Lecce vs Juventus
Match recap
Juventus beat Lecce 1–0 in their Serie A fixture. Vlahović scored for Juventus. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.88 for Lecce versus 2.16 for Juventus. Lecce sit 17th in the Serie A table while Juventus are 6th.
Analysis
As Lecce prepare to host Juventus in this Serie A fixture, the stage is set for a closely fought encounter. Juventus, with their superior form and historical dominance, look poised to edge out a narrow win.
Juventus have a commanding record against Lecce, winning 8 of their 13 meetings. Currently sitting 4th in the league with 65 points, they boast a +28 goal difference. Lecce, struggling at 17th with 32 points and a -23 goal difference, face a tough challenge especially with key players suspended.
Juventus' midfield duo, Locatelli and Cambiaso, provide creativity and passing accuracy that Lecce's midfield struggles to match. Lecce's defense is weakened by the suspension of Danilo Veiga, while Juventus' attack, led by J. David, remains potent despite the absence of top scorer K. Yıldız. The predicted 1-0 scoreline reflects Juventus' ability to break down a resilient Lecce defense.
Prediction
Expect Juventus to take an early lead and hold on to it, with the halftime and fulltime score both predicted at 0-1. The match is likely to be competitive, with around four cards expected, reflecting the intensity and stakes involved.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Lecce missing key attackers
Lecce's top scorer L. Banda and key midfielder M. Berisha are injured/suspended, weakening attack.
Juventus missing top scorer K. Yıldız
Juventus' top scorer K. Yıldız is injured, reducing scoring options but others can compensate.
Juventus midfield dominance
Locatelli and Cambiaso provide superior passing and creativity compared to Lecce's midfield.
Defensive strength affected by suspensions
Lecce's defensive stalwart Danilo Veiga is suspended, weakening their defense against Juventus attack.
Juventus better recent form and scoring rate
Juventus has higher win percentage and goals scored per game, indicating momentum advantage.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Juventus' superior form, tactical edge, and key player contributions should see them secure a narrow away victory. Lecce will fight hard but are hampered by suspensions and form, making a Juventus win the most probable outcome.
- Juventus have won 8 of 13 head-to-head matches against Lecce.
- Juventus average 1.86 points per game, double Lecce's 0.91.
- Juventus hold a +28 goal difference; Lecce have -23.
- Lecce's top scorer L. Banda is suspended, weakening their attack.
- Juventus' key midfielder Locatelli is a top passer with 2439 passes and 88% accuracy.
- Lecce's defender Danilo Veiga is suspended, impacting their defense.
- Predicted total cards in the match is 4, indicating a competitive game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Lecce
Away — Juventus
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Vlahović
Assist: Cambiaso
Goal cancelled
Goal cancelled
Ngom
Danilo Veiga
Banda
Cheddira
Vlahović
Conceição
Yellow Card
Jean
Yellow Card
Cambiaso
Conceição
Yıldız
McKennie
Match Statistics
Lecce
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5J. SiebertD
- 17Danilo VeigaD
- 19L. BandaM
- 20Y. RamadaniM
- 25A. GalloD
- 29L. CoulibalyM
- 30W. FalconeG
- 44Tiago GabrielD
- 50S. PierottiM
- 79O. NgomM
- 99W. CheddiraF
Substitutes
- 1C. FrüchtlG
- 3C. NdabaD
- 6Álex SalaM
- 9N. ŠtulićF
- 11K. N’DriF
- 13M. PérezD
- 14Þ. HelgasonM
- 16O. GandelmanM
- 18G. JeanD
- 22F. CamardaF
- 28Olaf GorterM
- 32J. SamoojaG
- 36F. MarchwińskiM
- 80N. Kovač M
Juventus
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3BremerD
- 5M. LocatelliM
- 6L. KellyD
- 7Francisco ConceiçãoM
- 8T. KoopmeinersM
- 9D. VlahovićF
- 10K. YıldızM
- 15P. KaluluD
- 16M. Di GregorioG
- 22W. McKennieM
- 27A. CambiasoD
Substitutes
- 1M. PerinG
- 2E. HolmD
- 4F. GattiD
- 11E. ZhegrovaF
- 13J. BogaF
- 17Vasilije AdžićM
- 18F. KostićM
- 19K. ThuramM
- 20L. OpendaF
- 21F. MirettiM
- 23C. PinsoglioG
- 30J. DavidF
Lecce
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wladimiro Falcone(C) | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamil Siebert | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ylber Ramadani | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Lameck Banda | M | 76 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/5 |
| Tiago Gabriel | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Danilo Veiga | D | 70 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Lassana Coulibaly | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Antonino Gallo | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Walid Cheddira | F | 75 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Oumar Ngom | M | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Santiago Pierotti | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Matías Pérez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olaf Gorter | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niko Kovač | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Štulić | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Sala | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jasper Samooja | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omri Gandelman | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Marchwiński | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Corrie Ndaba | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Früchtl | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gaby Jean | D | 28 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Þórir Jóhann Helgason | M | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| N'Dri Konan | F | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Francesco Camarda | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Juventus
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michele Di Gregorio | G | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lloyd Kelly | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Andrea Cambiaso | D | 83 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Dušan Vlahović | F | 77 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Manuel Locatelli(C) | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Bremer | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Kenan Yıldız | M | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/6 |
| Francisco Conceição | M | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 2/3 |
| Weston McKennie | M | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Teun Koopmeiners | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Pierre Kalulu | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Fabio Miretti | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khéphren Thuram | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mattia Perin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlo Pinsoglio | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Kostić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loïs Openda | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vasilije Adžić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Gatti | D | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emil Holm | D | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jérémie Boga | F | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Jonathan David | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Edon Zhegrova | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |