Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain
Hakimi's hat-trick powers PSG past Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain storm back after early setback to dominate 5-1.
Le Havre took an early lead through J. Maja at 18 minutes, but Paris Saint Germain quickly turned the tide with M. Godts and A. Hakimi scoring before the break. Hakimi's second-half hat-trick, complemented by Senny Mayulu's strike, sealed a commanding 5-1 victory for PSG. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win was spot on, though the margin of victory was even more emphatic than forecast.
Outcome probability
Le Havre face a tough challenge against Paris Saint Germain in this ninth round of the regular season. The Parisians have shown consistent attacking prowess and are expected to extend their winning streak.
Match factors
Marquinhos and key attackers out for PSG
PSG missing Marquinhos, Kvaratskhelia, and Dembélé weakens defense and attack balance
Le Havre's Joshua Maja in strong scoring form
Maja has 3 goals in last 5 games, outperforming league average for attackers
PSG midfield passing dominance
Vitinha and Zaïre-Emery average over 80 passes per game, controlling midfield tempo
PSG on 5-game scoring streak
PSG scored in all last 5 matches, showing strong attacking momentum
The context
Paris Saint Germain currently sit 5th in the league with 14 points from 7 games, while Le Havre languish near the bottom at 18th with just 2 points from 8 matches. Historically, PSG have dominated this fixture, winning 7 of the last 8 encounters and scoring 26 goals to Le Havre's 5.
Key insights
- J
Joshua Erowoli Orisunmihare Oluwaseun
Le Havre
Strong recent away form with 3 goals in last 5 games, key attacking threat despite team struggles.
Ligue 1 26/273 goals in last 5 games, 0.6 avg per game
- V
Vitinha
Paris Saint Germain
Exceptional passing accuracy and volume, controlling midfield tempo for PSG.
Ligue 1 26/2791% passing accuracy, 83.9 passes per game
- M
Marquinhos
Paris Saint Germain
Out with a thigh injury, his absence weakens PSG's defensive stability.
Analysis
PSG's midfield control, led by Vitinha's exceptional passing accuracy and high volume of passes, allows them to dictate the tempo. Despite missing key defender Marquinhos due to injury, their attacking momentum remains strong, having scored in their last five matches. Le Havre's Joshua Erowoli Orisunmihare Oluwaseun is a bright spot with 3 goals in his last 5 games, but the overall form gap and PSG's head-to-head dominance suggest a challenging evening for the home side.
Key facts
- 1.Paris Saint Germain have won 7 of 8 matches against Le Havre, scoring 26 goals to Le Havre's 5.
- 2.PSG are 5th in the league with 14 points from 7 games; Le Havre are 18th with 2 points from 8 games.
- 3.Head-to-head matches between these teams average 3.9 goals per game.
- 4.PSG have scored in each of their last 5 matches, showing strong attacking form.
- 5.Le Havre's Joshua Erowoli Orisunmihare Oluwaseun has scored 3 goals in his last 5 games.
- 6.PSG's Vitinha boasts a 91% passing accuracy and averages 83.9 passes per game.
- 7.Marquinhos is out with a thigh injury, weakening PSG's defence.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Prediction
The prediction favours an away win for Paris Saint Germain with a halftime score of 0-2 and a fulltime result of 1-3. The match is expected to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Le Havre
Away — Paris Saint Germain
No standout top scorers flagged for Paris Saint Germain
The verdict
In summary, PSG's superior form, tactical control, and historical edge make them the clear favourites to claim all three points. Le Havre will need a near-perfect performance to upset the Parisians, but the evidence points to a comfortable PSG victory.
Prediction generated 26 Oct 2026, 21:22 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Maja
Assist: Fofana
Godts
Assist: Hakimi
Hakimi
Assist: Mayulu
Goal confirmed
Hakimi
Mayulu
Assist: Hakimi
Akliouche
Unknown
Richardson
Nakamura
Hakimi
Godts
Hakimi
Fofana
Ebonog
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Lille | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Le Havre
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5A. ToubaD
- 6J. MwangaD
- 7A. RichardsonM
- 9J. MajaF
- 15A. SekoD
- 16A. BodartG
- 20D. OuziadM
- 26S. EbonogM
- 30S. NakamuraM
- 38R. FofanaM
Substitutes
- 14R. NdiayeM
- 17K. MizutaM
- 23V. SassoD
- 24G. ZohouriM
- 25M. SamattaF
- 27E. Koffi VinetteF
- 78D. MosengoM
- 93G. GallonG
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2A. HakimiD
- 6I. ZabarnyiD
- 9Ferran TorresF
- 11M. AklioucheM
- 12L. DigneD
- 21L. HernándezD
- 22M. GodtsF
- 24Senny MayuluF
- 27Pedro FernándezM
- 33W. Zaïre-EmeryM
- 39M. SafonovG
Substitutes
- 4BeraldoD
- 8Fabián RuizM
- 14D. DouéF
- 17VitinhaM
- 30L. ChevalierG
- 42D. BolyD
- 47Quentin Ndjantou MbitchaF
- 51W. PachoD
- 87João NevesM
Le Havre
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Maja | F | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. Ouziad | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 5 | 1/1 |
| M. Samatta | F | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bodart | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Ndiaye | M | 25 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Fofana | M | 79 | 6.4 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 3/8 |
| E. Koffi Vinette | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Seko | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Ebonog | M | 83 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| D. Mosengo | M | 7 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Touba | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Nakamura | M | 65 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| A. Richardson | M | 65 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Mwanga | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Gallon | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Sasso | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Mizuta | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Zohouri | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hakimi | D | 71 | 9.1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1/4 |
| Senny Mayulu | F | 90 | 8.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3/4 |
| M. Godts | F | 71 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3/5 |
| M. Safonov | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Hernández | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Zaïre-Emery | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Pedro Fernández | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/5 |
| I. Zabarnyi | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Digne | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Akliouche | M | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha | F | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Beraldo | D | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Boly | D | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Fabián Ruiz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Chevalier | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Neves | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Pacho | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Doué | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitinha | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Paris Saint Germain to win against Le Havre.
- What score did Fipster predict for Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Le Havre 1–3 Paris Saint Germain.
- What were the win probabilities for Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
- Fipster's model gave Le Havre a 2% chance of winning, Paris Saint Germain a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.