Lecce vs Genoa
Match recap
Lecce beat Genoa 1–0 in their Serie A fixture. Banda scored for Lecce. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.76 for Lecce versus 0.77 for Genoa. Lecce sit 17th in the Serie A table while Genoa are 16th.
Analysis
As the Serie A season nears its climax, Lecce host Genoa in a match that promises tight margins and tactical intrigue. Both sides are fighting to improve their standings, but Genoa's recent form and historical edge suggest they might just nick it.
Lecce, sitting 17th with 35 points, face Genoa who are 15th with 41 points after 37 games. Historically, Genoa have dominated this fixture, winning 7 of 13 encounters, while Lecce have managed just one victory. Genoa's positive goal difference (+14) contrasts sharply with Lecce's -23, highlighting the visitors' relative strength this season.
Genoa's top scorer L. Colombo has been in fine away form, netting 7 goals this season with a recent scoring rate of 0.33 goals per game on the road. Midfielder R. Malinovskyi adds creativity and goal threat, making Genoa's attack a real challenge for Lecce's defence. Lecce's main chance creation comes from defender A. Gallo's set-pieces, but the questionable fitness of key attacker L. Banda could blunt their offensive edge. Defensively, both sides rely on stalwarts like Danilo Veiga and L. Østigård to keep things tight.
Prediction
Expect a cautious first half with no goals, as both teams feel each other out. Genoa's superior attacking options and historical dominance should see them edge a narrow 1-0 win by fulltime. The match is likely to be competitive with around four cards shown, reflecting the high stakes and tight contest.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Genoa’s Key Striker Colombo vs Lecce’s Defense
Colombo’s strong recent away scoring and minutes advantage suggest he can exploit Lecce’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Lecce’s Assist Leader Gallo’s Set-Piece Threat
Gallo’s above-average assists and crossing ability provide Lecce with a key chance creation outlet.
L. Banda’s Injury Status Critical for Lecce Attack
Banda’s questionable fitness could reduce Lecce’s goal threat significantly if he misses the match.
Malinovskyi’s Consistent Midfield Influence for Genoa
Malinovskyi’s steady form and goal involvement bolster Genoa’s midfield creativity and scoring chances.
Defensive Stalwarts to Watch: Veiga and Østigård
Both defenders have high defensive stats and will be key in neutralizing opposing attackers.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Genoa's better form, key players in good touch, and historical record against Lecce make them favourites to take all three points. Lecce will fight hard at home, but Genoa's clinical finishing and midfield control should secure a slender victory.
- Genoa lead head-to-head with 7 wins to Lecce's 1 in 13 meetings.
- Genoa have a +14 goal difference; Lecce sit at -23 this season.
- Lecce are 17th with 35 points; Genoa 15th with 41 points after 37 games.
- L. Colombo is Genoa's top scorer with 7 goals, strong recent away form.
- A. Gallo leads Lecce with 4 assists, key in set-piece situations.
- L. Banda's injury status is uncertain, potentially weakening Lecce's attack.
- Match expected to have around 4 cards, indicating a competitive game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Lecce
Away — Genoa
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Banda
Assist: Pierotti
Ramadani
Yellow Card
Ngom
Martín
Sabelli
Banda
Amorim
Tiago Gabriel
Yellow Card
Cheddira
Pierotti
Marcandalli
Masini
Ramadani
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | +54 | 87 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 | 42 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -10 | 41 |
| 17 |  Lecce | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -22 | 38 |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | -25 | 34 |
Match Statistics
Lecce
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5J. SiebertD
- 17Danilo VeigaD
- 19L. BandaM
- 20Y. RamadaniM
- 25A. GalloD
- 29L. CoulibalyM
- 30W. FalconeG
- 44Tiago GabrielD
- 50S. PierottiM
- 79O. NgomM
- 99W. CheddiraF
Substitutes
- 1C. FrüchtlG
- 3C. NdabaD
- 4Kialonda GasparD
- 6Álex SalaM
- 8S. FofanaM
- 9N. ŠtulićF
- 11K. N’DriF
- 13M. PérezD
- 14Þ. HelgasonM
- 16O. GandelmanM
- 18G. JeanD
- 22F. CamardaF
- 28Olaf GorterM
- 32J. SamoojaG
- 36F. MarchwińskiM
Genoa
3-5-1-1Starting XI
- 1N. LealiG
- 3Aarón MartínM
- 4Alexsandro AmorimM
- 13N. ZätterströmD
- 20S. SabelliM
- 27A. MarcandalliD
- 29L. ColomboF
- 32M. FrendrupM
- 34S. OtoaD
- 73P. MasiniM
- 77M. EllertssonF
Substitutes
- 15B. Norton-CuffyD
- 16J. BijlowG
- 22J. VásquezD
- 39D. SommarivaG
- 74Mamedi Doucoure
- 75Gaël LafontM
- 80Jacopo GrossiM
- 99W. L. OuedraogoD
Lecce
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonino Gallo | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Jamil Siebert | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ylber Ramadani | M | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Lameck Banda | M | 65 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Wladimiro Falcone(C) | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danilo Veiga | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tiago Gabriel | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lassana Coulibaly | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Walid Cheddira | F | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Santiago Pierotti | M | 80 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Oumar Ngom | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Filip Marchwiński | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Früchtl | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Þórir Jóhann Helgason | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Corrie Ndaba | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francesco Camarda | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olaf Gorter | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kialonda Gaspar | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sadik Fofana | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Sala | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jasper Samooja | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Pérez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Štulić | F | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gaby Jean | D | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omri Gandelman | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N'Dri Konan | F | 25 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
Genoa
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarón Martín | M | 60 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Nicola Leali | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Marcandalli | D | 83 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Patrizio Masini | M | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Mikael Ellertsson | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastian Otoa | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Morten Frendrup(C) | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alexsandro Amorim | M | 69 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Stefano Sabelli | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Colombo | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Nils Zätterström | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Johan Vásquez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamedi Doucoure | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Bijlow | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Sommariva | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacopo Grossi | M | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brooke Norton-Cuffy | D | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wedtoin Latif Ouedraogo | D | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Gael Lafont | M | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |