Ricardo MangasM
- 9Gustavo VarelaF
- 14E. AkinsanmiroM
- 19S. BirindelliM
- 20D. ThiamG
- 28A. ColpaniF
- 44A. CarboniD
- 46Jay RobinsonF
- 60E. KouadioD
- 90M. FolorunshoM
Substitutes
- 1N. TörnqvistG
- 2S. GoglichidzeD
- 5Y. MayeD
- 6V. AntovD
- 8M. OndoaM
- 10P. CutroneF
- 11O. ForsonF
- 21L. ColomboM
- 22E. ZeballosF
- 24A. BakouneD
- 43A. StrajnarG
- 47Dany MotaF
- 80M. MoutM
Lecce
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lassana Coulibaly | M | 92 | 8.9 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Ivan Ilić | M | 66 | 7.7 | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Danilo Veiga | D | 92 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Wladimiro Falcone(C) | G | 92 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Gabriel | D | 92 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Antonino Gallo | D | 92 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Joël Monteiro | F | 74 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Jamil Siebert | D | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youssef Maleh | M | 85 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Nikola Štulić | F | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N'Dri Konan | F | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Corrie Ndaba | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gaby Jean | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Bleve | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Kaba | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sadik Fofana | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kialonda Gaspar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Dembélé | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olaf Gorter | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elijah Scott | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oumar Ngom | M | 26 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Paco Esteban | F | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Amar Fatah | F | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Pierotti | F | 47 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
Monza
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Mangas | M | 45 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Samuele Birindelli(C) | M | 92 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Andrea Carboni | D | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Michael Folorunsho | M | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Gustavo Varela | F | 75 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1/5 |
| Jay Robinson | F | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Lorenzo Lucchesi | D | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Andrea Colpani | F | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Ebenezer Akinsanmiro | M | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Eddy Kouadio | D | 92 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Demba Thiam | G | 92 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Noel Törnqvist | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yvan Maye | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manga Foe Ondoa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Colombo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aljaz Strajnar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valentin Antov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saba Goglichidze | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dany Mota | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Exequiel Zeballos | F | 28 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| Mathis Mout | M | 8 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick Cutrone | F | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Omari Forson | F | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Bakoune | D | 47 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Lecce vs Monza?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Monza to win against Lecce.
- What score did Fipster predict for Lecce vs Monza?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Lecce 1–2 Monza.
- What were the win probabilities for Lecce vs Monza?
- Fipster's model gave Lecce a 30% chance of winning, Monza a 40% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 40% confidence — a low-confidence call.