Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29 edge out Le Havre
K. Doumbia's brace secures a narrow win for the visitors.
Stade Brestois 29 claimed a 2-1 victory over Le Havre thanks to K. Doumbia's early penalty and a second-half strike. Despite R. Fofana pulling one back from the spot for Le Havre, it wasn't enough to prevent the visitors from taking all three points. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win, proving the forecast a touch optimistic.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Le Havre facing Stade Brestois 29 in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both sides have been busy in the transfer market, shaping their squads for the challenges ahead.
Key facts
- 1.Le Havre signed J. Maja on a free transfer ahead of the season.
- 2.Le Havre released L. Négo during the summer.
- 3.Stade Brestois 29 have E. Selvik on loan for the campaign.
- 4.This is the first league match of the new season for both teams.
- 5.Le Havre are predicted to win 2-1, the most probable scoreline.
- 6.The match is expected to feature around four total cards.
- 7.Le Havre and Stade Brestois 29 finished last season mid-table, setting up a balanced contest.
The context
Le Havre have strengthened their ranks with the signing of J. Maja on a free transfer, while parting ways with L. Négo. Stade Brestois 29 have brought in E. Selvik on loan, aiming to add depth to their squad. Neither team has played a league game yet, so this fixture sets the tone for their campaigns.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Le Havre
Away — Stade Brestois 29
Analysis
The probabilities suggest a slight edge for Le Havre, with the most likely scoreline being a 2-1 home win. The match is expected to be competitive, reflecting the balanced nature of the teams. Le Havre's home advantage and summer business might just tip the scales in their favour, but Stade Brestois 29 will certainly not make it easy.
Prediction
Our prediction is a 2-1 victory for Le Havre. While the margin is narrow, the home side's chances of taking all three points are the highest among possible outcomes. Expect a tight game with moments of quality from both sides.
The verdict
As the season opener, this match offers a tantalising glimpse of what’s to come. Le Havre look poised to start with a win, but Stade Brestois 29 will be eager to spoil the party. Fans can anticipate a spirited contest with goals and drama.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mpasi
Yellow Card
Doumbia
Penalty
Lala
Yellow Card
Doumbia
Yellow Card
Mwanga
Red Card
Ndiaye
Doumbia
Assist: Mama Baldé
Maja
Pembélé
Mama Baldé
Mboup
Doumbia
Magnetti
Jelert
Fofana
Penalty
Mpasi
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lille | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 |  Strasbourg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 |  Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 |  Toulouse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Le Havre
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5A. ToubaD
- 6J. MwangaD
- 7A. RichardsonM
- 9J. MajaF
- 12E. JelertM
- 14R. NdiayeM
- 15A. SekoD
- 25M. SamattaM
- 26S. EbonogM
- 32T. PembéléM
- 77L. MpasiG
Substitutes
- 17K. MizutaM
- 23V. SassoD
- 27E. Koffi VinetteF
- 30S. NakamuraF
- 38R. FofanaF
- 44I. BounebM
- 78D. MosengoM
- 93G. GallonG
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1E. SelvikG
- 2B. LockoD
- 4G. LlorisD
- 8H. MagnettiM
- 9P. MboupM
- 13J. ChotardM
- 17Mama BaldéM
- 19L. AjorqueF
- 23K. DoumbiaM
- 70K. LalaD
- 71R. Le GuenD
Substitutes
- 7J. Nonge BoendeM
- 11N. EdjoumaF
- 18J. BourgaultD
- 20L. ZogbeD
- 29L. TousartM
- 30M. PatouilletG
- 32L. C. Laine M.M
- 39D. N´GuessanF
Le Havre
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mpasi | G | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Fofana | F | 28 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| R. Ndiaye | M | 46 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 0/3 |
| A. Touba | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Seko | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| E. Koffi Vinette | F | 28 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| A. Richardson | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| E. Jelert | M | 79 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| S. Nakamura | F | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. Ebonog | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| J. Maja | F | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| T. Pembélé | M | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Samatta | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| J. Mwanga | D | 47 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Mosengo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Sasso | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Mizuta | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Gallon | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Bouneb | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Stade Brestois 29
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Doumbia | M | 75 | 7.5 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Mama Baldé | M | 67 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/3 |
| J. Chotard | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| P. Mboup | M | 75 | 7.0 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| R. Le Guen | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| N. Edjouma | F | 23 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Lloris | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Magnetti | M | 75 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| B. Locko | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Zogbe | D | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| L. Ajorque | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| L. Tousart | M | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| K. Lala | D | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Nonge Boende | M | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Selvik | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Patouillet | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. N´Guessan | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. C. Laine M. | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bourgault | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Le Havre to win against Stade Brestois 29.
- What score did Fipster predict for Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Le Havre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29.
- What were the win probabilities for Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29?
- Fipster's model gave Le Havre a 35% chance of winning, Stade Brestois 29 a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.